Montana Elk Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every elk tag in Montana — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Applications open:Mar 1 Closes Apr 1, 2027*:Main draw Closes Jun 1, 2027*:B license Cost to apply:$65 ($65 if you miss) Tags (2026):2,683 Nonresident share:capped at 10% Applicants:9,797

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Montana draw works (30-second version)

Bonus points (squared).

Every applicant gets points² + 1 entries in a random draw, so more points mean more chances — but never a guarantee.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 007-00 Elk B License 007-00 — Antlerless Elk 80 tags · 271 applicants
    9% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 100-00 Elk B License 100-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 20 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 101-00 Elk B License 101-00 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 10 applicants
    1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 101-01 Elk B License 101-01 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 8 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 101-50 Elk Permit 101-50 — Brow-tined Bull Elk (unlimited quota) — · 14 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 100% as 2nd choice
  • 103-00 Elk B License 103-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 14 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 104-00 Elk B License 104-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 6 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 121-00 Elk B License 121-00 — Antlerless Elk 15 tags · 39 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 121-01 Elk B License 121-01 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 7 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 122-00 Elk B License 122-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 8 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 123-00 Elk B License 123-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 9 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 124-00 Elk B License 124-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 6 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 170-00 Elk B License 170-00 — Antlerless Elk 10 tags · 3 applicants
    47% Undersubscribed
  • 200-00 Elk B License 200-00 — Antlerless Elk 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 201-00 Elk B License 201-00 — Antlerless Elk 15 tags · 29 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 202-00 Elk B License 202-00 — Antlerless Elk 7 tags · 16 applicants
    7% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 204-00 Elk B License 204-00 — Antlerless Elk 10 tags · 7 applicants
    16% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 210-02 Elk B License 210-02 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 16 applicants
    6% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 210-03 Elk B License 210-03 — Antlerless Elk 50 tags · 41 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 67% as 2nd choice
  • 210-04 Elk B License 210-04 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 13 applicants
    18% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 211-00 Elk B License 211-00 — Antlerless Elk 15 tags · 19 applicants
    19% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 212-00 Elk B License 212-00 — Antlerless Elk 3 tags · 0 applicants
    49% No first-choice applicants 0% as 2nd choice
  • 213-00 Elk B License 213-00 — Antlerless Elk 37 tags · 39 applicants
    87% Likely draw 0% as 2nd choice
  • 213-01 Elk B License 213-01 — Antlerless Elk 50 tags · 68 applicants
    50% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 215-01 Elk B License 215-01 — Antlerless Elk 25 tags · 56 applicants
    10% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 215-02 Elk B License 215-02 — Antlerless Elk 40 tags · 48 applicants
    72% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 216-00 Elk B License 216-00 — Antlerless Elk 7 tags · 13 applicants
    21% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 217-01 Elk B License 217-01 — Antlerless Elk 16 tags · 9 applicants
    42% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 217-02 Elk B License 217-02 — Antlerless Elk 15 tags · 3 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed
  • 217-10 Elk Permit 217-10 — Brow-tined Bull or Antlerless Elk 17 tags · 40 applicants
    4% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 217-11 Elk Permit 217-11 — Brow-tined Bull or Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 2 applicants
    16% Long shot
  • 240-01 Elk B License 240-01 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 18 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 250-00 Elk B License 250-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 21 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 250-45 Elk Permit 250-45 — Brow-tined Bull Elk 4 tags · 69 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 250-46 Elk Permit 250-46 — Brow-tined Bull Elk 4 tags · 27 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 261-00 Elk B License 261-00 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 6 applicants
    24% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 262-45 Elk Permit 262-45 — Brow-tined Bull Elk 2 tags · 4 applicants
    12% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 270-01 Elk B License 270-01 — Antlerless Elk 30 tags · 55 applicants
    22% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 270-02 Elk B License 270-02 — Antlerless Elk 50 tags · 207 applicants
    5% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 270-45 Elk Permit 270-45 — Brow-tined Bull Elk [(First Choice Only)] (unlimited quota) — · 528 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed
  • 281-01 Elk B License 281-01 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 6 applicants
    1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 282-00 Elk B License 282-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 10 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 282-10 Elk Permit 282-10 — Brow-tined Bull or Antlerless Elk 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 285-01 Elk B License 285-01 — Antlerless Elk 3 tags · 7 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 290-01 Elk B License 290-01 — Antlerless Elk 20 tags · 16 applicants
