AmmoSight

Utah Antelope (Pronghorn) Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every pronghorn tag in Utah — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Mar 19, closes Apr 23, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$165 ($165 if you miss) Nonresident tags (2026):178 Applicants:6,458

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Utah draw works (30-second version)

Split: points + random.

50% of the tags go to the applicants with the most points; the other 50% are drawn at random with points + 1 entries per applicant, so points still help but never guarantee a tag.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • PB5000 LE Buck Pronghorn - Beaver 1 tags · 24 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5001 LE Buck Pronghorn - Book Cliffs, Bitter Creek 1 tags · 12 applicants
    3% Point builder
  • PB5002 LE Buck Pronghorn - Book Cliffs, South 1 tags · 49 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5004 LE Buck Pronghorn - Box Elder, Puddle Valley 1 tags · 5 applicants
    9% Point builder
  • PB5005 LE Buck Pronghorn - Box Elder, Snowville 1 tags · 3 applicants
    7% Point builder
  • PB5006 LE Buck Pronghorn - Box Elder, West 1 tags · 4 applicants
    14% Point builder
  • PB5008 LE Buck Pronghorn - Fillmore, Oak Creek South 2 tags · 31 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5011 LE Buck Pronghorn - Nine Mile, Anthro-Myton Bench 3 tags · 20 applicants · needed 10 pts
    1% Point builder
  • PB5012 LE Buck Pronghorn - North Slope, Three Corners/West Daggett 1 tags · 15 applicants
    2% Point builder
  • PB5013 LE Buck Pronghorn - Pine Valley 1 tags · 8 applicants
    3% Point builder
  • PB5015 LE Buck Pronghorn - San Rafael, North 2 tags · 70 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5016 LE Buck Pronghorn - Diamond Mtn/Bonanza 2 tags · 22 applicants · needed 15 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5017 LE Buck Pronghorn - Vernal 2 tags · 9 applicants · needed 14 pts
    3% Point builder
  • PB5018 LE Buck Pronghorn - Southwest Desert 4 tags · 54 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5019 LE Buck Pronghorn - West Desert, Riverbed 2 tags · 29 applicants · needed 15 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5020 LE Buck Pronghorn - West Desert, Rush Valley 1 tags · 3 applicants
    6% Point builder
  • PB5021 LE Buck Pronghorn - West Desert, Snake Valley 3 tags · 26 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5024 LE Buck Pronghorn - Southwest Desert 4 tags · 43 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5025 LE Buck Pronghorn - Beaver 5 tags · 345 applicants · needed 18 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5026 LE Buck Pronghorn - Book Cliffs, Bitter Creek 6 tags · 184 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5027 LE Buck Pronghorn - Book Cliffs, South 4 tags · 671 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5028 LE Buck Pronghorn - Box Elder, Promontory 2 tags · 44 applicants · needed 13 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5029 LE Buck Pronghorn - Box Elder, Puddle Valley 2 tags · 54 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5030 LE Buck Pronghorn - Box Elder, Snowville 3 tags · 100 applicants · needed 14 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5031 LE Buck Pronghorn - Box Elder, West 3 tags · 116 applicants · needed 14 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5033 LE Buck Pronghorn - Fillmore, Oak Creek South 5 tags · 280 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5035 LE Buck Pronghorn - La Sal, Potash/South Cisco 2 tags · 122 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5037 LE Buck Pronghorn - Nine Mile, Anthro-Myton Bench 9 tags · 120 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5038 LE Buck Pronghorn - Nine Mile, Range Creek 1 tags · 53 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5039 LE Buck Pronghorn - North Slope, Summit 2 tags · 24 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5040 LE Buck Pronghorn - North Slope, Three Corners/West Daggett 3 tags · 89 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5041 LE Buck Pronghorn - Panguitch Lake/Zion, North 2 tags · 171 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5042 LE Buck Pronghorn - Pine Valley 2 tags · 107 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5045 LE Buck Pronghorn - San Rafael, Desert 1 tags · 67 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5046 LE Buck Pronghorn - San Rafael, North 6 tags · 1,149 applicants · needed 19 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5047 LE Buck Pronghorn - Diamond Mtn/Bonanza 5 tags · 152 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5048 LE Buck Pronghorn - Vernal 6 tags · 143 applicants · needed 15 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5049 LE Buck Pronghorn - Southwest Desert 10 tags · 759 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5050 LE Buck Pronghorn - West Desert, Riverbed 8 tags · 197 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5051 LE Buck Pronghorn - West Desert, Rush Valley 4 tags · 109 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5052 LE Buck Pronghorn - West Desert, Snake Valley 11 tags · 209 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5054 LE Buck Pronghorn - Panguitch Lake/Zion, North 1 tags · 37 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5056 LE Buck Pronghorn - San Rafael, North 2 tags · 40 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5059 LE Buck Pronghorn - Nine Mile, Anthro-Myton Bench 2 tags · 23 applicants · needed 15 pts
    1% Point builder
  • PB5060 LE Buck Pronghorn - Diamond Mtn/Bonanza 2 tags · 21 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5061 LE Buck Pronghorn - Panguitch Lake/Zion, North 1 tags · 18 applicants
    1% Point builder
  • PB5062 LE Buck Pronghorn - Pine Valley 1 tags · 17 applicants
    1% Point builder
  • PB5065 LE Buck Pronghorn - Fillmore, Oak Creek South 2 tags · 25 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5066 LE Buck Pronghorn - North Slope, Three Corners/West Daggett 1 tags · 12 applicants
    2% Point builder
  • PB5072 LE Buck Pronghorn - Vernal 2 tags · 8 applicants · needed 7 pts
    4% Point builder
  • PB5076 LE Buck Pronghorn - Parker Mtn 14 tags · 322 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5077 LE Buck Pronghorn - Parker Mtn 5 tags · 52 applicants · needed 7 pts
    2% Point builder
  • PB5078 LE Buck Pronghorn - Parker Mtn 5 tags · 37 applicants · needed 11 pts
    1% Point builder
  • PB5079 LE Buck Pronghorn - Box Elder, West 1 tags · 16 applicants
    2% Point builder
  • PB5080 LE Buck Pronghorn - Box Elder, Snowville 1 tags · 20 applicants
    1% Point builder
  • PB5331 LE Buck Pronghorn - Mt Dutton/Paunsaugunt 2 tags · 108 applicants · needed 17 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • PB5332 LE Buck Pronghorn - Mt Dutton/Paunsaugunt 1 tags · 10 applicants
    1% Point builder
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
42 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

