Oregon Deer Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every deer tag in Oregon — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$203 ($203 if you miss) Tags (2026):85,953 Nonresident share:capped at 5% Applicants:5,604

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Oregon draw works (30-second version)

Hybrid: preference + random.

Say a hunt area has 100 nonresident tags. 75 go to the applicants with the most preference points; if the last point level that draws has more applicants than tags left, that level is split at random. The other 25 are drawn purely at random from everyone who missed the points pass — so an applicant with zero points still has a shot.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 112 Wilson Unit 17 tags · 23 applicants · needed 10 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 114M Trask Unit Muzzleloader 282 tags · 3 applicants · needed 3 pts
    91% Likely draw
  • 119A W High Cascade 5,281 tags · 29 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 119M McKenzie Unit Muzzleloader 386 tags · 12 applicants · needed 1 pts
    34% Long shot
  • 121M Indigo Unit Muzzleloader 166 tags · 19 applicants · needed 3 pts
    14% Point builder
  • 122 Dixon Unit 15 tags · 80 applicants · needed 18 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 123A Umpqua 23 tags · 34 applicants · needed 1 pts
    8% Point builder
  • 123B Melrose - N Bank Habitat 3 tags · 21 applicants · needed 19 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 123M1 Melrose Unit Muzzleloader 216 tags · 5 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 123M2 Melrose - N Bank Habitat Muzzleloader 3 tags · 5 applicants · needed 17 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 123R1 Umpqua Bow 89 tags · 3 applicants · needed 7 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 123R2 Melrose - N Bank Habitat Bow 13 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 125M Sixes Unit Muzzleloader 154 tags · 6 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 127M Chetco Unit Muzzleloader 51 tags · 4 applicants · needed 1 pts
    92% Likely draw
  • 128M Applegate Unit Muzzleloader 334 tags · 161 applicants · needed 14 pts
    11% Point builder
  • 130R Rogue-Siskiyou Early Bow 72 tags · 9 applicants · needed 15 pts
    86% Likely draw
  • 610 Saddle Mtn Unit 408 tags · 30 applicants · needed 6 pts
    7% Point builder
  • 610T Saddle Mtn Unit Youth 99 tags · 2 applicants · needed 1 pts
    57% Real chance
  • 611 Scappoose Unit 22 tags · 3 applicants · needed 13 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 611T Scappoose Unit Youth 55 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    23% Long shot
  • 612 Wilson Unit 217 tags · 14 applicants · needed 3 pts
    8% Point builder
  • 612T Wilson Unit Youth 82 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 614 Trask Unit 502 tags · 6 applicants · needed 3 pts
    8% Point builder
  • 614T Trask Unit Youth 172 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    75% Real chance
  • 615 Willamette Unit 3,410 tags · 29 applicants · needed 2 pts
    12% Point builder
  • 616A1 NW Santiam 50 tags · 5 applicants · needed 10 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 616A2 SW Santiam 55 tags · 2 applicants · needed 8 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 616T1 SW Santiam Youth 53 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    14% Point builder
  • 616T2 NW Santiam Youth 33 tags · 4 applicants · needed 4 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 617 Stott Mtn Unit 109 tags · 2 applicants · needed 4 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 617T Stott Mtn Unit Youth 80 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    95% Undersubscribed
  • 618 Alsea Unit 107 tags · 2 applicants · needed 8 pts
    3% Point builder
  • 618T Alsea Unit Youth 63 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 619 W McKenzie 303 tags · 3 applicants · needed 8 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 619T McKenzie Unit Youth 109 tags · 5 applicants · needed 3 pts
