AmmoSight

Montana Deer Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every deer tag in Montana — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Applications open:Mar 1 Closes Apr 1, 2027*:Main draw Closes Jun 1, 2027*:B license Cost to apply:$65 ($65 if you miss) Tags (2026):2,940 Nonresident share:capped at 10% Applicants:5,456

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Montana draw works (30-second version)

Bonus points (squared).

Every applicant gets points² + 1 entries in a random draw, so more points mean more chances — but never a guarantee.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 004-01 Deer B License 004-01 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 200 tags · 129 applicants
    — No data
  • 005-00 Deer B License 005-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 450 tags · 122 applicants
    — No data
  • 006-00 Deer B License 006-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 200 tags · 65 applicants
    — No data
  • 007-00 Deer B License 007-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 600 tags · 458 applicants
    — No data
  • 007-03 Deer B License 007-03 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 100 tags · 511 applicants
    — No data
  • 100-00 Deer B License 100-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 10 tags · 60 applicants
    5% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 101-00 Deer B License 101-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 20 tags · 26 applicants
    25% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 101-50 Deer Permit 101-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 1 tags · 25 applicants
    — No data
  • 103-00 Deer B License 103-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 15 tags · 39 applicants
    4% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 103-50 Deer Permit 103-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 1 tags · 32 applicants
    — No data
  • 104-00 Deer B License 104-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 10 tags · 15 applicants
    18% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 110-00 Deer B License 110-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 10 tags · 5 applicants
    50% Undersubscribed 0% as 2nd choice
  • 120-00 Deer B License 120-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 7 tags · 8 applicants
    5% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 121-00 Deer B License 121-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 15 tags · 42 applicants
    6% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 122-00 Deer B License 122-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 10 tags · 14 applicants
    4% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 123-00 Deer B License 123-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 8 applicants
    6% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 124-00 Deer B License 124-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 1 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 130-00 Deer B License 130-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 5 tags · 9 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 130-50 Deer Permit 130-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 1 tags · 13 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 199-20 Deer B License 199-20 — Either-sex White-tailed Deer [EITHER SEX WT CWD] 200 tags · 320 applicants
    — No data
  • 200-00 Deer B License 200-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 14 applicants
    4% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 201-00 Deer B License 201-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 15 tags · 28 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 202-00 Deer B License 202-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 7 tags · 23 applicants
    4% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 202-50 Deer Permit 202-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 15 tags · 58 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 204-00 Deer B License 204-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 4 applicants
    14% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 210-00 Deer B License 210-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 7 tags · 5 applicants
    16% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 210-01 Deer B License 210-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 13 applicants
    — No data
  • 210-50 Deer Permit 210-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 27 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 211-00 Deer B License 211-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 4 applicants
    — No data
  • 212-00 Deer B License 212-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 4 tags · 1 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 0% as 2nd choice
  • 213-00 Deer B License 213-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 7 tags · 14 applicants
    17% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 215-00 Deer B License 215-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 7 tags · 7 applicants
    — No data
  • 216-00 Deer B License 216-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 10 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 217-00 Deer B License 217-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 6 tags · 3 applicants
    — No data
  • 240-50 Deer Permit 240-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 5 applicants
    — No data
  • 250-50 Deer Permit 250-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 28 applicants
    — No data
  • 260-20 Deer B License 260-20 — Either-sex White-tailed Deer [EITHER SEX WT] 30 tags · 22 applicants
    16% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 261-01 Deer B License 261-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 1 tags · 8 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 261-50 Deer Permit 261-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 1 tags · 51 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 262-00 Deer B License 262-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 2 applicants
    — No data
  • 262-51 Deer Permit 262-51 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 11 applicants
    — No data
  • 262-52 Deer Permit 262-52 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 1 tags · 2 applicants
    — No data
  • 270-01 Deer B License 270-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 67 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 270-50 Deer Permit 270-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 4 tags · 721 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 270-51 Deer Permit 270-51 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 1 tags · 38 applicants
    — No data
  • 281-00 Deer B License 281-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 6 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 282-00 Deer B License 282-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 4 applicants
    1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 282-50 Deer Permit 282-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 282-51 Deer Permit 282-51 — Antlered Buck White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 10 applicants
    — No data
  • 285-00 Deer B License 285-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 10 tags · 11 applicants
    2% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 290-01 Deer B License 290-01 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 3 applicants
    — No data
  • 290-02 Deer B License 290-02 — Either-sex White-tailed Deer [EITHER SEX WT] 5 tags · 14 applicants
    — No data
  • 291-00 Deer B License 291-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 5 tags · 3 applicants
    65% Undersubscribed 0% as 2nd choice
  • 291-50 Deer Permit 291-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 3 tags · 59 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 291-51 Deer Permit 291-51 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 3 tags · 2 applicants
    5% Point builder
  • 292-00 Deer B License 292-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 10 tags · 4 applicants
    18% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 300-50 Deer Permit 300-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 3 tags · 79 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 311-01 Deer B License 311-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 20 tags · 16 applicants
    41% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 312-01 Deer B License 312-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 5 applicants
    — No data
  • 312-50 Deer Permit 312-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 4 tags · 21 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 313-01 Deer B License 313-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 6 applicants
    5% Point builder
  • 314-01 Deer B License 314-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 11 applicants
    — No data
  • 315-01 Deer B License 315-01 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 25 tags · 14 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 100% as 2nd choice
  • 315-02 Deer B License 315-02 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 7 tags · 9 applicants
    — No data
  • 317-01 Deer B License 317-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 8 tags · 8 applicants
    — No data