    49% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 291-03 Elk B License 291-03 — Antlerless Elk 40 tags · 60 applicants
    44% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 292-01 Elk B License 292-01 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 7 applicants
    8% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 293-00 Elk B License 293-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 16 applicants
    1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 293-01 Elk B License 293-01 — Antlerless Elk 30 tags · 8 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 89% as 2nd choice
  • 310-46 Elk Permit 310-46 — Brow-tined Bull Elk 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 313-00 Elk B License 313-00 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 5 applicants
    16% Long shot
  • 313-01 Elk B License 313-01 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 32 applicants
    1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 313-45 Elk Permit 313-45 — Brow-tined Bull Elk 5 tags · 80 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 317-00 Elk B License 317-00 — Antlerless Elk 50 tags · 69 applicants
    43% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 319-00 Elk B License 319-00 — Antlerless Elk 50 tags · 147 applicants
    12% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 320-00 Elk B License 320-00 — Antlerless Elk 20 tags · 55 applicants
    16% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 321-00 Elk B License 321-00 — Antlerless Elk 20 tags · 74 applicants
    10% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 322-00 Elk B License 322-00 — Antlerless Elk 10 tags · 12 applicants
    54% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 324-00 Elk B License 324-00 — Antlerless Elk 10 tags · 34 applicants
    11% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 331-00 Elk B License 331-00 — Antlerless Elk 50 tags · 172 applicants
    11% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 339-20 Elk Permit 339-20 — Either-sex Elk 4 tags · 38 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 340-00 Elk B License 340-00 — Antlerless Elk 40 tags · 58 applicants
    25% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 350-02 Elk B License 350-02 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 20 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 360-01 Elk B License 360-01 — Antlerless Elk 25 tags · 78 applicants
    15% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 361-00 Elk B License 361-00 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 32 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 370-02 Elk B License 370-02 — Antlerless Elk 22 tags · 10 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 55% as 2nd choice
  • 380-00 Elk B License 380-00 — Antlerless Elk 32 tags · 86 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 380-20 Elk Permit 380-20 — Either-sex Elk 10 tags · 615 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 391-00 Elk B License 391-00 — Antlerless Elk 17 tags · 54 applicants
    11% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 392-00 Elk B License 392-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 15 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 394-00 Elk B License 394-00 — Antlerless Elk 40 tags · 72 applicants
    6% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 396-00 Elk B License 396-00 — Antlerless Elk 60 tags · 41 applicants
    25% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 399-00 Elk B License 399-00 — Antlerless Elk 50 tags · 296 applicants
    4% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 401-20 Elk Permit 401-20 — Either-sex Elk 5 tags · 26 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 410-00 Elk B License 410-00 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 61 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 410-01 Elk B License 410-01 — Antlerless Elk 30 tags · 31 applicants
    91% Likely draw 0% as 2nd choice
  • 410-02 Elk B License 410-02 — Antlerless Elk 70 tags · 136 applicants
    18% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 410-20 Elk Permit 410-20 — Either-sex Elk 7 tags · 233 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 410-21 Elk Permit 410-21 — Either-sex Elk [ARCHERY ONLY] 100 tags · 341 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 411-00 Elk B License 411-00 — Antlerless Elk 120 tags · 118 applicants
    96% Likely draw 0% as 2nd choice
  • 411-20 Elk Permit 411-20 — Either-sex Elk [First and Only] 35 tags · 220 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 411-21 Elk Permit 411-21 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY] 100 tags · 182 applicants
    25% Long shot
  • 412-20 Elk Permit 412-20 — Either-sex Elk 12 tags · 51 applicants
    1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 417-02 Elk B License 417-02 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 18 applicants
    6% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 417-20 Elk Permit 417-20 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only)] 22 tags · 140 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 417-21 Elk Permit 417-21 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY] 30 tags · 121 applicants
    2% Point builder
  • 420-20 Elk Permit 420-20 — Brow-tined Bull or Antlerless Elk 8 tags · 41 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 422-00 Elk B License 422-00 — Antlerless Elk 20 tags · 19 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 17% as 2nd choice
  • 425-00 Elk B License 425-00 — Antlerless Elk 3 tags · 4 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 425-01 Elk B License 425-01 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 2 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 425-02 Elk B License 425-02 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 1 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 425-20 Elk Permit 425-20 — Either-sex Elk 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 426-20 Elk Permit 426-20 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only)] 6 tags · 51 applicants
    1% Point builder
  • 441-20 Elk Permit 441-20 — Either-sex Elk 3 tags · 12 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 442-00 Elk B License 442-00 — Antlerless Elk 2 tags · 7 applicants
