Oregon Elk Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every elk tag in Oregon — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$203 ($203 if you miss) Tags (2026):88,062 Nonresident share:capped at 5% Applicants:7,196

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Oregon draw works (30-second version)

Hybrid: preference + random.

Say a hunt area has 100 nonresident tags. 75 go to the applicants with the most preference points; if the last point level that draws has more applicants than tags left, that level is split at random. The other 25 are drawn purely at random from everyone who missed the points pass — so an applicant with zero points still has a shot.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 200M Cascade Muzzleloader 1,621 tags · 4 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 200R Oregon Youth Bow 537 tags · 12 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 210 Saddle Mtn Unit 11 tags · 18 applicants · needed 13 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 210A1 W Saddle Mtn No. 1 43 tags · 12 applicants · needed 11 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 210A2 W Saddle Mtn No. 2 42 tags · 5 applicants · needed 6 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 210B1 Central Saddle Mtn No. 1 39 tags · 3 applicants · needed 6 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 210B2 Central Saddle Mtn No. 2 38 tags · 6 applicants · needed 8 pts
    6% Point builder
  • 210C1 Upper Nehalem No. 1 83 tags · 3 applicants · needed 2 pts
    10% Point builder
  • 210C2 Upper Nehalem No. 2 83 tags · 4 applicants · needed 2 pts
    13% Point builder
  • 210D Lower Columbia 83 tags · 12 applicants · needed 3 pts
    10% Point builder
  • 210T Saddle Mtn Unit Youth 11 tags · 3 applicants · needed 6 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 210X Saddle Mtn Unit No. 1 2,011 tags · 41 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 210Y Saddle Mtn Unit No. 2 2,070 tags · 39 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 211 Scappoose Unit 28 tags · 2 applicants · needed 7 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 211A North Plains 129 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 211B N Central Scappoose 33 tags · 2 applicants · needed 4 pts
    6% Point builder
  • 211C Banks 52 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 211T Scappoose Unit Youth 21 tags · 2 applicants · needed 3 pts
    6% Point builder
  • 212 Wilson Unit 10 tags · 7 applicants · needed 13 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 212A1 Miami-Nehalem No. 1 37 tags · 3 applicants · needed 2 pts
    13% Point builder
  • 212A2 Miami-Nehalem No. 2 39 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    23% Long shot
  • 212B Buick Canyon 10 tags · 0 applicants · needed 5 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 212T1 Wilson Unit No. 1 Youth 11 tags · 2 applicants · needed 3 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 212T2 Wilson Unit No. 2 Youth 43 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 212T3 Wilson Unit No. 3 Youth 48 tags · 3 applicants · needed 1 pts
    57% Real chance
  • 214 Trask Unit 10 tags · 3 applicants · needed 15 pts
    <1% Point builder
  • 214A1 W Trask No. 1 32 tags · 3 applicants · needed 5 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 214A2 W Trask No. 2 33 tags · 0 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 214B1 Central Trask No. 1 11 tags · 2 applicants · needed 7 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 214B2 Central Trask No. 2 10 tags · 1 applicants · needed 6 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 214C SE Trask 55 tags · 0 applicants · needed 4 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 214D1 NE Trask No. 1 22 tags · 0 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 214D2 NE Trask No. 2 21 tags · 0 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 214E Panther Cr 16 tags · 0 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 214M NE Trask Muzzleloader 44 tags · 2 applicants · needed 5 pts
    24% Long shot
  • 214T Trask Unit Youth 11 tags · 1 applicants · needed 4 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 215A Willamette Plus 83 tags · 4 applicants · needed 4 pts
    7% Point builder
  • 216B SW Santiam 11 tags · 2 applicants · needed 9 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 216D NW Santiam 22 tags · 0 applicants · needed 4 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 216R1 Santiam Unit Traditional Bow (Long or recurve bow ONLY; compound bows prohibited) 95 tags · 1 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 216T Santiam Unit Youth 22 tags · 0 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 217A W Stott Mtn 39 tags · 2 applicants · needed 4 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 217B E Stott Mtn 11 tags · 0 applicants · needed 5 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 217R Stott Mtn Unit Late Bow 473 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 217T Stott Mtn Unit Youth 16 tags · 1 applicants · needed 2 pts
    12% Point builder
  • 218A N Alsea 38 tags · 3 applicants · needed 5 pts
    3% Point builder
  • 218B S Alsea 38 tags · 5 applicants · needed 6 pts
    3% Point builder
  • 218C Central Alsea 44 tags · 1 applicants · needed 5 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 218R Alsea Unit Late Bow 929 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 218T Alsea Unit Youth 16 tags · 2 applicants · needed 4 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 219A W McKenzie 50 tags · 2 applicants · needed 4 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 219C Oakridge Private Lands 33 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 219T McKenzie Unit Youth 20 tags · 0 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 220 Siuslaw Unit 50 tags · 4 applicants · needed 6 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 220T Siuslaw Unit Youth 15 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 221A NW Indigo 22 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    12% Point builder
  • 221C Harness Mtn 39 tags · 0 applicants
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 221D S Indigo Private Lands 11 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 221T1 Indigo Unit Youth 20 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 221T2 Sutherlin Youth 37 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 222A Dixon Private 11 tags · 0 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 222T Dixon Unit Youth 11 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 223A Melrose Unit 11 tags · 22 applicants · needed 25 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 224C Tioga Private 26 tags · 11 applicants · needed 10 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 224M Tioga Unit Muzzleloader 278 tags · 14 applicants · needed 1 pts
    19% Long shot
  • 224R Tioga Unit Late Bow 129 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 224T Tioga Unit Youth 30 tags · 4 applicants · needed 4 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 224X Tioga Unit No. 1 1,129 tags · 32 applicants · needed 1 pts
    70% Real chance
  • 224Y Tioga Unit No. 2 1,236 tags · 18 applicants · needed 1 pts
    81% Likely draw
  • 225A N Sixes 250 tags · 5 applicants · needed 3 pts
    66% Real chance
