Western Draw Odds
Where should you apply with the points you have, and what will it cost? Prior-draw odds for every hunt code, by point level, straight from each agency's published results — plus fees, deadlines, and a plain-English explanation of how each state's draw works.
Browse by state
How each draw works
Nonresident view. Click a row for the full mechanics, fees, and every hunt code.
| State · species | Draw system | NR share | App fee | Point fee | Lower choice burns points? | Front the tag fee? | Application closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska · Moose | Random draw | — | $5 | — | No | No | opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) |
| Alaska · Mountain Goat | Random draw | — | $5 | — | No | No | opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) |
| Alaska · Bison | Random draw | — | $10 | — | No | No | opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) |
| Alaska · Caribou | Random draw | — | $5 | — | No | No | opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) |
| Alaska · Dall Sheep | Random draw | 10% | $5 | — | No | No | opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) |
| Alaska · Brown Bear | Random draw | — | $5 | — | No | No | opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) |
| Alaska · Musk Ox | Random draw | — | $10 | — | No | No | opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) |
| Arizona · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Split: points + random | 10% | $15 | $15 | Yes | No | closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) |
| Arizona · Elk | Split: points + random | 10% | $15 | $15 | Yes | No | opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected) |
| Arizona · Pronghorn | Split: points + random | 10% | $15 | $15 | Yes | No | opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected) |
| California · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Hybrid: preference + random | — | — | — | No | Yes | opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) |
| California · Elk | Hybrid: preference + random | 1 | $8.38 | — | — | No | opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) |
| California · Pronghorn | Hybrid: preference + random | 1 | $8.38 | — | — | No | opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) |
| California · Bighorn Sheep | Hybrid: preference + random | 10% | $8.38 | — | — | No | opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) |
| Colorado · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Preference points | 25% | $11.49 | $0 | No | No | opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected) |
| Colorado · Elk | Preference points | 25% | $11.49 | $0 | No | No | opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected) |
| Colorado · Pronghorn | Preference points | 25% | $11.49 | $0 | No | No | opens Mar 1, closes Apr 7, 2027 (expected) |
| Idaho · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Random draw | 10% | $18 | — | — | No | opens May 1, closes Jun 5, 2027 (expected) |
| Idaho · Elk | Random draw | 10% | $18 | — | No | No | opens May 1, closes Jun 5, 2027 (expected) |
| Idaho · Moose | Random draw | 10% | $45.75 | — | — | Yes | opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected) |
| Idaho · Pronghorn | Random draw | 10% | $18 | — | — | No | opens May 1, closes Jun 5, 2027 (expected) |
| Idaho · Bighorn Sheep | Random draw | 10% | $45.75 | — | — | Yes | opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected) |
| Idaho · Mountain Goat | Random draw | 10% | $45.75 | — | — | Yes | opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected) |
| Iowa · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Preference points | — | — | $60.50 | No | Yes | opens May 2, closes Jun 7, 2027 (expected) |
| Iowa · Wild Turkey | Preference points | — | — | $60.50 | No | Yes | opens Jan 1, closes Jan 25, 2027 (expected) |
| Kansas · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Preference points | — | $27.50 | $25 | — | No | opens Apr 1, closes Apr 24, 2027 (expected) |
| Kentucky · Elk | Random draw | 10% | $10 | — | No | No | opens Aug 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 |
| Montana · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $5 | $20 | No | Yes | opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected) |
| Montana · Elk | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $5 | $20 | No | Yes | opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected) |
| Montana · Moose | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $50 | $20 | No | No | opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) |
| Montana · Pronghorn | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $5 | $20 | No | No | opens Mar 1, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected) |
| Montana · Mountain Lion | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $5 | $20 | No | No | opens Jun 30, closes Jul 22, 2027 (expected) |
| Montana · Bighorn Sheep | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $50 | $20 | No | No | opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) |
| Montana · Mountain Goat | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $50 | $20 | No | No | opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) |
| Montana · Bison | Random draw | — | $50 | $20 | — | No | opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) |
| Montana · Wild Turkey | Random draw | — | $5 | $20 | — | No | closes Mar 12, 2027 (expected) |
