AmmoSight

Alaska Dall Sheep Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every dall sheep tag in Alaska — straight from the 2025 draw results.

Next application:opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) Cost to apply:$165 ($165 if you miss) Nonresident tags (2025):38 Applicants:8,800

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Alaska draw works (30-second version)

Random draw.

Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

No points in this draw — every nonresident applicant has the same chance.

Chances are from the 2025 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • DS003 20D, 13B, and 20A 1 tags · 381 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS030 14C, Northwest 1 tags · 392 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS065 13D, East 1 tags · 269 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS102 12, 13C, and 20D, Tok Management Area 10 tags · 4,324 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS205 20D, 13B, and 20A, Delta CUA 4 tags · 84 applicants
    5% Long shot
  • DS206 20D & 20E, Mt. Harper 2 tags · 498 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS207 20D, 13B, and 20A, Delta CUA 3 tags · 52 applicants
    6% Long shot
  • DS231 14C, Northwest 1 tags · 131 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS232 14C, Northwest 1 tags · 7 applicants
    14% Long shot
  • DS233 14C, Upper Eagle River 1 tags · 293 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS236 14C, Southwest 1 tags · 312 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS237 14C, Southwest 1 tags · 249 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS238 14C, Southwest 1 tags · 12 applicants
    8% Long shot
  • DS240 14C, West 3 tags · 25 applicants
    12% Long shot
  • DS241 14C, West Eklutna 1 tags · 25 applicants
    4% Long shot
  • DS260 13D, West (guided nonresidents) 2 tags · 984 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS265 13D, East (guided nonresidents) 2 tags · 479 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS270 14A, Metal Creek (guided nonresidents) 1 tags · 228 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DS285 14A, Friday Creek (guided nonresidents) 1 tags · 55 applicants
    2% Long shot
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2025 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2025 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
33 hunts not offered in 2025 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

1A 3 5A 6B 6D 7 12% success 8 9 9B 11 31% success 12 27% success 13 0% success 13A 17% success 13B 6% success 13C 25% success 13D 24% success 13E 13% success 14A 26% success 14B 42% success 14C 33% success 15 15A 0% success 15B 11% success 15C 24% success 16 16A 0% success 16B 26% success 17A 18 19B 20% success 19C 0% success 19E 0% success 20A 33% success 20B 20% success 20C 0% success 20D 27% success 20E 0% success 20F 0% success 21A 21C 21D 22C 24A 31% success 24B 29% success 25 25A 32% success 25B 14% success 25C 14% success 25D 0% success 26 0% success 26A 20% success 26B 24% success 26C 41% success 27 Unit 27 0% success
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.