    4% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 445-20 Elk Permit 445-20 — Either-sex Elk 3 tags · 28 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 447-00 Elk B License 447-00 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 14 applicants
    13% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 447-20 Elk Permit 447-20 — Either-sex Elk 10 tags · 72 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 447-21 Elk Permit 447-21 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY] 40 tags · 71 applicants
    19% Long shot
  • 448-00 Elk B License 448-00 — Antlerless Elk 15 tags · 46 applicants
    5% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 455-00 Elk B License 455-00 — Antlerless Elk 25 tags · 29 applicants
    11% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 455-20 Elk Permit 455-20 — Either-sex Elk 5 tags · 44 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 455-21 Elk Permit 455-21 — Either-sex Elk [ARCHERY ONLY] 10 tags · 21 applicants
    7% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 502-20 Elk Permit 502-20 — Either-sex Elk 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 555-00 Elk B License 555-00 — Antlerless Elk 3 tags · 15 applicants
    1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 555-20 Elk Permit 555-20 — Either-sex Elk 2 tags · 25 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 590-20 Elk Permit 590-20 — Either-sex Elk 38 tags · 120 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 595-21 Elk Permit 595-21 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY] 180 tags · 274 applicants
    40% Long shot
  • 620-20 Elk Permit 620-20 — Either-sex Elk 7 tags · 51 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 620-21 Elk Permit 620-21 — Either-sex Elk [ARCHERY ONLY] 100 tags · 190 applicants
    12% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 621-01 Elk B License 621-01 — Antlerless Elk 10 tags · 63 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 621-20 Elk Permit 621-20 — Either-sex Elk 5 tags · 77 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 622-00 Elk B License 622-00 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 45 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 622-20 Elk Permit 622-20 — Either-sex Elk 6 tags · 86 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 630-00 Elk B License 630-00 — Antlerless Elk 5 tags · 15 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 630-20 Elk Permit 630-20 — Either-sex Elk 2 tags · 31 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 630-21 Elk Permit 630-21 — Either-sex Elk [ARCHERY ONLY] 10 tags · 39 applicants
    1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 690-01 Elk B License 690-01 — Antlerless Elk 45 tags · 57 applicants
    36% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 690-20 Elk Permit 690-20 — Either-sex Elk 5 tags · 178 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 690-21 Elk Permit 690-21 — Either-sex Elk 5 tags · 119 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 698-00 Elk B License 698-00 — Antlerless Elk 10 tags · 28 applicants
    6% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 699-01 Elk B License 699-01 — Antlerless Elk 15 tags · 9 applicants
    65% Real chance
  • 700-00 Elk B License 700-00 — Antlerless Elk 30 tags · 295 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 700-20 Elk Permit 700-20 — Either-sex Elk 25 tags · 279 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 700-21 Elk Permit 700-21 — Either-sex Elk [ARCHERY ONLY] 80 tags · 286 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 702-20 Elk Permit 702-20 — Either-sex Elk 15 tags · 46 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 799-00 Elk B License 799-00 — Antlerless Elk 60 tags · 250 applicants
    7% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 799-20 Elk Permit 799-20 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only)] 32 tags · 523 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 799-21 Elk Permit 799-21 — Either-sex Elk [(First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY] 100 tags · 562 applicants
    <1% Point builder
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
As 2nd choice
Montana lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
328 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

007 100 89% public 101 79% public 103 51% public 104 78% public 110 86% public 120 27% public 121 82% public 122 54% public 123 91% public 124 66% public 130 90% public 140 93% public 141 98% public 150 100% public 170 10% public 200 89% public 201 77% public 202 94% public 204 64% public 210 43% public 211 82% public 212 78% public 213 58% public 214 59% public 215 51% public 216 90% public 217 29% public 240 80% public 250 97% public 260 13% public 261 62% public 262 4% public 270 85% public 280 100% public 281 75% public 282 88% public 284 15% public 285 76% public 290 18% public 291 20% public 292 52% public 293 56% public 298 7% public 301 87% public 302 76% public 303 74% public 304 45% public 309 8% public 310 91% public 311 15% public 312 23% public 313 86% public 314 42% public 315 20% public 316 99% public 317 67% public 318 82% public 319 78% public 320 45% public 321 63% public 322 26% public 323 74% public 324 48% public 329 66% public 331 81% public 335 56% public 339 29% public 340 49% public 341 343 54% public 350 82% public 360 55% public 361 80% public 370 38% public 380 42% public 388 16% public 390 10% public 391 40% public 392 91% public 393 13% public 394 396 399 400 13% public 401 9% public 403 11% public 404 8% public 405 9% public 406 9% public 410 47% public 411 21% public 412 16% public 413 34% public 415 98% public 416 47% public 417 37% public 418 21% public 419 11% public 420 53% public 421 12% public 422 45% public 424 98% public 425 40% public 426 21% public 432 47% public 441 37% public 442 99% public 444 16% public 445 12% public 446 23% public 447 21% public 448 74% public 450 23% public 451 17% public 452 39% public 455 99% public 471 19% public 502 11% public 515 7% public 525 64% public 535 17% public 540 34% public 555 68% public 565 99% public 575 4% public 580 22% public 590 10% public 595 600 20% public 620 41% public 621 77% public 622 74% public 630 67% public 640 15% public 650 14% public 652 62% public 670 44% public 690 19% public 698 699 700 37% public 701 19% public 702 12% public 703 16% public 704 30% public 705 30% public 799
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.