  • 225B Curry Private 22 tags · 0 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 225M Sixes Muzzleloader 62 tags · 10 applicants · needed 21 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 225T Sixes Unit Youth 138 tags · 2 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Undersubscribed
  • 225X Sixes Unit No. 1 222 tags · 41 applicants · needed 9 pts
    82% Likely draw
  • 225Y Sixes Unit No. 2 229 tags · 20 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 226A Powers Private 21 tags · 0 applicants · needed 6 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 226R Powers Unit Bow 62 tags · 65 applicants · needed 16 pts
    9% Point builder
  • 226T Powers Unit Youth 25 tags · 0 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 226X Powers Unit No. 1 533 tags · 4 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 226Y Powers Unit No. 2 91 tags · 74 applicants · needed 11 pts
    6% Point builder
  • 227T Chetco Unit Youth 11 tags · 4 applicants · needed 3 pts
    10% Point builder
  • 227X Chetco Unit No. 1 77 tags · 21 applicants · needed 5 pts
    10% Point builder
  • 227Y Chetco Unit No. 2 77 tags · 12 applicants · needed 3 pts
    24% Long shot
  • 228 Applegate Unit 22 tags · 7 applicants · needed 4 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 228T Applegate Unit Youth 32 tags · 8 applicants · needed 4 pts
    75% Likely draw
  • 229 Evans Cr Unit 22 tags · 0 applicants · needed 4 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 229T Evans Creek Unit Youth 16 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 230A W Rogue 28 tags · 2 applicants · needed 4 pts
    5% Point builder
  • 230R W Rogue Late Bow 91 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 230T1 Rogue Unit Youth 33 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    22% Long shot
  • 230T2 W Rogue Youth 65 tags · 1 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 231T Keno Unit Youth 26 tags · 9 applicants · needed 5 pts
    9% Point builder
  • 231X SE Cascades 1,402 tags · 6 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 232X Klamath Falls Unit No. 1 114 tags · 4 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 232Y Klamath Falls Unit No. 2 79 tags · 8 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 233T Sprague Unit Youth 29 tags · 1 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% Undersubscribed
  • 233X Sprague No. 1 370 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 233Y Sprague No. 2 172 tags · 2 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 234B Tumalo 22 tags · 5 applicants · needed 3 pts
    4% Point builder
  • 234M E Cascade Muzzleloader 198 tags · 13 applicants · needed 1 pts
    19% Long shot
  • 234R Upper Deschutes Unit Bow 131 tags · 2 applicants · needed 1 pts
    51% Real chance
  • 234T E Cascade Youth 55 tags · 7 applicants · needed 2 pts
    13% Point builder
  • 234X E Central Cascades 1,912 tags · 23 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 235M Paulina - E Fort Rock Muzzleloader 55 tags · 3 applicants · needed 1 pts
    28% Long shot
  • 235T Paulina - E Fort Rock Youth 35 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    46% Undersubscribed
  • 235X Paulina - E Fort Rock No. 1 639 tags · 21 applicants · needed 1 pts
    99% Likely draw
  • 235Y Paulina - E Fort Rock No. 2 381 tags · 15 applicants · needed 1 pts
    56% Real chance
  • 236A Maury - Hampton Butte 11 tags · 0 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 236R Maury Unit Bow 89 tags · 4 applicants · needed 2 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 236T Maury Unit Youth 14 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Undersubscribed
  • 236X Maury Unit No. 1 22 tags · 2 applicants · needed 2 pts
    14% Point builder
  • 236Y Maury Unit No. 2 22 tags · 6 applicants · needed 3 pts
    9% Point builder
  • 237A Ochoco Private 527 tags · 15 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 237R Ochoco Unit Bow 501 tags · 81 applicants · needed 3 pts
    18% Long shot
  • 237T1 Ochoco Unit No. 1 Youth 10 tags · 4 applicants · needed 5 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 237T2 Ochoco Unit No. 2 Youth 155 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 237X Ochoco Unit No. 1 140 tags · 73 applicants · needed 11 pts
    2% Point builder
  • 237Y Ochoco Unit No. 2 140 tags · 74 applicants · needed 11 pts
    3% Point builder
  • 238A Grizzly Grassland 662 tags · 17 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 238B1 Grizzly Private No. 1 168 tags · 4 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 238B2 Grizzly Private No. 2 207 tags · 9 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 238T Grizzly Unit Youth 10 tags · 0 applicants · needed 3 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 238X Grizzly Unit No. 1 67 tags · 6 applicants · needed 3 pts
    6% Point builder
  • 238Y Grizzly Unit No. 2 67 tags · 10 applicants · needed 3 pts
    10% Point builder
  • 239R Metolius Unit Bow 199 tags · 3 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 241A The Dalles Watershed 33 tags · 4 applicants · needed 3 pts
    8% Point builder
  • 241B White Rvr - Hood 55 tags · 8 applicants · needed 3 pts
    6% Point builder
  • 241C White Rvr Private 286 tags · 4 applicants · needed 1 pts
    87% Likely draw
  • 241R The Dalles Watershed Bow 5 tags · 3 applicants · needed 15 pts
    1% Point builder
  • 241T White Rvr - Hood Youth 45 tags · 2 applicants · needed 1 pts
    42% Real chance
  • 241X White Rvr - Hood No. 1 838 tags · 7 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 241Y White Rvr - Hood No. 2 2,026 tags · 13 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 242 Hood Private 112 tags · 4 applicants · needed 1 pts
    83% Likely draw
  • 244 Columbia Plateau 1,695 tags · 71 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 245A1 N Fossil Private No. 1 252 tags · 15 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 245A2 N Fossil Private No. 2 334 tags · 13 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 245B1 S Fossil Private No. 1 207 tags · 9 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 245B2 S Fossil Private No. 2 420 tags · 23 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 245C Fossil Unit 73 tags · 0 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% No first-choice applicants
  • 245D Fossil Private 1,086 tags · 25 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 245T Fossil Unit Youth 82 tags · 1 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 245X Fossil Unit No. 1 439 tags · 16 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 245Y Fossil Unit No. 2 447 tags · 14 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 246 Murderers Cr Unit 420 tags · 27 applicants · needed 1 pts
    70% Real chance
  • 246A W Murderers Cr 473 tags · 75 applicants · needed 4 pts
    12% Point builder
  • 246B E Murderers Cr 250 tags · 17 applicants · needed 6 pts
    22% Long shot
  • 246C Murderers Cr Private Lands Plus 303 tags · 6 applicants · needed 4 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 246R Murderers Cr Unit Bow 1,499 tags · 90 applicants · needed 1 pts
    100% Likely draw
  • 246T Murderers Cr - Northside Youth 51 tags · 5 applicants · needed 1 pts
    23% Long shot
  • 246X Murderers Cr Unit 417 tags · 47 applicants · needed 3 pts
    15% Long shot
What these columns mean
Your odds
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
Showing 1–150 of 301 hunts. 27 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts. Next →

