California Elk Draw Odds

In the 2025 draw California offered 72 elk hunts to residents and nonresidents in one shared draw, drawn partly by preference points and partly at random. At 0 points an applicant had at least an even chance in 0 hunts open to every hunter.

Applications Close
228 days
Jun 2

Open Apr 15 – Jun 2, 2027 (expected)

Cost to Apply
$228

Kept if you miss. Elk license $1,826 only if drawn

Tags, All Residencies
408

2025 draw · nonresidents capped at 1 tag statewide

Applicants
30,567

2025 draw, first choice

Point only: $8.38 nonresident · on the draw application · apply by Jun 2, 2027 (expected) → Buying Points in California

How the California Draw Works (30-Second Version)

Hybrid: preference + random.

Say a hunt has 100 nonresident tags. 75 go to the applicants with the most preference points; if the last point level that draws has more applicants than tags left, that level is split at random. The other 25 are drawn at random from everyone who missed the points pass, so an applicant with no points still has a chance.

Who can apply, fees and deadlines in California

Best Bets at 0 Points

Odds × hunter success × public land, 10 tags or more. Private-land, ranch, landowner and youth hunts left out.

Every Hunt at 0 Points

72 hunt codes drawn in 2025 · 0 at 50% or better · first choice · all residencies

90–100% 50–89% 10–49% 1–9% under 1% fewer than 5 tags: one applicant swings it
One Line per Hunt Odds at Every Point Level
329 Zone Bear Valley · Antlerless · Bear Valley · General Methods · Antlerless 2% (small sample) —
330 Zone Bear Valley · Bull · Bear Valley · General Methods · Bull <1% (small sample) —
406 Zone Cache Creek · Bull · Cache Creek Period 1 · General Methods · Bull <1% (small sample) —
416 Zone Cache Creek · Antlerless · Cache Creek Period 2 · General Methods · Antlerless <1% (small sample) —
484 Youth · Zone Cache Creek · Bull · Cache Creek Apprentice · General Methods · Bull <1% (small sample) —
375 Zone Central Coast · Antlerless · Central Coast · General Methods · Antlerless 2% —
376 Zone Central Coast · Bull · Central Coast · General Methods · Bull <1% —
382New 2025 Zone Central Coast · Antlerless archery · Central Coast · Antlerless 3% (small sample) —
383New 2025 Zone Central Coast · Bull archery · Central Coast · Bull <1% (small sample) —
461 Zone East Park Reservoir · Bull · East Park Reservoir · General Methods · Bull <1% (small sample) —
463 Zone East Park Reservoir · Antlerless · East Park Reservoir · General Methods · Antlerless 1% (small sample) —
447 Zone Fort Hunter Liggett · Bull · Fort Hunter Liggett Period 3 · General Methods · Bull <1% —
448 Zone Fort Hunter Liggett · Antlerless · Fort Hunter Liggett Period 2 · General Methods · Antlerless <1% —
449 Zone Fort Hunter Liggett · Either-sex archery · Fort Hunter Liggett · Either · Sex <1% —
450 Zone Fort Hunter Liggett · Antlerless archery · Fort Hunter Liggett · Antlerless 2% —
471 Youth · Zone Fort Hunter Liggett · Antlerless · Fort Hunter Liggett Apprentice · General Methods · Antlerless 1% (small sample) —
472 Youth · Zone Fort Hunter Liggett · Bull · Fort Hunter Liggett Apprentice · General Methods · Bull <1% (small sample) —
377 Zone Gabilan · Antlerless · Gabilan · General Methods · Antlerless 2% —
378 Zone Gabilan · Bull · Gabilan · General Methods · Bull <1% —
365 Zone Goodale · Antlerless · Goodale Period 2 · General Methods · Antlerless 2% (small sample) —
366 Zone Goodale · Antlerless · Goodale Period 3 · General Methods · Antlerless 2% (small sample) —
373 Zone Goodale · Bull · Goodale Period 1 · General Methods · Bull <1% (small sample) —
357 Zone Grizzly Island · Spike bull · Grizzly Island Period 8 · General Methods · Spike Bull <1% —
358 Zone Grizzly Island · Antlerless · Grizzly Island Period 9 · General Methods · Antlerless <1% (small sample) —
359 Zone Grizzly Island · Bull · Grizzly Island Period 10 · General Methods · Bull 0% (small sample) —

Showing 1–25 of 72 · sorted by zone · 19 hunts not offered in 2025 hidden — show discontinued hunts

Show all 72 hunts
What These Columns Mean
Odds at your points
—
the share of first-choice applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2025 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year. A badge marked * had under five tags, so one applicant either way swings it.
Pts needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2025 draw; the ▲ or ▼ is how far that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold. A 0 marks a hunt that went Undersubscribed: fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Tags / apps
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them.
Success
—
the share of hunters in the zone who killed an animal, from the latest harvest report on file. It is the whole zone's figure, not the hunt's.
Private land, RFW, ranch, youth
—
tags not every hunter can use: private-land-only hunts need landowner access, ranch hunts (Colorado's Ranching for Wildlife, Utah's CWMUs) come with access to one ranch, youth tags have an age limit. They are never best bets and never colour the map.
All 22 Zones
Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

About These Numbers

Every percentage here is the chance an applicant with that many points had in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results; quotas, applicant numbers and point levels change every year. A dash means the agency did not publish the number. Under five tags the percentage is flagged: one applicant either way swings it. Check the agency's site and apply there; we don't take applications. How we compute these.