North Dakota Draw Odds

North Dakota's deer gun and muzzleloader licenses are a weighted lottery: your application is entered 2x(bonus points)+1 times with 1-3 points and (points cubed)+1 times at 4 or more, and points build every year you miss your first choice. Nonresidents get just 1% of the deer gun licenses in each unit (landowner licenses come out of that share first, often leaving zero lottery licenses in small units), plus a separate statewide any-deer bow lottery capped at 15% of mule deer gun licenses (240 in 2026); pronghorn, elk, moose and spring turkey lotteries are resident-only, and elk/moose/bighorn are once-in-a-lifetime. Deer applications close in early June (June 3 in 2026) with results in late June, and payment is only processed if you draw; a nonresident deer gun application costs $380 in fees ($350 license + $5 certificate + $20 habitat + $5 nonrefundable application fee). The only other lottery open to nonresidents is bighorn sheep (apply by late March, $600 up front, drawn September 1, maximum one nonresident license, once in a lifetime).

Every figure below cites the agency document it came from. Last verified September 1, 2026.

Odds by species

How the draw works

White-tailed / Mule Deer · nonresident

Bonus points (squared)

Worked example. Every applicant gets 2 × points + 1 (points³ + 1 from four points on) entries in a random draw, so more points mean more chances — but never a guarantee.

Max choices
4
Lower choices burn points
No
Point only purchase allowed
No
Points expire
No
Group apps average points
No

Lottery FAQ; N.D.C.C. 20.1-03-11(4) · verified Sep 1, 2026

White-tailed / Mule Deer · resident

Bonus points (squared)

Worked example. Every applicant gets 2 × points + 1 (points³ + 1 from four points on) entries in a random draw, so more points mean more chances — but never a guarantee.

Max choices
4
Lower choices burn points
No
Point only purchase allowed
Yes
Points expire
No
Group apps average points
No

Lottery FAQ, 'Bonus Point Calculation' table · verified Sep 1, 2026

Elk · resident

Random draw

Worked example. Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Max choices
4

N.D.C.C. 20.1-08-04.6 · verified Sep 1, 2026

Moose · resident

Random draw

Worked example. Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Max choices
4

N.D.C.C. 20.1-08-04.2 · verified Sep 1, 2026

Pronghorn · resident

Bonus points (squared)

Worked example. Every applicant gets 2 × points + 1 (points³ + 1 from four points on) entries in a random draw, so more points mean more chances — but never a guarantee.

Max choices
4
Lower choices burn points
No
Point only purchase allowed
Yes
Points expire
No
Group apps average points
No

hunting/lotteries ('first lotteries for deer gun, muzzleloader deer, pronghorn, swan, and wild turkey are weighted lotteries'); 2026 Pronghorn Guide · verified Sep 1, 2026

Bighorn Sheep · nonresident

Random draw

Worked example. Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Max choices
1

N.D.C.C. 20.1-08-04.1 · verified Sep 1, 2026

Bighorn Sheep · resident

Random draw

Worked example. Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Max choices
1

N.D.C.C. 20.1-08-04.1 · verified Sep 1, 2026

Nonresident allocation

White-tailed / Mule Deer: 1% per unit N.D.C.C. 20.1-03-11(4)
White-tailed / Mule Deer: 15% of quota — Separate statewide any-deer BOW allocation: '15 percent of the total mule deer licenses and permits to hunt mule deer made available in the current year for the regular gun season must be made available to nonresidents to hunt any deer with bow and arrow' - 240 licenses in 2026 (2026 Deer Guide). Nonresident whitetail-only bow licenses are unlimited. N.D.C.C. 20.1-03-11(10)
Bighorn Sheep: — fixed count N.D.C.C. 20.1-08-04.1
Pronghorn: 0% of quota — 'Only North Dakota residents are eligible for a license.' 2026 Pronghorn Guide, Eligibility
Elk: 0% of quota — Lottery open to residents only. N.D.C.C. 20.1-08-04.6
Moose: 0% of quota — Lottery open to residents only. N.D.C.C. 20.1-08-04.2

Nonresident fees (2026)

Showing nonresident fees. Switch to resident

FeeAmount Paid at applicationRefundableSource
Nonresident bighorn sheep application fee (nonrefundable) (Bighorn Sheep) $100 Yes No Nonresident licensing and fees
Nonresident deer gun application fee (nonrefundable) (White-tailed / Mule Deer) $5 Yes No Nonresident licensing and fees
Fishing, Hunting, Furbearer Certificate $5 Yes No Nonresident licensing and fees
General Game and Habitat License $20 Yes Yes Nonresident licensing and fees
Nonresident any-deer bow license (statewide lottery) (White-tailed / Mule Deer) $350 If drawn Yes Nonresident licensing and fees
Nonresident bighorn sheep license (Bighorn Sheep) $1,000 If drawn Yes Nonresident licensing and fees
Nonresident deer gun/muzzleloader license (White-tailed / Mule Deer) $350 If drawn Yes Nonresident licensing and fees

