Kentucky Draw Odds

Kentucky's elk lottery is a pure random drawing with no points of any kind: a $10 nonrefundable application per permit type (bull firearms, cow firearms, either-sex archery/crossbow, plus a youth-only pool), open August 1 through April 30, with winners drawn each May. Residents and nonresidents compete in the same pools, but no more than 10% of each pool's winners can be nonresidents — recent nonresident odds ran about 1-in-750 to 1-in-1,500 versus roughly 1-in-80 to 1-in-160 for residents. Nothing beyond the $10 fee is paid up front; the 500 annual permits ($550 nonresident bull or archery, $400 cow, plus a $160 nonresident annual hunting license) are bought only if drawn, by June 15. Hunt units are assigned after the draw in a separate random unit drawing, winners sit out the next three drawings, and unpurchased permits go to a resident-only Loyalty Redraw.

Every figure below cites the agency document it came from. Last verified September 1, 2026.

Odds by species

How the draw works

Elk · nonresident

Random draw

Worked example. Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Max choices
1
Lower choices burn points
No
Point only purchase allowed
No
Points expire
No
Group apps average points
No

301 KAR 2:132 Sections 3, 4 and 8; Elk Hunt Drawing FAQ pp.2-3, 11-12 · verified Sep 1, 2026

Elk · resident

Random draw

Worked example. Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Max choices
1

301 KAR 2:132 Sections 3 and 4 · verified Sep 1, 2026

Nonresident allocation

Elk: 10% of quota — 2025 outcome: exactly 450 resident / 50 nonresident winners (2025 drawn-hunters map). KDFWR reports ~35% of past applicants were nonresidents (FAQ); in 2025 it was 51% (23,010 of 44,921). 301 KAR 2:132 Section 3(10); FAQ p.12 ('with a total annual elk permit quota of 500 permits, no more than 50 of these permits go to nonresidents')

Nonresident fees (2026)

Showing nonresident fees. Switch to resident

FeeAmount Paid at applicationRefundableSource
Elk quota hunt application (per permit type; nonrefundable) (Elk) $10 Yes No 301 KAR 5:022. License, tag, registration, and permit fees
Statewide hunting license (nonresident) — required to hunt, not to apply $160 If drawn No 301 KAR 5:022. License, tag, registration, and permit fees
Quota bull elk permit (nonresident) (Elk) $550 If drawn No 301 KAR 5:022. License, tag, registration, and permit fees
Quota cow elk permit (nonresident) (Elk) $400 If drawn No 301 KAR 5:022. License, tag, registration, and permit fees
Quota either-sex archery/crossbow elk permit (nonresident) (Elk) $550 If drawn No 301 KAR 5:022. License, tag, registration, and permit fees
Quota youth elk permit (nonresident) (Elk) $200 If drawn No 301 KAR 5:022. License, tag, registration, and permit fees

Deadlines (2027)

Elk: opens Aug 1, closes Apr 30, 2027. Tag fee is charged only if you draw. Elk Hunting Regulations (2027 drawing banner; 2026-2027 season dates)

Legal cartridges in Kentucky

Drew a tag? Check which cartridges are legal for your species and weapon on the Kentucky hunting laws page.

Sources

301 KAR 2:132. Elk hunting seasons, permits, zones, and requirements Kentucky Legislative Research Commission · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
301 KAR 5:022. License, tag, registration, and permit fees Kentucky Legislative Research Commission · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Apply for the Kentucky Elk Hunt Drawing by April 30 (press release, April 29, 2026) Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026
Elk Hunting Regulations (2027 drawing banner; 2026-2027 season dates) Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2026, 2027
Kentucky Elk Hunt Drawing winners announced May 10 (press release, May 6, 2025) Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2025
Kentucky Elk Report 2021 (2021-2022 season) Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2021
Kentucky Elk Report 2022 (2022-2023 season) Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2022, 2023
Kentucky Elk Report 2023 (2023-2024 season) Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2023
Kentucky Elk Report 2024 (2024-2025 season) Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2024
Kentucky Elk Report 2025 (2025-2026 season) Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources · retrieved September 1, 2026 · 2025
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.