Montana Moose Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every moose tag in Montana — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$110 ($110 if you miss) Tags (2026):28 Nonresident share:capped at 10% Applicants:3,945

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Montana draw works (30-second version)

Bonus points (squared).

Every applicant gets points² + 1 entries in a random draw, so more points mean more chances — but never a guarantee.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 100-50 Moose License 100-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 265 applicants
    No data
  • 101-50 Moose License 101-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 102-50 Moose License 102-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 103-50 Moose License 103-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 104-50 Moose License 104-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 105-50 Moose License 105-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 128 applicants
    No data
  • 106-50 Moose License 106-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 105 applicants
    No data
  • 110-50 Moose License 110-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 96 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 111-50 Moose License 111-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 90 applicants
    No data
  • 112-50 Moose License 112-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 54 applicants
    No data
  • 121-50 Moose License 121-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 78 applicants
    No data
  • 122-50 Moose License 122-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 565 applicants
    No data
  • 125-50 Moose License 125-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 77 applicants
    No data
  • 126-50 Moose License 126-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 140-50 Moose License 140-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 141-50 Moose License 141-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 150-50 Moose License 150-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 210-50 Moose License 210-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 211-50 Moose License 211-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 213-50 Moose License 213-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 214-50 Moose License 214-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 215-50 Moose License 215-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 30 applicants
    No data
  • 220-50 Moose License 220-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 56 applicants
    No data
  • 230-50 Moose License 230-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 96 applicants
    No data
  • 240-50 Moose License 240-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 261-50 Moose License 261-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 270-50 Moose License 270-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 280-50 Moose License 280-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 285-50 Moose License 285-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 292-50 Moose License 292-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 293-50 Moose License 293-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 300-00 Moose License 300-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 300-50 Moose License 300-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 301-00 Moose License 301-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 301-50 Moose License 301-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 302-00 Moose License 302-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 302-50 Moose License 302-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 303-00 Moose License 303-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 303-50 Moose License 303-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 310-50 Moose License 310-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 311-50 Moose License 311-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 312-50 Moose License 312-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 313-50 Moose License 313-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 314-50 Moose License 314-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 319-50 Moose License 319-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 320-00 Moose License 320-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 320-50 Moose License 320-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 322-50 Moose License 322-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 323-00 Moose License 323-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 323-50 Moose License 323-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 324-00 Moose License 324-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 324-50 Moose License 324-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 325-00 Moose License 325-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 325-50 Moose License 325-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 326-00 Moose License 326-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 326-50 Moose License 326-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 327-00 Moose License 327-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 327-50 Moose License 327-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 329-50 Moose License 329-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 330-00 Moose License 330-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 330-50 Moose License 330-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 614 applicants
    No data
  • 332-00 Moose License 332-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 1 tags · 14 applicants
    No data
  • 332-50 Moose License 332-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 396 applicants
    No data
  • 334-00 Moose License 334-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 1 tags · 23 applicants
    No data
  • 334-50 Moose License 334-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 578 applicants
    No data
  • 335-50 Moose License 335-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 18 applicants
    No data
  • 340-00 Moose License 340-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 1 tags · 11 applicants
    No data
  • 340-50 Moose License 340-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 70 applicants
    No data
  • 341-50 Moose License 341-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 85 applicants
    No data
  • 343-50 Moose License 343-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 42 applicants
    No data
  • 350-50 Moose License 350-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 21 applicants
    No data
  • 360-50 Moose License 360-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 80 applicants
    No data
  • 361-51 Moose License 361-51 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 67 applicants
    No data
  • 380-00 Moose License 380-00 — Antlerless [ANTLERLESS] 1 tags · 5 applicants
    No data
  • 380-50 Moose License 380-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 115 applicants
    No data
  • 382-50 Moose License 382-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 390-50 Moose License 390-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 401-20 Moose License 401-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 415-50 Moose License 415-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 422-50 Moose License 422-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 84 applicants
    No data
  • 441-50 Moose License 441-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 447-50 Moose License 447-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 494-50 Moose License 494-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 496-50 Moose License 496-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 513-50 Moose License 513-50 — Antlered Bull 1 tags · 82 applicants
    No data
  • 514-50 Moose License 514-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 516-50 Moose License 516-50 — Antlered Bull 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 600-20 Moose License 600-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
  • 700-20 Moose License 700-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    Not open to nonresidents
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
154 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

100 West Yaak 92% public 101 Purcell 86% public 102 Eureka 80% public 103 Ten Lakes 80% public 104 West Cabinet Mountains 78% public 105 East Cabinet Mountains 77% public 106 Fisher River 41% public 110 North Fork 84% public 111 Tally Lake 54% public 112 Blacktail 25% public 121 West Clark Fork 84% public 122 Thompson River 52% public 125 Black Peak 81% public 126 CC Divide 84% public 130 140 Lower South Fork 93% public 141 Middle Fork 99% public 150 Upper South Fork 100% public 210 Lower Rock Creek-Schwartz Creek 67% public 211 Upper Rock Creek 89% public 212 213 Flint Creek Range 56% public 214 Mill Creek-Georgetown Lake 58% public 215 East Deer Lodge 51% public 220 South Superior 93% public 230 Lolo - Fish Creek 82% public 240 West Bitterroot 80% public 250 West Fork Bitterroot 261 East Bitterroot 40% public 270 East Fork Bitterroot 85% public 280 North Blackfoot 100% public 285 Lower Blackfoot 76% public 291 East Garnet Range 292 Garnet Range 34% public 293 Upper Blackfoot 63% public 300 Medicine Lodge-Lima Peaks 75% public 301 Horse Prairie 69% public 302 East Big Hole 76% public 303 Crazy Mountains 21% public 304 306 307 308 West Fork-Hellroaring 309 Cabin Creek 310 Upper Gallatin 89% public 311 Spanish Peaks 27% public 312 Bridger 17% public 313 Hyalite-Portal 73% public 314 Upper Yellowstone-West 42% public 315 Bear Canyon-Trail Creek 316 317 318 319 Fleecer 83% public 320 Tobacco Roots 45% public 321 322 Upper Stillwater 97% public 323 South Big Hole 59% public 324 Wise River-Grasshop 83% public 325 Seymour-Deep Creek 82% public 326 North Fork Big Hole 64% public 327 Ruby Creek-Yank Swamp 63% public 328 329 Upper Yellowstone East 68% public 330 Gravelly 62% public 331 Ruby 332 Blacktail - Centennial 61% public 333 Centennial 334 Red Rock-Odell 77% public 335 Helena-South 53% public 340 Highlands 49% public 341 High Rye 70% public 343 Helena - North 40% public 350 Whitetail-Bull Mountains 67% public 360 East Madison 55% public 361 Hebgen-Upper Madison 80% public 362 380 Radersburg 39% public 382 Butte-Basin 82% public 390 West Big Belt Mountains 33% public 398 399 401 Sweet Grass Hills 9% public 415 Summit-North Fork Birch Creek 98% public 422 S. Rocky Mtn. Front 55% public 441 N. Rocky Mtn. Front 41% public 447 Highwood Mountains 21% public 494 East Big Belt-West Little Belt Mountains 33% public 496 East Little Belt-Castles-Snowy Mountains 29% public 513 Fishtail-Fiddler 64% public 514 Rock Creek 28% public 515 516 Boulder 61% public 600 Hi-Line 31% public 700 Region 7 24% public
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.