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

10 Saddle Mtn 26% public 11 Scappoose 10% public 12 Wilson 66% public 14 Trask 44% public 15 Willamette 4% public 16 Santiam 64% public 17 Stott Mtn 22% public 18 Alsea 44% public 19 Mckenzie 61% public 20 Siuslaw 42% public 21 Indigo 69% public 22 Dixon 76% public 23 Melrose 16% public 24 Tioga 36% public 25 Sixes 31% public 26 Powers 48% public 27 Chetco 82% public 28 Applegate 59% public 29 Evans Creek 43% public 30 Rogue 58% public 31 Keno 52% public 32 Klamath Falls 36% public 33 Sprague 73% public 34 Upper Deschutes 76% public 35 Paulina 78% public 36 Maury 57% public 37 Ochoco 54% public 38 Grizzly 28% public 39 Metolius 66% public 40 Maupin 10% public 41 White River 44% public 42 Hood 71% public 43 Biggs 15% public 44 Columbia Basin 5% public 45 Fossil 15% public 46 Murderers Creek 68% public 47 Northside 41% public 48 Heppner 34% public 49 Ukiah 35% public 50 Desolation 89% public 51 Sumpter 46% public 52 Starkey 64% public 53 Catherine Creek 24% public 54 Mount Emily 44% public 55 Walla Walla 33% public 56 Wenaha 73% public 57 Sled Springs 22% public 58 Chesnimnus 49% public 59 Snake River 93% public 60 Minam 74% public 61 Imnaha 74% public 62 Pine Creek 76% public 63 Keating 57% public 64 Lookout Mtn 38% public 65 Beulah 57% public 66 Malheur River 68% public 67 Owyhee 82% public 68 Whitehorse 91% public 69 Steens Mtn 64% public 70 Beatys Butte 83% public 71 Juniper 89% public 72 Silvies 67% public 73 Wagontire 87% public 74 Warner 70% public 75 Interstate 59% public 76 Silver Lake 62% public 77 Fort Rock 71% public 78
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.