AmmoSight

Alaska Moose Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every moose tag in Alaska — straight from the 2025 draw results.

Next application:opens Nov 1, closes Dec 15, 2026 (expected) Cost to apply:$165 ($165 if you miss) Nonresident tags (2025):1,152 Applicants:33,579

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Alaska draw works (30-second version)

Random draw.

Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

No points in this draw — every nonresident applicant has the same chance.

Chances are from the 2025 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • DM160 6A, Cape Suckling to Palm Point 2 tags · 407 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DM210 7 & 14C, head of Turnagain Arm 40 tags · 5,635 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DM335 13A - Non Resident Hunt 15 tags · 381 applicants
    4% Long shot
  • DM336 13B - Non Resident Hunt 25 tags · 401 applicants
    6% Long shot
  • DM337 13C - Non Resident Hunt 25 tags · 154 applicants
    16% Long shot
  • DM338 13D - Non Resident Hunt 25 tags · 480 applicants
    5% Long shot
  • DM339 13E - Non Resident Hunt 25 tags · 667 applicants
    4% Long shot
  • DM421 14C, JBER Qualified Disabled Veterans 3 tags · 230 applicants
    1% Long shot
  • DM422 14C, Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson 10 tags · 948 applicants
    1% Long shot
  • DM423 14C, Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson 2 tags · 150 applicants
    1% Long shot
  • DM424 14C, Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson 30 tags · 2,510 applicants
    1% Long shot
  • DM426 14C, JBER Qualified Disabled Veterans 10 tags · 642 applicants
    2% Long shot
  • DM427 14C, Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson 15 tags · 1,125 applicants
    1% Long shot
  • DM428 14C, Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson 7 tags · 611 applicants
    1% Long shot
  • DM430 14C, Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson 3 tags · 284 applicants
    1% Long shot
  • DM446 14C, Ship Creek drainage above Ft. Richardson 10 tags · 557 applicants
    2% Long shot
  • DM447 14C, Ship Creek drainage above Ft. Richardson 10 tags · 801 applicants
    1% Long shot
  • DM448 14C, Birchwood Management Area 2 tags · 110 applicants
    2% Long shot
  • DM549 15C, Homer 65 tags · 4,806 applicants
    1% Long shot
  • DM570 17A 20 tags · 389 applicants
    5% Long shot
  • DM612 18, Zone 1 100 tags · 585 applicants
    17% Long shot
  • DM681 19C, Farewell 14 tags · 652 applicants
    2% Long shot
  • DM682 19C, Farewell 6 tags · 24 applicants
    25% Long shot
  • DM766 20A Wood River CUA, East Central Muzzleloader 65 tags · 469 applicants
    14% Long shot
  • DM784 20B, Minto Flats Mgt Area 8 tags · 198 applicants
    4% Long shot
  • DM786 20B, Fairbanks Mgt Area, Qualified Disabled Vets Only 37 tags · 254 applicants
    15% Long shot
  • DM788 20B, Fairbanks Management Area 113 tags · 1,490 applicants
    8% Long shot
  • DM790 20D, Delta Jct Mgmt Area 20 tags · 3,594 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DM795 20D, Delta Junction Management Area Qualified Disabled & Purple Heart Recipients 6 tags · 221 applicants
    3% Long shot
  • DM802 21B, East of the Nowitna River Corridor 67 tags · 170 applicants
    39% Long shot
  • DM805 21B, Lower Nowitna River Corridor 2 tags · 73 applicants
    3% Long shot
  • DM808 21B, West of the Nowitna River Corridor 78 tags · 91 applicants
    86% Likely draw
  • DM809 21B, Upper Nowitna Corridor 3 tags · 113 applicants
    3% Long shot
  • DM811 21B, Upper Nowitna Corridor 7 tags · 6 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed
  • DM815 21D, Bear Creek drainage 2 tags · 19 applicants
    11% Long shot
  • DM816 21D, Yuki/Bishop creek drainages 25 tags · 440 applicants
    6% Long shot
  • DM817 21D, Nulato River/Kaiyuh Flats 31 tags · 282 applicants
    11% Long shot
  • DM818 21D, Papa Willie Creek 25 tags · 255 applicants
    10% Long shot
  • DM819 21D, Bear Creek Drainage 2 tags · 0 applicants
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • DM820 21D, Gisasa/Kateel River drainages 15 tags · 157 applicants
    10% Long shot
  • DM823 21CD and 24CD, Koyukuk CUA upstream from Gisasa River 1 tags · 1 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed
  • DM825 21CD and 24CD, Koyukuk CUA upstream from Gisasa River 1 tags · 6 applicants
    17% Long shot
  • DM827 21CD and 24CD, Koyukuk CUA upstream from Gisasa River 1 tags · 108 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DM829 21CD and 24CD, Koyukuk CUA upstream from Gisasa River 1 tags · 172 applicants
    <1% Long shot
  • DM837 21E - Middle Yukon 42 tags · 884 applicants
    5% Long shot
  • DM839 21E - Middle Yukon 18 tags · 75 applicants
    24% Long shot
  • DM845 22B, East of the Darby Mtns 8 tags · 12 applicants
    67% Real chance
  • DM855 22E 5 tags · 297 applicants
    2% Long shot
  • DM892 24D, Huslia/Dakli River drainages 35 tags · 34 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed
  • DM920 24A and 25A, within the Dalton Highway Corridor MA, north of Slate Creek 20 tags · 828 applicants
    2% Long shot
  • DM922 24A, within the Dalton Highway Corridor MA, south of Slate Creek 50 tags · 781 applicants
    6% Long shot
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2025 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2025 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
113 hunts not offered in 2025 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

1 1A 45% success 1B 17% success 1C 24% success 1D 12% success 2 100% success 3 18% success 4 33% success 5A 42% success 5B 52% success 6A 38% success 6B 31% success 6C 83% success 6D 20% success 7 15% success 8 0% success 9 9A 38% success 9B 30% success 9C 37% success 9D 0% success 9E 50% success 10 11 19% success 12 17% success 13 2% success 13A 18% success 13B 15% success 13C 20% success 13D 18% success 13E 19% success 14 10% success 14A 16% success 14B 12% success 14C 22% success 15 14% success 15A 12% success 15B 14% success 15C 15% success 16 0% success 16A 13% success 16B 26% success 17A 24% success 17B 43% success 17C 30% success 18 66% success 19 19A 59% success 19B 49% success 19C 48% success 19D 48% success 19E 54% success 20 0% success 20A 26% success 20B 14% success 20C 19% success 20D 17% success 20E 12% success 20F 7% success 21 0% success 21A 42% success 21B 30% success 21C 43% success 21D 40% success 21E 67% success 22 0% success 22A 70% success 22B 35% success 22C 20% success 22D 42% success 22E 51% success 23 26% success 24 0% success 24A 27% success 24B 29% success 24C 24% success 24D 58% success 25 0% success 25A 31% success 25B 25% success 25C 13% success 25D 29% success 26 26A 63% success 26B 25% success 26C 50% success 27 Unit 27 30% success
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.