AmmoSight

California Antelope (Pronghorn) Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every pronghorn tag in California — straight from the 2025 draw results.

Next application:opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$227.94 ($227.94 if you miss) Tags (2025):116 Nonresident share:capped at 1 Applicants:18,132

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the California draw works (30-second version)

Hybrid: preference + random.

Say a hunt area has 100 nonresident tags. 75 go to the applicants with the most preference points; if the last point level that draws has more applicants than tags left, that level is split at random. The other 25 are drawn purely at random from everyone who missed the points pass — so an applicant with zero points still has a shot.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2025 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 710 Zone 1 - Mount Dome - General Methods - Buck 2 tags · 439 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 720 Zone 2 - Clear Lake - General Methods - Buck 6 tags · 1,224 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 728 Zone 2 - Clear Lake - Archery - Buck 1 tags · 105 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 730 Zone 3 - Likely Tables Period 1 - General Methods - Buck 5 tags · 2,773 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 740 Zone 4 - Lassen Period 1 - General Methods - Buck 35 tags · 5,610 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 742 Zone 4 - Lassen Period 2 - General Methods - Buck 35 tags · 4,020 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 745 Zone 4 - Lassen - Archery - Buck 5 tags · 558 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 750 Zone 5 - Big Valley - General Methods - Buck 5 tags · 758 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 755 Zone 5 - Big Valley - Archery - Buck 1 tags · 63 applicants
    2% Point builder
  • 760 Zone 6 - Surprise Valley - General Methods - Buck 10 tags · 1,385 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 765 Zone 6 - Surprise Valley - Archery - Buck 1 tags · 121 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 766 Zone 6 - Surprise Valley Apprentice - General Methods - Either - Sex 4 tags · 279 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 780 Zone 5 - Big Valley Apprentice - General Methods - Either - Sex 1 tags · 102 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 790 Zone 4 - Lassen Apprentice - General Methods - Either - Sex 5 tags · 695 applicants
    <1% Point builder
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2025 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2025 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
3 hunts not offered in 2025 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

1 Mount Dome 51% public 2 Clear Lake 82% public 3 Likely Tables 65% public 4 Lassen 59% public 5 Big Valley 54% public 6 Surprise Valley 58% public
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.