California Deer Draw Odds

In the 2025 draw California offered 82 deer hunts to residents and nonresidents in one shared draw, drawn partly by preference points and partly at random. At 0 points an applicant had at least an even chance in 12 hunts open to every hunter.

Applications Close
228 days
Jun 2

Open Apr 15 – Jun 2, 2027 (expected)

Cost to Apply
$588

Kept if you miss

Tags, All Residencies
22,812

2025 draw

Applicants
59,833

2025 draw, first choice

Point only: $377.35 nonresident · on the draw application · apply by Jun 2, 2027 (expected) → Buying Points in California

How the California Draw Works (30-Second Version)

Hybrid: preference + random.

Say a hunt has 100 nonresident tags. 90 go to the applicants with the most preference points; if the last point level that draws has more applicants than tags left, that level is split at random. The other 10 are drawn at random from everyone who missed the points pass, so an applicant with no points still has a chance.

Who can apply, fees and deadlines in California

Best Bets at 0 Points

Odds × hunter success × public land, 10 tags or more. Private-land, ranch, landowner and youth hunts left out.

Every Hunt at 0 Points

82 hunt codes drawn in 2025 · 17 at 50% or better · first choice · all residencies

90–100% 50–89% 10–49% 1–9% under 1% fewer than 5 tags: one applicant swings it
One Line per Hunt Odds at Every Point Level
C Zone C1 +3 · Buck · Zones General Seasons · Buck 100% —
G1 Zone C4 · Buck late · Late Season Buck Hunt in Zone C4 · General Methods 39% —
D12 Zone D12 · Buck · Zone Archery and General Seasons · Buck 86% —
D14 Zone D14 · Buck · Zone Archery and General Seasons · Buck 100% —
D17 Zone D17 · Buck · Zone Archery and General Seasons · Buck 29% —
A3 Zone X1 · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X1 · Buck 5% —
X1 Zone X1 · Buck · Zone General Season · Buck 4% —
A4 Zone X2 · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X2 · Buck 3% —
X2 Zone X2 · Buck · Zone General Season · Buck 2% —
A5 Zone X3A · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X3A · Buck 5% —
X3A Zone X3A · Buck · Zone General Season · Buck 3% —
A6 Zone X3B · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X3B · Buck 70% —
X3B Zone X3B · Buck · Zone General Season · Buck 6% —
A7 Zone X4 · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X4 · Buck 9% —
X4 Zone X4 · Buck · Zone General Season · Buck 5% —
A8 Zone X5A · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X5A · Buck 4% —
X5A Zone X5A · Buck · Zone General Season · Buck 1% —
A9 Zone X5B · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X5B · Buck 1% (small sample) —
X5B Zone X5B · Buck · Zone General Season · Buck <1% —
A11 Zone X6A · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X6A · Buck 2% —
X6A Zone X6A · Buck · Zone General Season · Buck 1% —
A12 Zone X6B · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X6B · Buck 7% —
X6B Zone X6B · Buck · Zone General Season · Buck 4% —
A13 Zone X7A · Buck archery · Archery Hunt In Zone X7A · Buck 11% —
J19 Youth · Zone X7A · Either-sex · Zone X7A Apprentice Either · Sex · General Methods 28% —

Showing 1–25 of 82 · sorted by zone · 9 hunts not offered in 2025 hidden — show discontinued hunts

Show all 82 hunts
What These Columns Mean
Odds at your points
—
the share of first-choice applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2025 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year. A badge marked * had under five tags, so one applicant either way swings it.
Pts needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2025 draw; the ▲ or ▼ is how far that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold. A 0 marks a hunt that went Undersubscribed: fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Tags / apps
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them.
Success
—
the share of hunters in the zone who killed an animal, from the latest harvest report on file. It is the whole zone's figure, not the hunt's.
Private land, RFW, ranch, youth
—
tags not every hunter can use: private-land-only hunts need landowner access, ranch hunts (Colorado's Ranching for Wildlife, Utah's CWMUs) come with access to one ranch, youth tags have an age limit. They are never best bets and never colour the map.
All 27 Zones
Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

About These Numbers

Every percentage here is the chance an applicant with that many points had in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results; quotas, applicant numbers and point levels change every year. A dash means the agency did not publish the number. Under five tags the percentage is flagged: one applicant either way swings it. Check the agency's site and apply there; we don't take applications. How we compute these.