No points in this draw. Every applicant has the same chance each year.

Alaska Brown Bear Draw Odds

In the 2025 draw Alaska offered 135 brown bear hunts to nonresidents, drawn at random with no points. 40 of them, open to every hunter, gave at least an even chance.

Applications Close
59 days
Dec 15

Open Nov 1 – Dec 15, 2026 (expected)

Cost to Apply
$165

Kept if you miss. Brown Bear license $1,000 only if drawn

Nonresident Tags
641

2025 draw

Applicants per Tag
28.3

18,127 nonresident applicants

How the Alaska Draw Works (30-Second Version)

Random draw.

Every applicant has the same chance: tags divided by applicants. No points count in this draw.

Who can apply, fees and deadlines in Alaska

Best Bets

Odds × hunter success × public land, 10 tags or more. Private-land, ranch, landowner and youth hunts left out.

Every Hunt

135 hunt codes drawn in 2025 · 40 at 50% or better · first choice · nonresident

Last year's odds were off by about 8 percentage points for the typical applicant. How we check

90–100% 50–89% 10–49% 1–9% under 1% fewer than 5 tags: one applicant swings it
DB077 Guided · Unit 4 · Rifle · Unit 4 (Fall) Brown Bear (guided nonresidents) 23% (small sample)
DB088 Guided · Unit 4 · Rifle · Unit 4, Outside Drainages Only (Spring) Brown Bear (guided nonresidents) 15% (small sample)
DB089 Guided · Unit 4 · Rifle · Unit 4, Inside Drainages Only (Spring) Brown Bear (guided nonresidents) 7% (small sample)
DB101 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Kizhuyak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB102 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, West Ugak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 36% (small sample)
DB103 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, South Ugak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 24% (small sample)
DB104 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Kiliuda Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 38% (small sample)
DB105 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Three Saints & Barling Bays (fall season, guided nonresidents) 50% (small sample)
DB106 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Kaiugnak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB107 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Aliulik Peninsula (fall season, guided nonresidents) 33% (small sample)
DB108 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Deadman Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB109 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Dog Salmon River (fall season, guided nonresidents) 14% (small sample)
DB110 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, South Olga Lakes (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB111 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Red Lake (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB112 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Frazer Lake (fall season, guided nonresidents) 7% (small sample)
DB113 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Karluk Lake (fall season, guided nonresidents) 17% (small sample)
DB114 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Halibut Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 25% (small sample)
DB115 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Sturgeon River (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB116 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, North Karluk River (fall season, guided nonresidents) 33% (small sample)
DB117 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, North Uyak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB118 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, South Uyak Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB119 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Zachar Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB120 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, South Spiridon Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 14% (small sample)
DB121 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Spiridon Lake (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)
DB122 Guided · Unit 8 · Any bear rifle · 08, Uganik Bay (fall season, guided nonresidents) 100% (small sample)

Showing 1–25 of 135 · sorted by unit · 2 hunts not offered in 2025 hidden — show discontinued hunts

Show all 135 hunts
What These Columns Mean
Odds
—
the share of first-choice applicants who drew this tag in the 2025 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year. A badge marked * had under five tags, so one applicant either way swings it.
Tags / apps
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them.
Success
—
the share of hunters in the unit who killed an animal, from the latest harvest report on file. It is the whole unit's figure, not the hunt's.
All 13 Units

Each unit has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

About These Numbers

Every percentage here is the chance any applicant had in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results; quotas and applicant numbers change every year. A dash means the agency did not publish the number. Under five tags the percentage is flagged: one applicant either way swings it. Check the agency's site and apply there; we don't take applications. How we compute these.