AmmoSight

Oregon Antelope (Pronghorn) Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every pronghorn tag in Oregon — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$203 ($203 if you miss) Tags (2026):2,156 Nonresident share:capped at 3% Applicants:2,229

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Oregon draw works (30-second version)

Hybrid: preference + random.

Say a hunt area has 100 nonresident tags. 75 go to the applicants with the most preference points; if the last point level that draws has more applicants than tags left, that level is split at random. The other 25 are drawn purely at random from everyone who missed the points pass — so an applicant with zero points still has a shot.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 432T Swan Lake Youth 3 tags · 6 applicants · needed 15 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 435 Paulina Unit 17 tags · 20 applicants · needed 19 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 435M Paulina Unit Muzzleloader 6 tags · 5 applicants · needed 11 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 435R Paulina Unit Bow 6 tags · 5 applicants · needed 6 pts
    3% Point builder
  • 436 Maury Unit 26 tags · 30 applicants · needed 16 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 436R Maury Unit Bow 22 tags · 6 applicants · needed 6 pts
    14% Point builder
  • 437 Ochoco Unit 76 tags · 44 applicants · needed 18 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 438 Grizzly Unit 7 tags · 20 applicants · needed 13 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 440A1 Columbia Plateau No. 1 55 tags · 4 applicants · needed 2 pts
    21% Long shot
  • 440A2 Columbia Plateau No. 2 26 tags · 19 applicants · needed 11 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 445A Fossil Unit No. 1 28 tags · 6 applicants · needed 6 pts
    28% Long shot
  • 445B Fossil Unit No. 2 11 tags · 8 applicants · needed 9 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 446 Murderers Cr Unit 55 tags · 36 applicants · needed 25 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 447 Northside - Ritter 7 tags · 25 applicants · needed 12 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 451 Sumpter Unit 5 tags · 11 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 453T Catherine Cr Unit Youth 3 tags · 8 applicants · needed 15 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 462 Pine Cr - Keating 5 tags · 27 applicants · needed 27 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 464 Lookout Mtn Unit 7 tags · 30 applicants · needed 18 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 464R Lookout Mtn Unit Bow 11 tags · 3 applicants · needed 4 pts
    13% Point builder
  • 465 Beulah Unit 28 tags · 37 applicants · needed 18 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 466A1 Malheur Rvr Unit No. 1 88 tags · 74 applicants · needed 20 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 466A2 Malheur Rvr Unit No. 2 86 tags · 42 applicants · needed 22 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 466B Harney Basin 33 tags · 5 applicants · needed 11 pts
    7% Point builder
  • 466R Malheur Rvr Unit Bow 55 tags · 8 applicants · needed 7 pts
    12% Point builder
  • 467 Owyhee Unit 55 tags · 172 applicants · needed 24 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 467R Owyhee Unit Bow 44 tags · 8 applicants · needed 9 pts
    15% Point builder
  • 468 Whitehorse Unit 129 tags · 358 applicants · needed 26 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 469A Steens Mtn 75 tags · 110 applicants · needed 23 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 469M Steens Mtn Muzzleloader 33 tags · 15 applicants · needed 18 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 470A Beatys Butte No. 1 77 tags · 208 applicants · needed 26 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 470B Beatys Butte No. 2 74 tags · 55 applicants · needed 25 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 470C Hart Mtn 44 tags · 163 applicants · needed 30 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 470R Beatys Butte Bow 39 tags · 12 applicants · needed 18 pts
    8% Point builder
  • 470R1 Hart Mtn Bow 22 tags · 31 applicants · needed 20 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 470T Hart Mtn Youth 3 tags · 42 applicants · needed 16 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 471A Juniper 63 tags · 142 applicants · needed 28 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 472A1 Silvies Unit No. 1 42 tags · 25 applicants · needed 19 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 472A2 Silvies Unit No. 2 42 tags · 24 applicants · needed 17 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 472B Riley 28 tags · 3 applicants · needed 5 pts
    9% Point builder
  • 473 Wagontire 37 tags · 77 applicants · needed 26 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 473M Wagontire Unit Muzzleloader 11 tags · 7 applicants · needed 16 pts
    3% Point builder
  • 473R Wagontire Unit Bow 5 tags · 2 applicants · needed 7 pts
    3% Point builder
  • 474A Warner Unit No. 1 53 tags · 127 applicants · needed 27 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 474B Warner Unit No. 2 53 tags · 56 applicants · needed 26 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 474R Warner Unit Bow 38 tags · 22 applicants · needed 23 pts
    3% Point builder
  • 475A E Interstate 28 tags · 20 applicants · needed 13 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 475M Gerber Reservoir Muzzleloader 44 tags · 13 applicants · needed 13 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 475R1 E Interstate Bow 84 tags · 1 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% Undersubscribed
  • 475R2 Gerber Reservoir Bow 167 tags · 8 applicants · needed 1 pts
    82% Likely draw
  • 475T Gerber Reservoir Youth 28 tags · 28 applicants · needed 13 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 476A Fort Rock - Silver Lake 39 tags · 14 applicants · needed 19 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 476M Fort Rock - Silver Lake Muzzleloader 39 tags · 6 applicants · needed 9 pts
    9% Point builder
  • 477R E Slope Bow 94 tags · 1 applicants · needed 5 pts
    100% Undersubscribed
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
6 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

32 Klamath Falls 36% public 33 Sprague 73% public 35 Paulina 78% public 36 Maury 57% public 37 Ochoco 54% public 38 Grizzly 28% public 40 Maupin 10% public 43 Biggs 15% public 44 Columbia Basin 5% public 45 Fossil 15% public 46 Murderers Creek 68% public 47 Northside 41% public 48 Heppner 34% public 51 Sumpter 46% public 53 Catherine Creek 24% public 62 Pine Creek 76% public 63 Keating 57% public 64 Lookout Mtn 38% public 65 Beulah 57% public 66 Malheur River 68% public 67 Owyhee 82% public 68 Whitehorse 91% public 69 Steens Mtn 64% public 70 Beatys Butte 83% public 71 Juniper 89% public 72 Silvies 67% public 73 Wagontire 87% public 74 Warner 70% public 75 Interstate 59% public 76 Silver Lake 62% public 77 Fort Rock 71% public
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.