Arizona Antelope (Pronghorn) Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every pronghorn tag in Arizona — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Jan 13, closes Feb 3, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$175 ($175 if you miss) Tags (2026):77 Nonresident share:capped at 10% Applicants:10,361

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Arizona draw works (30-second version)

Split: points + random.

20% of the tags go to the applicants with the most points; the other 80% are drawn at random with points + 1 entries per applicant, so points still help but never guarantee a tag.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 2001 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 1 3 tags · 575 applicants
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2002 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 2A 1 tags · 158 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2003 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 2C 1 tags · 58 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2004 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 3A 1 tags · 98 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2005 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 3C 1 tags · 55 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2006 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 4A 1 tags · 485 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2007 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 4B 1 tags · 232 applicants
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2008 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 5A 1 tags · 712 applicants
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2009 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 5B 2 tags · 2,182 applicants · needed 32 pts
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2010 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 6A 1 tags · 171 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2011 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 6B North (excluding Camp Navajo) 0 tags · 8 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2012 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 6B South 0 tags · 7 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2013 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 7 4 tags · 711 applicants · needed 30 pts
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2014 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 8 1 tags · 68 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2015 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 9 2 tags · 392 applicants · needed 30 pts
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2016 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 10 6 tags · 2,107 applicants · needed 30 pts
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2017 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 12A and 12B 1 tags · 61 applicants
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2018 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 13A 1 tags · 257 applicants
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2019 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 13B 2 tags · 176 applicants · needed 28 pts
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2020 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 17A 1 tags · 67 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2021 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 18A 1 tags · 110 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2022 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 18B 19A (north of AZ Hwy 89A and that portion south of AZ Hwy 89A that 1 tags · 50 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2023 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 19A (north of AZ Hwy 89A and that portion south of AZ Hwy 89A that is east of Fain Rd, north of AZ Hwy 69/169, and west of FR 151/643) 2 tags · 278 applicants · needed 29 pts
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2024 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | is east of Fain Rd, north of AZ Hwy 69/169, and west of FR 151/643) 19B 1 tags · 143 applicants
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2025 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | Pronghorn Hunts 21 1 tags · 16 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2026 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 30A 1 tags · 26 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2027 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 31 and 32 1 tags · 23 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2028 GENERAL PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 35A (excluding Fort Huachuca) and 35B 1 tags · 9 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2029 MUZZLELOADER PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 2B 1 tags · 27 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2030 MUZZLELOADER PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 3B 1 tags · 30 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2031 MUZZLELOADER PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 8 1 tags · 18 applicants
    <1% Point builder 2% as 2nd choice
  • 2032 MUZZLELOADER PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 15A and 15B 0 tags · 5 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2033 MUZZLELOADER PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 17B and 19B 1 tags · 105 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2034 MUZZLELOADER PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 18A 1 tags · 50 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2035 MUZZLELOADER PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 18B 19A (north of AZ Hwy 89A and that portion south of AZ Hwy 89A that 0 tags · 3 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2036 MUZZLELOADER PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 19A (north of AZ Hwy 89A and that portion south of AZ Hwy 89A that is east of Fain Rd, north of AZ Hwy 69/169, and west of FR 151/643) 1 tags · 67 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2037 MUZZLELOADER PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | is east of Fain Rd, north of AZ Hwy 69/169, and west of FR 151/643) 34A and 34B 1 tags · 8 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2038 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 1 3 tags · 126 applicants · needed 22 pts
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2039 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 3A 1 tags · 6 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2040 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 3B 1 tags · 8 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2041 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 4A 0 tags · 6 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2042 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 4B 1 tags · 23 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2043 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 5A 1 tags · 19 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2044 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 5B 1 tags · 176 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2045 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 6A 1 tags · 19 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2046 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 6B North (excluding Camp Navajo) 1 tags · 4 applicants
    2% Point builder 8% as 2nd choice
  • 2047 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 7 1 tags · 61 applicants
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2048 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 9 1 tags · 22 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2049 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 10 3 tags · 153 applicants · needed 24 pts
    <1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
  • 2050 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 11M 1 tags · 13 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2051 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 12A and 12B 1 tags · 5 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2052 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 13A 1 tags · 19 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2053 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 15A and 15B 0 tags · 3 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2054 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 17B and 19B 1 tags · 41 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2055 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 18A 19A (north of AZ Hwy 89A and the portion south of AZ Hwy 89A 1 tags · 13 applicants
    <1% Point builder 2% as 2nd choice
  • 2056 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 19A (north of AZ Hwy 89A and the portion south of AZ Hwy 89A that is east of Robert Road, north of AZ Hwy 69/169, and west of FR 151/643) 1 tags · 59 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2057 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 151/643) 21 0 tags · 5 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2058 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 30A 0 tags · 2 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2059 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 31 and 32 1 tags · 2 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2060 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 34A and 34B 1 tags · 3 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2061 ARCHERY-ONLY PRONGHORN | Buck pronghorn | 35A (excluding Fort Huachuca) and 35B 1 tags · 8 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2801 General | Buck pronghorn | 04A 1 tags · 0 applicants
    14% No first-choice applicants 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2802 General | Buck pronghorn | 05A 1 tags · 0 applicants
    30% No first-choice applicants 0% as 2nd choice
  • 2803 General | Buck pronghorn | 05B 1 tags · 1 applicants
    3% Point builder
  • 2804 Archery-Only | Buck pronghorn | 04A 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 2805 Archery-Only | Buck pronghorn | 05A 1 tags · 0 applicants
    67% No first-choice applicants
  • 2806 Archery-Only | Buck pronghorn | 05B 1 tags
    100% Likely draw
  • 2901 Archery-Only | Buck pronghorn | CN 1 tags · 16 applicants
    1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
As 2nd choice
Arizona lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.