Western Draw Odds

Where should you apply with the points you have, and what will it cost? Prior-draw odds for every hunt code, by point level, straight from each agency's published results — plus fees, deadlines, and a plain-English explanation of how each state's draw works.

Browse by state

How each draw works

Nonresident view. Click a row for the full mechanics, fees, and every hunt code.

State · species Draw system NR share App fee Point fee Lower choice burns points? Front the tag fee? Application closes
Alaska · Moose Random draw $5 No No opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected)
Alaska · Mountain Goat Random draw $5 No No opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected)
Alaska · Bison Random draw $10 No No opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected)
Alaska · Caribou Random draw $5 No No opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected)
Alaska · Dall Sheep Random draw 10% $5 No No opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected)
Alaska · Brown Bear Random draw $5 No No opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected)
Alaska · Musk Ox Random draw $10 No No opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected)
Arizona · White-tailed / Mule Deer Split: points + random 10% $15 $15 Yes No closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected)
Arizona · Elk Split: points + random 10% $15 $15 Yes No opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected)
Arizona · Pronghorn Split: points + random 10% $15 $15 Yes No opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected)
California · White-tailed / Mule Deer Hybrid: preference + random No Yes opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected)
California · Elk Hybrid: preference + random 1 $8.38 No opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected)
California · Pronghorn Hybrid: preference + random 1 $8.38 No opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected)
California · Bighorn Sheep Hybrid: preference + random 10% $8.38 No opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected)
Colorado · White-tailed / Mule Deer Preference points 25% $11.49 $0 No No opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected)
Colorado · Elk Preference points 25% $11.49 $0 No No opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected)
Colorado · Pronghorn Preference points 25% $11.49 $0 No No opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected)
Idaho · White-tailed / Mule Deer Random draw 10% $18 No opens May 1, closes Jun 5, 2027 (expected)
Idaho · Elk Random draw 10% $18 No No opens May 1, closes Jun 5, 2027 (expected)
Idaho · Moose Random draw 10% $45.75 Yes opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected)
Idaho · Pronghorn Random draw 10% $18 No opens May 1, closes Jun 5, 2027 (expected)
Idaho · Bighorn Sheep Random draw 10% $45.75 Yes opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected)
Idaho · Mountain Goat Random draw 10% $45.75 Yes opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected)
Iowa · White-tailed / Mule Deer Preference points $60.50 No Yes opens May 2, closes Jun 7, 2027 (expected)
Iowa · Wild Turkey Preference points $60.50 No Yes opens Jan 1, closes Jan 25, 2027 (expected)
Kansas · White-tailed / Mule Deer Preference points $27.50 $25 No opens Apr 1, closes Apr 24, 2027 (expected)
Kentucky · Elk Random draw 10% $10 No No opens Aug 1, closes Apr 30, 2027
Montana · White-tailed / Mule Deer Bonus points (squared) 10% $5 $20 No Yes opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected)
Montana · Elk Bonus points (squared) 10% $5 $20 No Yes opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected)
Montana · Moose Bonus points (squared) 10% $50 $20 No No opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected)
Montana · Pronghorn Bonus points (squared) 10% $5 $20 No No opens Mar 1, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected)
Montana · Mountain Lion Bonus points (squared) 10% $5 $20 No No opens Jun 30, closes Jul 22, 2027 (expected)
