AmmoSight

Kansas Deer Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every deer tag in Kansas — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Apr 1, closes Apr 24, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$152.50 ($152.50 if you miss) Nonresident tags (2026):21,782

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Kansas draw works (30-second version)

Preference points.

Tags go to the applicants with the most preference points, one level at a time. If the last level that draws has more applicants than tags remaining, those applicants are chosen at random. Everyone below that level is unsuccessful and earns a point.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • NRMD-U1 NR Mule Deer Stamp, Unit 1 (upgrades a drawn archery/muzzleloader whitetail permit to either-species) 19 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRMD-U17 NR Mule Deer Stamp, Unit 17 (upgrades a drawn archery/muzzleloader whitetail permit to either-species) 30 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRMD-U18 NR Mule Deer Stamp, Unit 18 (upgrades a drawn archery/muzzleloader whitetail permit to either-species) 15 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRMD-U2 NR Mule Deer Stamp, Unit 2 (upgrades a drawn archery/muzzleloader whitetail permit to either-species) 15 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U1 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 1 389 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U10 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 10 1,304 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U11 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 11 3,564 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U12 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 12 2,303 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U13 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 13 636 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U14 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 14 2,079 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U15 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 15 1,705 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U16 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 16 1,740 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U17 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 17 619 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U18 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 18 228 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U2 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 2 303 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U3 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 3 689 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U4 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 4 442 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U5 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 5 679 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U6 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 6 604 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U7 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 7 1,372 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U8 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 8 1,841 tags
    — Cut level
  • NRWT-U9 Nonresident Whitetail Either-sex Deer, Unit 9 1,206 tags
    — Cut level
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
5 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

1 High Plains 0% public 2 Smoky Hill 0% public 3 Kirwin-Webster 0% public 4 Kanopolis 3% public 5 Pawnee 2% public 6 Middle Arkansas 1% public 7 Solomon 2% public 8 Republican 5% public 9 Tuttle Creek 2% public 10 Kaw 4% public 11 Osage Prairie 1% public 12 Chautauqua Hills 0% public 13 Lower Arkansas 1% public 14 Flint Hills 1% public 15 Ninnescah 1% public 16 Red Hills 0% public 17 West Arkansas 0% public 18 Cimarron 4% public
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.