AmmoSight

Tennessee Elk Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every elk tag in Tennessee — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Feb 3, closes Feb 24, 2027 Cost to apply:$12 ($12 if you miss) Tags (2026):17 Nonresident share:capped at 25%
How the Tennessee draw works (30-second version)

Random draw.

Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

No points in this draw — every nonresident applicant has the same chance.

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • ELK-ARCH-EHZ1 Elk Archery-Only - EHZ 1 Chestnut Ridge and Fork Mountain 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-ARCH-EHZ10 Elk Archery-Only - EHZ 10 Sundquist 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-ARCH-EHZ2-6 Elk Archery-Only - EHZ 2 Adkins and Turley Mountain / EHZ 6 Braden Mountain 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-ARCH-EHZ3 Elk Archery-Only - EHZ 3 Horse Gap and Wolf Ridge 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-ARCH-EHZ4 Elk Archery-Only - EHZ 4 Anderson and Massengale Mountain 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-ARCH-EHZ5 Elk Archery-Only - EHZ 5 Cross Mountain and Red Ash 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-ARCH-EHZ7 Elk Archery-Only - EHZ 7 Rock Creek 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-ARCH-EHZ8 Elk Archery-Only - EHZ 8 Cooper Ridge 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-ARCH-EHZ9 Elk Archery-Only - EHZ 9 Valley Creek 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-GUN-EHZ10 Elk Gun/Muzzleloader/Archery - EHZ 10 Sundquist 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-GUN-EHZ2-6 Elk Gun/Muzzleloader/Archery - EHZ 2 Adkins and Turley Mountain / EHZ 6 Braden Mountain 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-GUN-EHZ3 Elk Gun/Muzzleloader/Archery - EHZ 3 Horse Gap and Wolf Ridge 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-GUN-EHZ4 Elk Gun/Muzzleloader/Archery - EHZ 4 Anderson and Massengale Mountain 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-GUN-EHZ5 Elk Gun/Muzzleloader/Archery - EHZ 5 Cross Mountain and Red Ash 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-GUN-EHZ7 Elk Gun/Muzzleloader/Archery - EHZ 7 Rock Creek 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-GUN-EHZ8 Elk Gun/Muzzleloader/Archery - EHZ 8 Cooper Ridge 1 tags
    — Cut level
  • ELK-GUN-EHZ9 Elk Gun/Muzzleloader/Archery - EHZ 9 Valley Creek 1 tags
    — Cut level
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
3 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

1 EHZ 1 Chestnut Ridge and Fork Mountain 98% public 2 EHZ 2 Adkins and Turley Mountain 96% public 3 EHZ 3 Horse Gap and Wolf Ridge 100% public 4 EHZ 4 Anderson and Massengale Mountain 100% public 5 EHZ 5 Cross Mountain and Red Ash 99% public 6 EHZ 6 Braden Mountain 100% public 7 EHZ 7 Rock Creek 1% public 7N EHZ 7N Ed Carter North (2022-2023 zone set) 0% public 7S EHZ 7S Ed Carter South (2022-2023 zone set) 1% public 8 EHZ 8 Cooper Ridge 0% public 9 EHZ 9 Valley Creek 0% public 10 EHZ 10 Sundquist 96% public
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.