Deadlines (2026)

Bighorn Sheep: closes Mar 25, 2027 (expected); results ~Sep 1. (2026 ran – Mar 25.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. 'Applications for the annual bighorn sheep lottery are due at the same time as elk and moose (usually late March), however the lottery itself is not run until September 1 after summer population surveys are completed and total licenses are determined.' Nonresidents pay $600 with the application (see fees). Bighorn Sheep Hunting page (2026)
Elk · resident: closes Mar 25, 2027 (expected). (2026 ran – Mar 25.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. Moose, elk and bighorn sheep share one application window (opens early March per the agency schedule; 2026 deadline March 25, finalized); elk/moose results mid-April. One species of the three per year. Bighorn Sheep Hunting page (2026)
Moose · resident: closes Mar 25, 2027 (expected). (2026 ran – Mar 25.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. Same window as elk/bighorn; results mid-April. Bighorn Sheep Hunting page (2026)
White-tailed / Mule Deer · nonresident: opens Apr 15, closes May 15, 2027 (expected). (2026 ran Apr 15 – May 15.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. Nonresident ANY-DEER BOW lottery only: 'Nonresident Any Deer Archery online lottery applications are available between April 15 and May 15 each year.' (March 15 - April 15 in 2022-2023.) The nonresident deer GUN lottery uses the June 3 window above. Deer Hunting - season dates, lottery info (2026)
White-tailed / Mule Deer · nonresident: closes Jun 3, 2027 (expected); results ~Jun 24. (2026 ran – Jun 3.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. Nonresident deer GUN and muzzleloader lottery: 'Lottery Application Deadline: Wed, 06/03/2026 (Date Finalized)' on the deer page; lottery held June 24, 2026 (news release). Payment is processed only for successful applicants. Deer Hunting - season dates, lottery info (2026)
White-tailed / Mule Deer: closes Jun 3, 2027 (expected); results ~Jun 24. (2026 ran – Jun 3.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. 'Online lottery applications for the gun seasons are generally made available in early May'; deadline June 3, 2026 (finalized). Results date now confirmed rather than estimated: NDGF's 'Deer Lottery Held, Licenses Remain' release is dated Wed 06/24/2026 and states the lottery 'has been held' (same June 24 date as 2025). Payment is processed only for successful applicants. Historical deadlines: 6/8/2022, 6/7/2023, 6/5/2024, 6/4/2025. The 2026 proclamation allowed 39,100 deer gun licences against 72,000+ lottery applicants plus 12,000+ gratis applicants; more than 1,200 licences went unclaimed and went to a resident-only second lottery open July 1 - July 15, with licences mailed in early August. Deer Hunting - season dates, lottery info (2026)
Pronghorn · resident: closes Aug 5, 2027 (expected). (2026 ran – Aug 5.) Tag fee is charged only if you draw. Applications open mid-July (agency schedule); deadline Aug 5, 2026 (finalized); results mid-August. Residents only. Pronghorn Hunting page (2026)

Legal cartridges in North Dakota

Drew a tag? Check which cartridges are legal for your species and weapon on the North Dakota hunting laws page.

Sources

2026 Deer Lottery Stats (resident first lottery, by unit/license type/bonus points) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
2026 Elk Lottery Stats (resident) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
2026 Moose Lottery Stats (resident) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
2026 Nonresident Deer Lottery Stats North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
2026 North Dakota Pronghorn Hunting Guide North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
2026 Pronghorn Lottery Stats (resident) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Bighorn Sheep Hunting page (2026) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Bighorn Sheep Lottery Stats 2017-2025 North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025
Deer Hunting - season dates, lottery info (2026) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Deer Lottery Stats - Archive 2017-2025 (resident) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025
Elk Lottery Stats - Archive 2017-2025 North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025
Hunting Lotteries overview North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Lottery FAQ (bonus points) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Moose Lottery Stats - Archive 2017-2025 North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025
N.D.C.C. Chapter 20.1-03 (Licenses) North Dakota Legislative Branch · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
N.D.C.C. Chapter 20.1-08 (Proclamations) North Dakota Legislative Branch · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Nonresident Deer Lottery Stats - Archive 2019-2025 North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025
Nonresident licensing and fees North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Pronghorn Hunting page (2026) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Pronghorn Lottery Stats - Archive 2017-2025 (resident) North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025
Resident licensing and fees North Dakota Game and Fish Department · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.