Arizona Deer Draw Odds

In the 2026 draw Arizona offered 218 deer hunts to nonresidents, split between a top-points pass and a weighted random draw. At 0 points a nonresident had at least an even chance in 43 hunts open to every hunter.

Applications Close
228 days
Jun 2

Closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected)

Cost to Apply
$175

Kept if you miss. Deer license $300 only if drawn

Tags
3,370

2026 draw · nonresidents capped at 10%

Nonresident Applicants
20,662

2026 draw, first choice

Point only: $15 nonresident · on the draw application · apply by Jun 2, 2027 (expected) → Buying Points in Arizona

How the Arizona Draw Works (30-Second Version)

Split: points + random.

20% of the tags go to the applicants with the most points; the other 80% are drawn at random with points + 1 entries per applicant, so points still help but never guarantee a tag.

Who can apply, fees and deadlines in Arizona

Best Bets at 0 Points

Odds × hunter success × public land, 10 tags or more. Private-land, ranch, landowner and youth hunts left out.

Every Hunt at 0 Points

218 hunt codes drawn in 2026 · 50 at 50% or better · first choice · nonresident

Last year's odds were off by about 13 percentage points for applicants near the points needed. How we check

90–100% 50–89% 10–49% 1–9% under 1% fewer than 5 tags: one applicant swings it
One Line per Hunt Odds at Every Point Level
1001 Unit 1 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Any antlered deer 4% 7▲1
1199New 2026 Unit 1 · Antlered archery · Archery-only hunt permit-tag required deer · Any antlered deer 30% 5
1002 Unit 2A +2 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Any antlered deer · 2A, 2B, and 2C 5% (small sample) 7▼1
1003 Unit 3A +1 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Any antlered deer · 3A and 3C <1% 20▲1
1004 Unit 3A +1 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Any antlered deer · Know the Seasons · Deer 3A and 3C 0% (small sample) —
1200New 2026 Unit 3A +1 · Antlered archery · Archery-only hunt permit-tag required deer · Any antlered deer · 3A and 3C <1% (small sample) 21
1182New 2026 Unit 3B · Antlered muzzleloader · Muzzleloader deer · Any antlered deer · 3B 19% —
1183New 2026 Unit 3B · Antlered muzzleloader · Muzzleloader deer · Any antlered deer · 3B 1% (small sample) —
1005 Unit 4A +1 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Any antlered deer · 4A and 4B 10% —
1801 Unit 4A +1 · Antlered rifle · General · Any antlered deer · 04A/04B 69% (small sample) —
1802 Unit 4B +1 · Antlered rifle · General · Any antlered deer · 04B/04A 54% (small sample) —
1006 Unit 5A +1 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Any antlered deer · 5A and 5B 5% 5▼1
1152New 2026 Youth · Unit 5A +1 · Antlered rifle · Youth-only (general) deer · Any antlered deer · 5A and 5B 3% (small sample) 5
1803 Unit 5A +1 · Antlered rifle · General · Any antlered deer · 05A/05B 50% (small sample) —
1007 Unit 6A · Antlered rifle · General deer · Antlered mule deer · 6A 5% 6▼1
1074 Unit 6A · Antlered rifle · General deer · Antlered whitetail deer · 6A 12% —
1075 Unit 6A · Antlered rifle · General deer · Antlered whitetail deer · 6A <1% (small sample) 15▲8
1008New 2026 Unit 6B · Antlered rifle · General deer · Antlered mule deer · 6B (except Camp Navajo) 27% 10
1076 Unit 6B · Antlered rifle · General deer · Antlered whitetail deer · 6B (except Camp Navajo) 36% 0
1077 Unit 6B +1 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Antlered whitetail deer · 6B (except Camp Navajo) and 8 4% (small sample) —
1184New 2026 Unit 6B · Antlered muzzleloader · Muzzleloader deer · Any antlered deer · 6B (except Camp Navajo) 58% 3
1009New 2026 Unit 7 +1 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Any antlered deer · 7 and 9 14% 4
1010 Unit 7 +1 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Any antlered deer · 7 and 9 <1% (small sample) 26▲22
1180New 2026 Unit 7 +1 · Either-sex handgun · Champ · Any deer · 7 and 9 12% —
1011 Unit 8 · Antlered rifle · General deer · Antlered mule deer 7% 5

Showing 1–25 of 218 · sorted by unit

Show all 218 hunts
What These Columns Mean
Odds at your points
—
the share of first-choice applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year. A badge marked * had under five tags, so one applicant either way swings it.
Pts needed
—
the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw; the ▲ or ▼ is how far that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold. A 0 marks a hunt that went Undersubscribed: fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
Tags / apps
—
tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them.
Success
—
the share of hunters in the unit who killed an animal, from the latest harvest report on file. It is the whole unit's figure, not the hunt's.
Private land, RFW, ranch, youth
—
tags not every hunter can use: private-land-only hunts need landowner access, ranch hunts (Colorado's Ranching for Wildlife, Utah's CWMUs) come with access to one ranch, youth tags have an age limit. They are never best bets and never colour the map.
All 82 Units
Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

About These Numbers

Every percentage here is the chance an applicant with that many points had in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results; quotas, applicant numbers and point levels change every year. A dash means the agency did not publish the number. Under five tags the percentage is flagged: one applicant either way swings it. Check the agency's site and apply there; we don't take applications. How we compute these.