  • 318-00 Deer B License 318-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 7 applicants
    8% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 319-01 Deer B License 319-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 15 applicants
    — No data
  • 319-50 Deer Permit 319-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 12 tags · 74 applicants
    — No data
  • 331-01 Deer B License 331-01 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 13 applicants
    4% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 335-00 Deer B License 335-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 5 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 340-00 Deer B License 340-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 21 applicants
    11% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 350-01 Deer B License 350-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 5 applicants
    — No data
  • 370-01 Deer B License 370-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 1 applicants
    — No data
  • 380-02 Deer B License 380-02 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 7 tags · 25 applicants
    — No data
  • 380-50 Deer Permit 380-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 70 tags · 66 applicants
    — No data
  • 390-01 Deer B License 390-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 7 tags · 1 applicants
    — No data
  • 391-02 Deer B License 391-02 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 17 tags · 11 applicants
    — No data
  • 392-01 Deer B License 392-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 12 applicants
    — No data
  • 392-50 Deer Permit 392-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 50 tags · 42 applicants
    — No data
  • 393-01 Deer B License 393-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 5 applicants
    — No data
  • 395-01 Deer B License 395-01 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 5 tags · 6 applicants
    — No data
  • 396-01 Deer B License 396-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 4 applicants
    — No data
  • 400-00 Deer B License 400-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 30 tags · 41 applicants
    57% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 400-50 Deer Permit 400-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 11 tags · 13 applicants
    — No data
  • 400-51 Deer Permit 400-51 — Antlered Buck White-tailed Deer [WT] 3 tags · 9 applicants
    — No data
  • 401-00 Deer B License 401-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 20 applicants
    25% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 401-50 Deer Permit 401-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 13 tags · 32 applicants
    — No data
  • 401-51 Deer Permit 401-51 — Antlered Buck White-tailed Deer [WT] 4 tags · 13 applicants
    — No data
  • 403-00 Deer B License 403-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 5 applicants
    — No data
  • 403-50 Deer Permit 403-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 3 tags · 3 applicants
    — No data
  • 403-51 Deer Permit 403-51 — Antlered Buck White-tailed Deer [WT] 1 tags · 1 applicants
    — No data
  • 404-00 Deer B License 404-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 14 applicants
    24% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 405-00 Deer B License 405-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 40 tags · 25 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 100% as 2nd choice
  • 406-00 Deer B License 406-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 20 tags · 16 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 100% as 2nd choice
  • 406-50 Deer Permit 406-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 4 tags · 2 applicants
    — No data
  • 406-51 Deer Permit 406-51 — Antlered Buck White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 3 applicants
    — No data
  • 410-00 Deer B License 410-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 410-50 Deer Permit 410-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 134 applicants
    — No data
  • 411-01 Deer B License 411-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 39 applicants
    — No data
  • 412-01 Deer B License 412-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 19 applicants
    — No data
  • 413-00 Deer B License 413-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 18 applicants
    14% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 417-00 Deer B License 417-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 10 applicants
    5% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 417-50 Deer Permit 417-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 76 applicants
    — No data
  • 418-00 Deer B License 418-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 9 applicants
    37% Long shot 50% as 2nd choice
  • 419-00 Deer B License 419-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 7 applicants
    53% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 426-00 Deer B License 426-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 21 applicants
    8% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 426-50 Deer Permit 426-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 7 tags · 46 applicants
    — No data
  • 432-00 Deer B License 432-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 0 applicants
    100% No first-choice applicants 100% as 2nd choice
  • 441-50 Deer Permit 441-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 3 tags · 16 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 444-00 Deer B License 444-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 9 applicants
    41% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 445-00 Deer B License 445-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 3 applicants
    18% Long shot
  • 447-00 Deer B License 447-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 24 applicants
    7% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 447-50 Deer Permit 447-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 14 applicants
    — No data
  • 447-51 Deer Permit 447-51 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 4 applicants
    — No data
  • 448-00 Deer B License 448-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 17 applicants
    54% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 455-00 Deer B License 455-00 — Antlerless White-tailed Deer [WT] 2 tags · 2 applicants
    — No data
  • 455-60 Deer Permit 455-60 — [MULE OR WT] 1 tags · 45 applicants
    — No data
  • 471-00 Deer B License 471-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 8 applicants
    42% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
  • 471-50 Deer Permit 471-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 8 tags · 1 applicants
    — No data
  • 502-00 Deer B License 502-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 15 tags · 11 applicants
    40% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 515-00 Deer B License 515-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 22 applicants
    — No data
  • 525-00 Deer B License 525-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 10 applicants
    — No data
  • 535-00 Deer B License 535-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 23 applicants
    — No data
  • 535-50 Deer Permit 535-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 50 tags · 113 applicants
    — No data
  • 555-00 Deer B License 555-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 15 tags · 21 applicants
    — No data
  • 575-00 Deer B License 575-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 50 tags · 17 applicants
    100% Undersubscribed 100% as 2nd choice
  • 580-00 Deer B License 580-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 14 applicants
    19% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 590-00 Deer B License 590-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 17 applicants
    10% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 600-01 Deer B License 600-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 50 tags · 66 applicants
    — No data
  • 620-00 Deer B License 620-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 50 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 630-00 Deer B License 630-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 67 applicants
    6% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 640-00 Deer B License 640-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 50 tags · 195 applicants
    21% Long shot 100% as 2nd choice
  • 650-00 Deer B License 650-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 5 tags · 79 applicants
    3% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 652-01 Deer B License 652-01 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 2 tags · 10 applicants
    — No data
  • 652-50 Deer Permit 652-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 179 applicants
    <1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 670-00 Deer B License 670-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 125 applicants
    5% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
  • 690-00 Deer B License 690-00 — Antlerless Mule Deer [MULE] 10 tags · 52 applicants
    9% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
As 2nd choice
—
Montana lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
208 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