| Nebraska · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Preference points | — | — | $57 | Yes | No | opens Jun 1, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected) |
| Nebraska · Pronghorn | Preference points | — | — | $57 | Yes | No | opens Jun 1, closes Jun 12, 2027 (expected) |
| Nevada · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $10 | — | Yes | No | opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected) |
| Nevada · Elk | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $15 | — | Yes | No | opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected) |
| Nevada · Moose | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $10 | — | Yes | No | opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected) |
| Nevada · Pronghorn | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $10 | — | Yes | No | opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected) |
| Nevada · Bighorn Sheep | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $10 | — | Yes | No | opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected) |
| Nevada · Mountain Goat | Bonus points (squared) | 10% | $10 | — | Yes | No | opens Mar 23, closes May 13, 2027 (expected) |
| New Mexico · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Random draw | 6% | $13 | — | No | Yes | closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected) |
| New Mexico · Elk | Random draw | 6% | $13 | — | No | Yes | closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected) |
| New Mexico · Pronghorn | Random draw | 10% | $13 | — | No | Yes | closes Mar 18, 2027 (expected) |
| North Dakota · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Bonus points (squared) | 1% | $5 | — | No | No | closes Jun 3, 2027 (expected) |
| North Dakota · Bighorn Sheep | Random draw | — | $100 | — | — | No | closes Mar 25, 2027 (expected) |
| Oregon · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Hybrid: preference + random | 5% | $10 | — | No | No | opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) |
| Oregon · Elk | Hybrid: preference + random | 5% | $10 | — | No | No | opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) |
| Oregon · Pronghorn | Hybrid: preference + random | 3% | $10 | — | No | No | opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) |
| Oregon · Bighorn Sheep | Random draw | 10% | $10 | — | — | — | — |
| Oregon · Mountain Goat | Random draw | — | $10 | — | — | — | — |
| Pennsylvania · Elk | Bonus points (linear) | 10% | $11.97 | — | No | No | opens May 1, closes Jul 12, 2027 (expected) |
| South Dakota · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Preference points | 8% | — | $20 | No | No | opens May 27, closes Jun 23, 2027 (expected) |
| South Dakota · Elk | Preference points | 0% | — | $20 | — | — | — |
| South Dakota · Pronghorn | Preference points | 8% | — | $20 | No | No | opens Jun 16, closes Jul 7, 2027 (expected) |
| Tennessee · Elk | Random draw | 25% | $12 | — | — | No | opens Feb 3, closes Feb 24, 2027 |
| Texas · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Bonus points (linear) | — | $3 | — | No | No | opens Jul 1, closes Aug 15, 2027 (expected) |
| Texas · Pronghorn | Bonus points (linear) | — | $3 | — | No | No | opens Jul 1, closes Aug 15, 2027 (expected) |
| Texas · Bighorn Sheep | Bonus points (linear) | — | $3 | — | No | — | — |
| Texas · Wild Turkey | Bonus points (linear) | — | $3 | — | No | No | opens Jul 1, closes Nov 1, 2026 |
| Utah · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Split: points + random | 10% | $21 | $21 | Yes | No | opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected) |
| Utah · Elk | Split: points + random | 10% | $21 | $21 | Yes | No | opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected) |
| Utah · Pronghorn | Split: points + random | 10% | $21 | $21 | Yes | No | opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected) |
| Washington · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Bonus points (squared) | — | $152.30 | — | Yes | Yes | opens Apr 20, closes May 27, 2027 (expected) |
| Washington · Elk | Bonus points (squared) | — | $152.30 | — | Yes | Yes | opens Apr 20, closes May 27, 2027 (expected) |
| Wyoming · White-tailed / Mule Deer | Hybrid: preference + random | 20% | $15 | $41 | No | Yes | opens Jan 2, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected) |
| Wyoming · Elk | Hybrid: preference + random | 16% | $15 | $52 | No | Yes | opens Jan 2, closes Feb 2, 2027 (expected) |
| Wyoming · Pronghorn | Hybrid: preference + random | 20% | $15 | $31 | No | Yes | opens Jan 2, closes Jun 1, 2027 (expected) |
Fees shown for the latest fee year on file per state.
Where the application year stands
Open right now: Texas wild turkey (closes Nov 1) and Kentucky elk (closes Apr 30). Opening next: Alaska Nov 1 (expected), Iowa wild turkey Jan 1 (expected), and Wyoming elk Jan 2 (expected). The odds here are from the most recent completed draws — exactly what you plan next season's applications with.
Application calendar
Dates marked expected are last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm on the agency site once next year's dates publish.
State of the Draw, year by year
2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014 · 2013 · 2012 · 2011 · 2010 · 2009 · 2008 · 2007 · 2006
Embed the deadline calendar
Free for any site with the attribution left intact. Add ?state=wyoming to show one state.
<iframe src="https://ammosight.com/draw-odds/embed/calendar" width="100%" height="360" style="border:0" title="Western big-game application deadlines"></iframe>
How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.