    7% Point builder
  • 620 Siuslaw Unit 88 tags · 4 applicants · needed 5 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 620A Camas Swale 291 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 620T1 Siuslaw Unit Youth 84 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 620T2 Territorial Youth 10 tags · 0 applicants · needed 5 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 621 W Indigo 142 tags · 3 applicants · needed 4 pts
    6% Point builder
  • 621T N Indigo Youth 80 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 622A W Dixon 55 tags · 4 applicants · needed 6 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 623 Melrose Unit 275 tags · 5 applicants · needed 2 pts
    15% Point builder
  • 623A Central Melrose 1,817 tags · 7 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 623B1 N Bank Habitat No. 1 28 tags · 2 applicants · needed 2 pts
    11% Point builder
  • 623B2 N Bank Habitat No. 2 28 tags · 0 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 623B3 N Bank Habitat No. 3 28 tags · 1 applicants · needed 3 pts
    11% Point builder
  • 623T1 N Bank Habitat Area No. 1 Youth 22 tags · 3 applicants · needed 2 pts
    11% Point builder
  • 623T2 N Bank Habitat Area No. 2 Youth 33 tags · 1 applicants · needed 2 pts
    13% Point builder
  • 623T3 Melrose Youth 56 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 624 Tioga Unit 132 tags · 3 applicants · needed 7 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 625 Sixes Unit 121 tags · 7 applicants · needed 19 pts
    12% Point builder
  • 625T Sixes Unit Youth 159 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 626 Powers Unit 91 tags · 0 applicants · needed 5 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 627 Chetco Unit 44 tags · 9 applicants · needed 7 pts
    3% Point builder
  • 627T Chetco Unit Youth 35 tags · 1 applicants · needed 2 pts
    40% Undersubscribed
  • 628 Applegate Unit 48 tags · 21 applicants · needed 10 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 628T Applegate Unit Youth 39 tags · 25 applicants · needed 9 pts
    7% Point builder
  • 629 Evans Cr Unit 31 tags · 3 applicants · needed 10 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 629T Evans Cr Unit Youth 70 tags · 3 applicants · needed 2 pts
    20% Long shot
  • 630T Rogue Unit Youth 61 tags · 27 applicants · needed 8 pts
    5% Point builder
  • AD101 Aldrich 01 1,113 tags · 228 applicants · needed 5 pts
    7% Point builder
  • AD101R Aldrich 01 Bow 967 tags · 50 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • AD101R1 Late Aldrich 01 Bow Whitetail 23 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • CR101 Crooked River 01 851 tags · 52 applicants · needed 1 pts
    16% Long shot
  • CR101R Crooked River 01 Bow 416 tags · 18 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • DE101 Deschutes 01 990 tags · 58 applicants · needed 2 pts
    12% Point builder
  • DE101M Deschutes 01 Muzzleloader 79 tags · 7 applicants · needed 12 pts
    13% Point builder
  • DE101R Deschutes 01 Bow 772 tags · 23 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • DE101R1 Late Deschutes 01 Bow 22 tags · 79 applicants · needed 30 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • DG101 Devils Garden 01 127 tags · 18 applicants · needed 3 pts
    10% Point builder
  • DG101R Devils Garden 01 Bow 54 tags · 4 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • DG102 Devils Garden 02 1,430 tags · 42 applicants · needed 1 pts
    28% Long shot
  • DG102R Devils Garden 02 Bow 619 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • DG102T Devils Garden 02 Youth 28 tags · 4 applicants · needed 3 pts
    10% Point builder
  • DG103 Devils Garden 03 2,714 tags · 42 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • DG103M Devils Garden 03 Muzzleloader 32 tags · 2 applicants · needed 2 pts
    27% Long shot