004 005 006 007 100 89% public 101 79% public 103 51% public 104 78% public 110 86% public 120 27% public 121 82% public 122 54% public 123 91% public 124 66% public 130 90% public 140 93% public 141 98% public 150 100% public 170 10% public 199 200 89% public 201 77% public 202 94% public 204 64% public 210 43% public 211 82% public 212 78% public 213 58% public 214 59% public 215 51% public 216 90% public 217 29% public 240 80% public 250 97% public 260 13% public 261 62% public 262 4% public 270 85% public 280 100% public 281 75% public 282 88% public 284 15% public 285 76% public 290 18% public 291 20% public 292 52% public 293 56% public 298 7% public 300 301 87% public 302 76% public 303 74% public 304 45% public 309 8% public 310 91% public 311 15% public 312 23% public 313 86% public 314 42% public 315 20% public 316 99% public 317 67% public 318 82% public 319 78% public 320 45% public 321 63% public 322 26% public 323 74% public 324 48% public 329 66% public 331 81% public 335 56% public 339 29% public 340 49% public 343 54% public 350 82% public 360 55% public 361 80% public 370 38% public 380 42% public 388 16% public 390 10% public 391 40% public 392 91% public 393 13% public 395 396 400 13% public 401 9% public 403 11% public 404 8% public 405 9% public 406 9% public 410 47% public 411 21% public 412 16% public 413 34% public 415 98% public 416 47% public 417 37% public 418 21% public 419 11% public 420 53% public 421 12% public 422 45% public 424 98% public 425 40% public 426 21% public 432 47% public 441 37% public 442 99% public 444 16% public 445 12% public 446 23% public 447 21% public 448 74% public 450 23% public 451 17% public 452 39% public 455 99% public 471 19% public 502 11% public 515 7% public 525 64% public 535 17% public 540 34% public 555 68% public 565 99% public 575 4% public 580 22% public 590 10% public 600 20% public 620 41% public 621 77% public 622 74% public 630 67% public 640 15% public 650 14% public 652 62% public 670 44% public 690 19% public 700 37% public 701 19% public 702 12% public 703 16% public 704 30% public 705 30% public
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.