Allen Ranch Allen Ranch 0% public Antelope Creek Antelope Creek 0% public Beaver Beaver 80% public Book Cliffs, Bitter Creek Book Cliffs, Bitter Creek 59% public Book Cliffs, South Book Cliffs, South 96% public Box Elder, Promontory Box Elder, Promontory 25% public Box Elder, Puddle Valley Box Elder, Puddle Valley 95% public Box Elder, Snowville Box Elder, Snowville 58% public Box Elder, West Box Elder, West 59% public Cache/morgan-south Rich/ogden Cache/morgan-south Rich/ogden 35% public Cache, Rich Cache, Rich 56% public Castle Valley Outdoors Castle Valley Outdoors 1% public Cedar Springs Cedar Springs 2% public Cottonwood Ridge Cottonwood Ridge 0% public Deseret Deseret 7% public Diamond Mtn/Bonanza Diamond Mtn/Bonanza 81% public Ensign Ranches Ensign Ranches 0% public Fillmore, Oak Creek South Fillmore, Oak Creek South 67% public George Creek George Creek 6% public Green River Flat Green River Flat 0% public Heist Heist 0% public Iron Spring Iron Spring 0% public Junction Valley Junction Valley 1% public Kaiparowits Kaiparowits 99% public La Sal, Potash/South Cisco La Sal, Potash/South Cisco 98% public Mt Dutton/Paunsaugunt Mt Dutton/Paunsaugunt 85% public Nine Mile, Anthro-Myton Bench Nine Mile, Anthro-Myton Bench 66% public Nine Mile, Range Creek Nine Mile, Range Creek 69% public North Slope, Summit North Slope, Summit 89% public North Slope, Three Corners/West Daggett North Slope, Three Corners/West Daggett 89% public Pahvant Ensign Pahvant Ensign 0% public Panguitch Lake/Zion, North Panguitch Lake/Zion, North 81% public Parker Mtn Parker Mtn 92% public Park Valley Park Valley 0% public Pine Valley Pine Valley 70% public Plateau, Highlands Plateau, Highlands Plateau, Parker Mtn Plateau, Parker Mtn 92% public Prohibition Springs Prohibition Springs 1% public Rabbit Creek Rabbit Creek 8% public Rlf Deep Creek Rlf Deep Creek 0% public Salt Wells Salt Wells 0% public San Juan, Hatch Point San Juan, Hatch Point 76% public San Rafael, Desert San Rafael, Desert 99% public San Rafael, North San Rafael, North 85% public Skull Valley South Skull Valley South 2% public Snowville Flat Snowville Flat 0% public South Slope, Bonanza/diamond Mtn South Slope, Bonanza/diamond Mtn 81% public South Slope, Vernal South Slope, Vernal 71% public Southwest Desert Southwest Desert 89% public Sweetwater Sweetwater 1% public The Rose of Snowville The Rose of Snowville 0% public TL Bar Ranch TL Bar Ranch 12% public Vernal Vernal 71% public West Desert, Riverbed West Desert, Riverbed 89% public West Desert, Rush Valley West Desert, Rush Valley 45% public West Desert, Snake Valley West Desert, Snake Valley 95% public Westlake Westlake 1% public West Willow Creek Ranch West Willow Creek Ranch 12% public Zane Zane 0% public
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.