  • DG103R Devils Garden 03 Bow 607 tags · 10 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • DG103T Devils Garden 03 Youth 40 tags · 2 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • DG104 Devils Garden 04 2,197 tags · 26 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • DG104M Devils Garden 04 Muzzleloader 32 tags · 0 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • DG104R Devils Garden 04 Bow 268 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • DG104T Devils Garden 04 Youth 37 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • DO101 DeGarmo 01 167 tags · 58 applicants · needed 17 pts
    6% Point builder
  • DO101R DeGarmo 01 Bow 111 tags · 12 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • DO101T DeGarmo 01 Youth 22 tags · 8 applicants · needed 5 pts
    8% Point builder
  • DO102M HMNAR Muzzleloader 11 tags · 6 applicants · needed 12 pts
    4% Point builder
  • DO102R HMNAR Bow 11 tags · 17 applicants · needed 22 pts
    4% Point builder
  • DO102R2 HMNAR Late Bow 11 tags · 13 applicants · needed 11 pts
    3% Point builder
  • EH101 Elkhorn 01 Mule Deer 825 tags · 122 applicants · needed 2 pts
    16% Long shot
  • EH101-1 Elkhorn 01 Whitetail 33 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    50% Undersubscribed
  • EH101M Elkhorn 01 Muzzleloader 28 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    19% Undersubscribed
  • EH101R Elkhorn 01 Bow 839 tags · 23 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • EH102 Elkhorn 02 Mule Deer 275 tags · 25 applicants · needed 2 pts
    12% Point builder
  • EH102-1 Elkhorn 02 Whitetail 129 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • EH102M Elkhorn 02 Muzzleloader 241 tags · 2 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • EH102R Elkhorn 02 Bow Mule Deer 959 tags · 23 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • EH102R1 Elkhorn 02 Bow Whitetail 189 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • EH601T Elkhorn 01 Youth 6 tags · 1 applicants · needed 3 pts
    5% Point builder
  • EH601T1 Elkhorn 01 Youth Whitetail 17 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • FX101 Fox 01 881 tags · 85 applicants · needed 1 pts
    18% Long shot
  • FX101R Fox 01 Bow 1,181 tags · 31 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • FX102 Fox 02 1,222 tags · 72 applicants · needed 1 pts
    30% Long shot
  • FX102R Fox 02 Bow 1,288 tags · 16 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • FX103 Fox 03 2,751 tags · 91 applicants · needed 1 pts
    77% Likely draw
  • FX103-1 Late Fox 03 11 tags · 75 applicants · needed 28 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • FX103M Fox 03 Muzzleloader 290 tags · 7 applicants · needed 1 pts
    76% Likely draw
  • FX103R Fox 03 Bow 1,286 tags · 22 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • FX601 Fox 01 28 tags · 6 applicants · needed 12 pts
    1% Point builder
  • FX603 Fox 03 Private 22 tags · 3 applicants · needed 8 pts
    3% Point builder
  • HX101 Helix 01 2,001 tags · 29 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • HX101R Helix 01 Bow 378 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Undersubscribed
  • HX601 Helix 01 Private 22 tags · 6 applicants · needed 8 pts
    2% Point builder
  • HX601-1 Umatilla NWR No. 1 9 tags · 10 applicants · needed 22 pts
    1% Point builder
  • HX601-2 Umatilla NWR No. 2 2 tags · 77 applicants · needed 29 pts
    0% Point builder
  • HX601T Helix 01 Youth 57 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • HX601T1 Umatilla NWR Youth 9 tags · 0 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • JK101 Jackknife 01 2,511 tags · 68 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • JK101-1 Late Jackknife 01 10 tags · 45 applicants · needed 18 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • JK101R Jackknife 01 Bow 381 tags · 2 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • JK601 Jackknife 01 Private 22 tags · 1 applicants · needed 9 pts
    3% Point builder
  • JK601T Jackknife 01 Youth 45 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Undersubscribed
  • JT101 Juntura 01 495 tags · 158 applicants · needed 3 pts
    6% Point builder
  • JT101R Juntura 01 Bow 223 tags · 9 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • JT101R1 Late Juntura 01 Bow 17 tags · 34 applicants · needed 24 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • JT101T Juntura 01 Youth 22 tags · 10 applicants · needed 5 pts