Montana · Bighorn Sheep Bonus points (squared) 10% $50 $20 No No opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected)
Montana · Mountain Goat Bonus points (squared) 10% $50 $20 No No opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected)
Montana · Bison Random draw $50 $20 No opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected)
Montana · Wild Turkey Random draw $5 $20 No closes Mar 12, 2027 (expected)
Nebraska · White-tailed / Mule Deer Preference points $57 Yes No opens Jun 1, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected)
Nebraska · Pronghorn Preference points $57 Yes No opens Jun 1, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected)
Nevada · White-tailed / Mule Deer Bonus points (squared) 10% $10 Yes No opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected)
Nevada · Elk Bonus points (squared) 10% $15 Yes No opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected)
Nevada · Moose Bonus points (squared) 10% $10 Yes No opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected)
Nevada · Pronghorn Bonus points (squared) 10% $10 Yes No opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected)
Nevada · Bighorn Sheep Bonus points (squared) 10% $10 Yes No opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected)
Nevada · Mountain Goat Bonus points (squared) 10% $10 Yes No opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected)
New Mexico · White-tailed / Mule Deer Random draw 6% $13 No Yes closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected)
New Mexico · Elk Random draw 6% $13 No Yes closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected)
New Mexico · Pronghorn Random draw 10% $13 No Yes closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected)
North Dakota · White-tailed / Mule Deer Bonus points (squared) 1% $5 No No closes Jun 3, 2027 (expected)
North Dakota · Bighorn Sheep Random draw $100 No closes Mar 25, 2027 (expected)
Oregon · White-tailed / Mule Deer Hybrid: preference + random 5% $10 No No opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected)
Oregon · Elk Hybrid: preference + random 5% $10 No No opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected)
Oregon · Pronghorn Hybrid: preference + random 3% $10 No No opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected)
Oregon · Bighorn Sheep Random draw 10% $10
Oregon · Mountain Goat Random draw $10
Pennsylvania · Elk Bonus points (linear) 10% $11.97 No No opens May 1, closes Jul 12, 2027 (expected)
South Dakota · White-tailed / Mule Deer Preference points 8% $20 No No opens May 27, closes Jun 23, 2027 (expected)
South Dakota · Elk Preference points 0% $20
South Dakota · Pronghorn Preference points 8% $20 No No opens Jun 16, closes Jul 7, 2027 (expected)
Tennessee · Elk Random draw 25% $12 No opens Feb 3, closes Feb 24, 2027
Texas · White-tailed / Mule Deer Bonus points (linear) $3 No No opens Jul 1, closes Aug 15, 2027 (expected)
Texas · Pronghorn Bonus points (linear) $3 No No opens Jul 1, closes Aug 15, 2027 (expected)
Texas · Bighorn Sheep Bonus points (linear) $3 No
Texas · Wild Turkey Bonus points (linear) $3 No No opens Jul 1, closes Nov 1, 2026
Utah · White-tailed / Mule Deer Split: points + random 10% $21 $21 Yes No opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected)
Utah · Elk Split: points + random 10% $21 $21 Yes No opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected)
Utah · Pronghorn Split: points + random 10% $21 $21 Yes No opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected)
Washington · White-tailed / Mule Deer Bonus points (squared) $152.30 Yes Yes opens Apr 20, closes May 27, 2027 (expected)
Washington · Elk Bonus points (squared) $152.30 Yes Yes opens Apr 20, closes May 27, 2027 (expected)
Wyoming · White-tailed / Mule Deer Hybrid: preference + random 20% $15 $41 No Yes opens Jan 2, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected)
Wyoming · Elk Hybrid: preference + random 16% $15 $52 No Yes opens Jan 2, closes Feb 2, 2027 (expected)
Wyoming · Pronghorn Hybrid: preference + random 20% $15 $31 No Yes opens Jan 2, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected)

