Nevada Bighorn Sheep Draw Odds
Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every bighorn sheep tag in Nevada — straight from the 2025 draw results.
* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.
How the Nevada draw works (30-second version)
Bonus points (squared).
Every applicant gets points² + 1 entries in a random draw, so more points mean more chances — but never a guarantee.
Chances are from the 2025 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.
Simple view Odds at every point level-
3251-181~west-1120 Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 181 West D 1 tags · 609 applicants<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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3251-182.044-1120 Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 182, 044 1 tags · 922 applicants<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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3251-183.153-1120 Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 183, 153 1 tags · 778 applicants<1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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3251-268-1116 Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 268 Early 3 tags · 3,265 applicants<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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3251-268-1210 Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 268 Late 3 tags · 209 applicants<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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3251-283.284-1120 Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 283, 284 1 tags · 285 applicants<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder
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8251-032~pineforestpueblos-0901 California bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 032 B Pine Forest, Pueblos 1 tags · 3,026 applicants<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder <1% as 2nd choice
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8251-035~jacksons-0901 California bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 035 D Jacksons 1 tags · 4,582 applicants<1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
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<1% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
| Hunt | Your odds (0 pts) | As 2nd choice | Points needed | Tags / applicants | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3251-181~west-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 181 West D | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 1 / 609 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3251-182.044-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 182, 044 | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 1 / 922 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3251-183.153-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 183, 153 | <1% Point builder | 0% | — | 1 / 778 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3251-184-1015 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 184 | <1% Point builder | 0% | — | 1 / 316 | Oct 15 – Nov 15, 2026 |
| 3251-205-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 205 | <1% Point builder | 0% | — | 1 / 1,359 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3251-213-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 213 | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 1 / 308 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2026 |
| 3251-243-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 243 | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 1 / 569 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3251-253-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 253 | <1% Point builder | 0% | — | 1 / 1,091 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3251-263-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 263 | <1% Point builder | 0% | — | 1 / 4,944 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3251-267-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 267 | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 1 / 585 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3251-268-1116 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 268 Early | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 3 / 3,265 | Nov 16 – Dec 8, 2026 |
| 3251-268-1210 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 268 Late | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 3 / 209 | Dec 10 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3251-283.284-1120 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 283, 284 | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 1 / 285 | Nov 20 – Jan 1, 2027 |
| 3281-268-1020 ↗ Nelson (desert) bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 268 | <1% Point builder | — | — | 10 / 662 | Oct 20 – Nov 15, 2026 |
| 8251-032~pineforestpueblos-0901 ↗ California bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 032 B Pine Forest, Pueblos | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 1 / 3,026 | Sep 1 – Oct 31, 2026 |
| 8251-034-0901 ↗ California bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 034 | <1% Point builder | <1% | — | 1 / 1,009 | Sep 1 – Oct 31, 2026 |
| 8251-035~jacksons-0901 ↗ California bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 035 D Jacksons | <1% Point builder | 0% | — | 1 / 4,582 | Sep 1 – Oct 31, 2026 |
| 8251-068-0901 ↗ California bighorn sheep | NR | Any Legal Weapon | 068 | <1% Point builder | 0% | — | 1 / 4,719 | Sep 1 – Oct 31, 2025 |
What these columns mean
- Your odds —
- the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2025 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
- The badge —
- plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
- As 2nd choice —
- Nevada lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
- Points needed —
- the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2025 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
- Tags / applicants —
- tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.
How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.