    4% Point builder
  • JT102 Juntura 02 402 tags · 87 applicants · needed 3 pts
    11% Point builder
  • JT102R Juntura 02 Bow 192 tags · 5 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • JT102T Juntura 02 Youth 22 tags · 6 applicants · needed 2 pts
    17% Long shot
  • JT103 Juntura 03 1,430 tags · 81 applicants · needed 1 pts
    39% Long shot
  • JT103M Juntura 03 Muzzleloader 55 tags · 7 applicants · needed 4 pts
    16% Long shot
  • JT103R Juntura 03 Bow 777 tags · 19 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • JT103T Juntura 03 Youth 22 tags · 2 applicants · needed 2 pts
    10% Point builder
  • JT601 Juntura Agri 11 tags · 8 applicants · needed 10 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • JT601T Juntura Agri Youth 49 tags · 6 applicants · needed 1 pts
    30% Long shot
  • KB101 Klamath Basin 01 1,001 tags · 200 applicants · needed 4 pts
    9% Point builder
  • KB101M Klamath Basin 01 Muzzleloader 29 tags · 8 applicants · needed 6 pts
    7% Point builder
  • KB101R Klamath Basin 01 Bow 436 tags · 28 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • KB101T Klamath Basin 01 Youth 28 tags · 20 applicants · needed 4 pts
    5% Point builder
  • KB102 Klamath Basin 02 1,651 tags · 63 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • KB102M Klamath Basin 02 Muzzleloader 27 tags · 14 applicants · needed 13 pts
    3% Point builder
  • KB102R Klamath Basin 02 Bow 470 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • KB102T Klamath Basin 02 Youth 28 tags · 4 applicants · needed 5 pts
    21% Long shot
  • KE101 Keno 01 1,163 tags · 12 applicants · needed 1 pts
    89% Likely draw
  • KE101R Keno 01 Bow 454 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • KE101R1 Late Keno 01 Bow 110 tags · 9 applicants · needed 2 pts
    17% Long shot
  • KE101T Keno 01 Youth 22 tags · 3 applicants · needed 1 pts
    15% Long shot
  • MC101 Mid-Columbia 01 1,266 tags · 50 applicants · needed 1 pts
    28% Long shot
  • MC101-1 Early Mid-Columbia 01 55 tags · 7 applicants · needed 5 pts
    7% Point builder
  • MC101-2 Late Mid-Columbia 10 tags · 54 applicants · needed 28 pts
    <1% Point builder
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
Showing 1–150 of 233 hunts. 172 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts. Next →

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

10 Saddle Mtn 26% public 11 Scappoose 10% public 12 Wilson 66% public 14 Trask 44% public 15 Willamette 4% public 16 Santiam 64% public 17 Stott Mtn 22% public 18 Alsea 44% public 19 Mckenzie 61% public 20 Siuslaw 42% public 21 Indigo 69% public 22 Dixon 76% public 23 Melrose 16% public 24 Tioga 36% public 25 Sixes 31% public 26 Powers 48% public 27 Chetco 82% public 28 Applegate 59% public 29 Evans Creek 43% public 30 Rogue 58% public 31 Keno 52% public 32 Klamath Falls 36% public 33 Sprague 73% public 34 Upper Deschutes 76% public 35 Paulina 78% public 36 Maury 57% public 37 Ochoco 54% public 38 Grizzly 28% public 39 Metolius 66% public 40 Maupin 10% public 41 White River 44% public 42 Hood 71% public 43 Biggs 15% public 44 Columbia Basin 5% public 45 Fossil 15% public 46 Murderers Creek 68% public 47 Northside 41% public 48 Heppner 34% public 49 Ukiah 35% public 50 Desolation 89% public 51 Sumpter 46% public 52 Starkey 64% public 53 Catherine Creek 24% public 54 Mount Emily 44% public 55 Walla Walla 33% public 56 Wenaha 73% public 57 Sled Springs 22% public 58 Chesnimnus 49% public 59 Snake River 93% public 60 Minam 74% public 61 Imnaha 74% public 62 Pine Creek 76% public 63 Keating 57% public 64 Lookout Mtn 38% public 65 Beulah 57% public 66 Malheur River 68% public 67 Owyhee 82% public 68 Whitehorse 91% public 69 Steens Mtn 64% public 70 Beatys Butte 83% public 71 Juniper 89% public 72 Silvies 67% public 73 Wagontire 87% public 74 Warner 70% public 75 Interstate 59% public 76 Silver Lake 62% public 77 Fort Rock 71% public 79
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.