Arizona Draw Odds

Arizona is a bonus-point draw with three passes: 20% of each hunt's permits go to the applicants with the most bonus points, then everyone else is drawn at random with one extra random number per point (first and second choices), then a final pass for third through fifth choices. Nonresidents are capped at 10% of permits in each hunt number. You need an Arizona hunting license to apply, the permit fee is charged only if you draw, and points are lost when any choice draws. Elk and pronghorn applications close in early February; deer in early June.

Every figure below cites the agency document it came from. Last verified August 31, 2026.

Odds by species

How the draw works

All species · nonresident

Split: points + random

Worked example. 20% of the tags go to the applicants with the most points; the other 80% are drawn at random with points + 1 entries per applicant, so points still help but never guarantee a tag.

Max choices
5
Lower choices burn points
Yes
Point only purchase allowed
Yes
Points expire
Yes
Group apps average points
Yes

A.A.C. R12-4-114(C)(2)(a)-(f), R12-4-107(B),(C),(F),(J),(L); R12-4-104(G),(I) · verified Aug 31, 2026 · in effect since Jul 2026

All species · resident

Split: points + random

Worked example. 20% of the tags go to the applicants with the most points; the other 80% are drawn at random with points + 1 entries per applicant, so points still help but never guarantee a tag.

Max choices
5
Lower choices burn points
Yes
Point only purchase allowed
Yes
Points expire
Yes
Group apps average points
Yes

A.A.C. R12-4-114(C)(2); R12-4-107 · verified Aug 31, 2026 · in effect since Jul 2026

Nonresident allocation

Elk: 10% per unit — Adopted at 32 A.A.R. 679. The Commission's stated reason (az_r12_4_114_nprm_2025): antlerless deer, any deer, antlerless elk, any elk and javelina had been left out of the cap, and across the 2023 Fall, 2023 Pronghorn/Elk and 2024 Spring draws 37 elk hunts exceeded 10% nonresident; 36 of those had resident applicants exceeding available permits or no unissued permits after all three passes. This is the change that matters most to a nonresident planning antlerless or any-elk hunts: before the 2026 draw those hunts had no nonresident ceiling. A.A.C. R12-4-114(E)(2), (F), (G); A.R.S. 17-332(A) · since Jul 2026
White-tailed / Mule Deer: 10% per unit — Adopted at 32 A.A.R. 679, effective July 1, 2026. A.A.C. R12-4-114(E)(2), (G), (H); A.R.S. 17-332(A) · since Jul 2026
Pronghorn: 10% per unit — Unchanged in substance from the previous row; the 2026-07-01 amendment added species around pronghorn, not to it. A.A.C. R12-4-114(E)(2), (G); A.R.S. 17-332(A) · since Jul 2026

Nonresident fees (2026)

Showing nonresident fees. Switch to resident

FeeAmount Paid at applicationRefundableSource
Nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) $15 Yes No 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information (regulations booklet)
Nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) $160 Yes No 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information (regulations booklet)
PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 If drawn No booklet p.5 'PointGuard is $10 per species, per applicant'
PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25 If drawn No booklet p.5 'For $25, an applicant will have the opportunity to surrender a hunt permit-tag ... for three consecutive draw cycles'
Bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) $15 If drawn No 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information (regulations booklet)
Nonresident archery deer nonpermit-tag (OTC, capped, online-only sale; same $300 as the draw permit-tag) (White-tailed / Mule Deer) $300 If drawn No 2026-2027 Arizona Hunting Regulations
Nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee) (White-tailed / Mule Deer) $300 If drawn No Arizona Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book (July 23, 2026 edition; A.R.S. Title 17 + A.A.C. Title 12, Chapter 4)
Nonresident elk hunt permit-tag (charged only if drawn; booklet price $665 includes the $15 application fee) (Elk) $650 If drawn No Arizona Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book (July 23, 2026 edition; A.R.S. Title 17 + A.A.C. Title 12, Chapter 4)
Nonresident pronghorn hunt permit-tag ($565 incl. $15 application fee) (Pronghorn) $550 If drawn No Arizona Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book (July 23, 2026 edition; A.R.S. Title 17 + A.A.C. Title 12, Chapter 4)

Deadlines (2026)

Elk: opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected); results ~Feb 23. (2026 ran Jan 13 – Feb 3.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. Point-only purchase: Jan 13 – Feb 3. Deadline 11:59 p.m. Arizona time Feb. 3, 2026 (booklet p.2 and news release). Results posted to portal accounts Feb. 23, 2026 (az_news_2026_elk_results); permit-tags mailed by April 1, 2026. Card charged for tag fee only if drawn (R12-4-104(F)(1)(c)). Leftover (first-come) applications by mail from March 16, 2026, in person March 23, 2026. 2026 pronghorn, elk draw now open (AZGFD news release, Jan. 13, 2026) - Wayback copy
Pronghorn: opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected); results ~Feb 23. (2026 ran Jan 13 – Feb 3.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. Point-only purchase: Jan 13 – Feb 3. Same draw and dates as elk. 2026 pronghorn, elk draw now open (AZGFD news release, Jan. 13, 2026) - Wayback copy
White-tailed / Mule Deer: closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). (2026 ran – Jun 2.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. Fall 2026 draw (deer, turkey, javelina, bighorn sheep, bison, sandhill crane). Booklet says applications accepted 'in early to mid-May'; exact opening date not found in a fetched document. Deadline 11:59 p.m. Arizona time June 2, 2026; permit-tags mailed by July 24, 2026 (booklet p.3). Leftover first-come by mail July 6, in person July 13, 2026. The 2026 F draw report PDFs were uploaded to azgfd's S3 bucket on 2026-08-05. 2026-2027 Arizona Hunting Regulations

Legal cartridges in Arizona

Drew a tag? Check which cartridges are legal for your species and weapon on the Arizona hunting laws page.

Sources

2022 AZ Elk Draw Odds Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2022
2023 AZ Elk Draw Odds Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2023
2023 F Draw Report - 1-2 Pass Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2023
2023 M Draw Report - 1-2 Pass Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2023
2024 F Draw Report - 1-2 Pass Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2024
2024 M Draw Report - 1-2 Pass Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2024
2025-2026 Arizona Hunting Regulations Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2025
2025 AZ Deer Draw Odds Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2025
2025 AZ Elk Draw Odds Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2025
2025 AZ Pronghorn Draw Odds Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2025
2025 Fall Draw Report - 1-2 Pass Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2025
2025 M Draw Report - 1-2 Pass Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2025
2025 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information (regulations booklet) Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2025
2026-2027 Arizona Hunting Regulations Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2026
2026 F Draw Report - 1-2 Pass Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2026
2026 M Draw Report - 1-2 Pass Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2026
2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information (regulations booklet) Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2026
2026 pronghorn, elk draw now open (AZGFD news release, Jan. 13, 2026) - Wayback copy Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved August 31, 2026 · 2026
Arizona Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book (July 2020 edition) — R12-4-114 as amended effective January 2, 2016 Arizona Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.