Fees shown for the latest fee year on file per state.

Where the application year stands

Open right now: Texas wild turkey (closes Nov 1) and Kentucky elk (closes Apr 30). Opening next: Alaska Nov 1 (expected), Iowa wild turkey Jan 1 (expected), and Wyoming elk Jan 2 (expected). The odds here are from the most recent completed draws — exactly what you plan next season's applications with.

Application calendar

Dates marked expected are last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm on the agency site once next year's dates publish.

Texas · Wild Turkey open now
opens Jul 1, closes Nov 1, 2026 · results ~Nov 4 source
Alaska · all species
opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) · results ~Feb 20 source
Iowa · Wild Turkey · nonresident
opens Jan 1, closes Jan 25, 2027 (expected) · results ~Feb 7 source
Wyoming · Elk · nonresident
opens Jan 2, closes Feb 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 21 source
Arizona · Elk
opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected) · results ~Feb 23 source
Arizona · Pronghorn
opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected) · results ~Feb 23 source
Tennessee · Elk
opens Feb 3, closes Feb 24, 2027 source
Montana · Wild Turkey
closes Mar 12, 2027 (expected) source
New Mexico · Elk
closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected) · results ~Apr 22 source
New Mexico · White-tailed / Mule Deer
closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected) · results ~Apr 22 source
New Mexico · Pronghorn
closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected) · results ~Apr 22 source
North Dakota · Elk · resident
closes Mar 25, 2027 (expected) source
North Dakota · Moose · resident
closes Mar 25, 2027 (expected) source
North Dakota · Bighorn Sheep
closes Mar 25, 2027 (expected) · results ~Sep 1 source
Montana · Elk · nonresident
opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Apr 15 source
Montana · Elk · resident
opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Apr 15 source
Montana · White-tailed / Mule Deer · nonresident
opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Apr 15 source
Montana · White-tailed / Mule Deer · resident
opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Apr 15 source
Colorado · Elk
opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 26 source
Colorado · White-tailed / Mule Deer
opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 26 source
Colorado · Pronghorn
opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 26 source
Utah · Elk
opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 31 source
Utah · White-tailed / Mule Deer
opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 31 source
Utah · Pronghorn
opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 31 source
Kansas · White-tailed / Mule Deer · nonresident
opens Apr 1, closes Apr 24, 2027 (expected) source
Idaho · Moose
opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 11 source
Idaho · Bighorn Sheep
opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 11 source
Idaho · Mountain Goat
opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 11 source
Kentucky · Elk open now
opens Aug 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 source
Montana · Moose
opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 15 source
Montana · Bighorn Sheep
opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 15 source
Montana · Mountain Goat
opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 15 source
Montana · Bison
opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 15 source
Nevada · all species
opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 29 source
Nevada · White-tailed / Mule Deer · nonresident
opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 29 source
Oregon · Elk
opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 12 source
Oregon · White-tailed / Mule Deer
opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 12 source
Oregon · Pronghorn
opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 12 source
South Dakota · Elk · resident
opens Apr 15, closes May 19, 2027 (expected) · results ~May 27 source
Washington · all species
opens Apr 20, closes May 27, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 30 source
Montana · Pronghorn
opens Mar 1, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Aug 5 source
Wyoming · White-tailed / Mule Deer · nonresident
opens Jan 2, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 18 source
Wyoming · Pronghorn · nonresident
opens Jan 2, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 18 source
Wyoming · Elk · resident
opens Jan 2, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 18 source
Wyoming · White-tailed / Mule Deer · resident
opens Jan 2, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 18 source
Wyoming · Pronghorn · resident
opens Jan 2, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 18 source
Arizona · White-tailed / Mule Deer
closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) source
California · all species
opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 15 source
California · Elk
opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 15 source
California · Pronghorn
opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 15 source
California · Bighorn Sheep
opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 15 source
California · White-tailed / Mule Deer
closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 16 source
North Dakota · White-tailed / Mule Deer
closes Jun 3, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 24 source
North Dakota · White-tailed / Mule Deer · nonresident
closes Jun 3, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 24 source
Idaho · Elk
opens May 1, closes Jun 5, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 17 source
Idaho · White-tailed / Mule Deer
opens May 1, closes Jun 5, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 17 source
Idaho · Pronghorn
opens May 1, closes Jun 5, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 17 source
Iowa · White-tailed / Mule Deer · nonresident
opens May 2, closes Jun 7, 2027 (expected) source
Kansas · White-tailed / Mule Deer · resident
opens May 12, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected) source
Kansas · Elk · resident
opens May 12, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected) source
Kansas · Pronghorn · resident
opens May 12, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected) source
Nebraska · White-tailed / Mule Deer
opens Jun 1, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 19 source
Nebraska · Pronghorn
opens Jun 1, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 19 source
Nebraska · Elk
opens Jun 1, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jun 19 source
South Dakota · White-tailed / Mule Deer
opens May 27, closes Jun 23, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jul 2 source
Wyoming · all species
opens Jun 22, closes Jun 26, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jul 8 source
South Dakota · Pronghorn
opens Jun 16, closes Jul 7, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jul 8 source
Pennsylvania · Elk
opens May 1, closes Jul 12, 2027 (expected) · results ~Jul 25 source
Montana · Mountain Lion
opens Jun 30, closes Jul 22, 2027 (expected) · results ~Aug 15 source
North Dakota · Pronghorn · resident
closes Aug 5, 2027 (expected) source
Nebraska · Bighorn Sheep · resident
opens Apr 20, closes Aug 7, 2027 (expected) source
Texas · White-tailed / Mule Deer
opens Jul 1, closes Aug 15, 2027 (expected) · results ~Aug 16 source
Texas · Pronghorn
opens Jul 1, closes Aug 15, 2027 (expected) · results ~Aug 16 source

State of the Draw, year by year

2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014 · 2013 · 2012 · 2011 · 2010 · 2009 · 2008 · 2007 · 2006

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How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.