AmmoSight

Montana Mountain Goat Draw Odds

Enter your points, see your chance of drawing every mountain goat tag in Montana — straight from the 2026 draw results.

Next application:opens Mar 1, closes May 1, 2027 (expected) Cost to apply:$110 ($110 if you miss) Tags (2026):16 Nonresident share:capped at 10% Applicants:3,871

* Projected from this year's calendar; the agency sets next year's exact dates.

How the Montana draw works (30-second version)

Bonus points (squared).

Every applicant gets points² + 1 entries in a random draw, so more points mean more chances — but never a guarantee.

Full mechanics, fees, and deadlines →

Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.

Simple view Odds at every point level
  • 100-20 Mountain Goat License 100-20 — Any Ram 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 101-20 Mountain Goat License 101-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 133-20 Mountain Goat License 133-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 140-20 Mountain Goat License 140-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 142-20 Mountain Goat License 142-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 150-20 Mountain Goat License 150-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 240-20 Mountain Goat License 240-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 313-20 Mountain Goat License 313-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 626 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 314-20 Mountain Goat License 314-20 — Either-sex 3 tags · 634 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 316-20 Mountain Goat License 316-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 180 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 320-20 Mountain Goat License 320-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 262 applicants
    0% Point builder
  • 323-20 Mountain Goat License 323-20 — Either-sex 3 tags · 536 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 324-20 Mountain Goat License 324-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 142 applicants
    0% Point builder
  • 325-20 Mountain Goat License 325-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 97 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 326-20 Mountain Goat License 326-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 81 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 329-20 Mountain Goat License 329-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 177 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 330-20 Mountain Goat License 330-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 140 applicants
    <1% Point builder
  • 331-20 Mountain Goat License 331-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 350-20 Mountain Goat License 350-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 361-20 Mountain Goat License 361-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 362-20 Mountain Goat License 362-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 393-20 Mountain Goat License 393-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 880 applicants
    0% Point builder
  • 415-20 Mountain Goat License 415-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 442-20 Mountain Goat License 442-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 447-20 Mountain Goat License 447-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 453-20 Mountain Goat License 453-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 514-20 Mountain Goat License 514-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 517-20 Mountain Goat License 517-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 518-20 Mountain Goat License 518-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 519-20 Mountain Goat License 519-20 — Either-sex 0 tags · 0 applicants
    — Not open to nonresidents
  • 521-20 Mountain Goat License 521-20 — Either-sex 1 tags · 116 applicants
    <1% Point builder
What these columns mean
Your odds
—
the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
The badge
—
plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Points needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
Tags / applicants
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
65 hunts not offered in 2026 are hidden — show discontinued hunts.

Browse by hunt area

Each area has its own page: where it is on the map, how much of it is public land, what the hunters who went there killed last season, and every license type you can apply for inside it.

100 Cabinet Mountains 87% public 101 West Cabinet Mountains 81% public 131 88% public 132 96% public 133 Swan-Clearwater 98% public 134 96% public 140 Great Northern 93% public 141 100% public 142 Upper Middle Fork 100% public 150 Continental Divide 100% public 151 100% public 212 223 240 West Bitterroot 77% public 250 280 312 Pioneer 81% public 313 Crazy Mountains 21% public 314 Gallatin Range 58% public 316 Cooke City 98% public 320 Tobacco Root Mountains 46% public 321 322 323 South Absaroka 88% public 324 Spanish Peaks 43% public 325 Jack Creek-Indian Creek 40% public 326 Taylor-Hilgards 76% public 327 Wolf Creek-Quake Lake 328 329 Hellroaring-Slough Creek 99% public 330 North Absaroka 53% public 331 Snowcrest Mountains 50% public 350 North Big Belt Mountains 81% public 361 Hebgen-Upper Madison 80% public 362 Cabin Creek 97% public 393 Bridgers 29% public 414 415 Birch Creek 99% public 442 South Teton 81% public 447 Square Butte 17% public 451 453 South Big Belt Mountains 32% public 460 514 Line Creek 61% public 517 Rock Creek 82% public 518 Froze-to-Death 98% public 519 Fishtail 80% public 521 Two Sisters 100% public
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.