AmmoSight

Idaho Mountain Goat Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every mountain goat tag in Idaho — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Apr 1, closes Apr 30, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$2,857.50 ($230.75 if you miss) Tags (2026):40 Nonresident share:capped at 10% Applicants:278

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Idaho draw works (30-second version)

Random draw.

Every applicant has the same chance: tags ÷ applicants. Points don't exist or don't matter here.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

No points in this draw — every nonresident applicant has the same chance.

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 6001 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 7 1 tags · 2 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6002 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 10-1 1 tags · 3 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6003 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 18 3 tags · 35 applicants
    3% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6004 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 22 3 tags · 40 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6005 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 27-2 2 tags · 15 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6006 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 27-4 1 tags · 4 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6007 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 27-5 2 tags · 10 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6008 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 36-1 2 tags · 17 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6009 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 36A-1 1 tags · 7 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6010 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 36A-2 1 tags · 6 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6011 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 36A-3 2 tags · 24 applicants
    4% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6012 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 36A-4 2 tags · 18 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6013 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 36B 2 tags · 26 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6014 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 37A 1 tags · 5 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6015 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 39 1 tags · 4 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6016 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 43 6 tags · 21 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6017 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 50 6 tags · 22 applicants
    5% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6018 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 51 2 tags · 13 applicants
    8% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
  • 6019 Either-sex mountain goat, any weapon, Hunt Area 61 1 tags · 6 applicants
    0% Long shot 0% as 2nd choice
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
As 2nd choice
—
Idaho lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
1 hunt not offered in 2026 is hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

7 88% public 18 85% public 22 73% public 36B 92% public 37A 86% public 39 99% public 43 97% public 50 75% public 51 93% public 61 89% public 67 10-1 100% public 10-2 27-2 99% public 27-4 100% public 27-5 100% public 36-1 98% public 36A-1 95% public 36A-2 99% public 36A-3 96% public 36A-4 94% public
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.