State of the Montana Draw 2013
← 2012 · 2014 → · every year: 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026
Nonresident view of the 2013 draws in Montana: 630 hunt codes, 7,480 nonresident tags where states set a nonresident quota, 31,548 first-choice applications. Every figure is from the agency's published draw report; odds are prior-draw probabilities.
Not in this report: Alaska (latest 2025), Arizona (latest 2026), California (latest 2025), Colorado (latest 2026), Idaho (latest 2026), Iowa (latest 2026), Kansas (latest 2026), Kentucky (latest 2026), Nebraska (latest 2026), Nevada (latest 2025), New Mexico (latest 2026), North Dakota (latest 2026), Oregon (latest 2026), Pennsylvania (no nonresident results published), South Dakota (latest 2026), Tennessee (latest 2026), Texas (latest 2025), Utah (latest 2026), Washington (latest 2026) and Wyoming (latest 2026).
Demand at a Glance
| State · Species | Codes | NR Tags | 1st-Choice Apps | Apps / Tag | Drawable at 0 Pts | Undersubscribed | Median Cut | Cut Shift | Odds Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana · White-tailed / Mule Deer | 171 | 1,920 | 4,776 | 2.5 | 46% | 63 | — | — | 4% |
| Montana · Elk | 171 | 3,147 | 9,099 | 2.9 | 29% | 30 | — | — | 3% |
| Montana · Moose | 91 | 33 | 2,549 | 77.2 | 0% | 0 | — | — | <1% |
| Montana · Pronghorn | 111 | 2,335 | 4,995 | 2.1 | 23% | 9 | — | — | 5% |
| Montana · Bighorn Sheep | 48 | 17 | 7,101 | 417.7 | 15% | 6 | — | — | <1% |
| Montana · Mountain Goat | 38 | 28 | 3,028 | 108.1 | 0% | 0 | — | — | <1% |
"Drawable at 0 pts" = share of codes where a first-year applicant had at least a 50% chance. "Cut shift" needs the prior draw on file. "Odds error" = applicant-weighted back-test error of the prior year's odds (methodology).
Montana Deer
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 270-50 Deer Permit 270-50 — Antlered Buck… — 629 applicants for 4 tags
- 261-50 Deer Permit 261-50 — Antlered Buck… — 138 applicants for 2 tags
- 324-50 Deer Permit 324-50 — Antlered Buck… — 112 applicants for 2 tags
- 300-50 Deer Permit 300-50 — Antlered Buck… — 134 applicants for 3 tags
- 652-50 Deer Permit 652-50 — Antlered Buck… — 147 applicants for 5 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 599-00 Deer B License 599-00 — 15 first-choice applicants for 200 tags
- 598-00 Deer B License 598-00 — 43 first-choice applicants for 175 tags
- 699-00 Deer B License 699-00 — Antlerless… — 25 first-choice applicants for 100 tags
- 411-01 Deer B License 411-01 — Antlerless… — 41 first-choice applicants for 100 tags
- 445-01 Deer B License 445-01 — Antlerless… — 13 first-choice applicants for 50 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2012
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Elk
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 632-20 Elk Permit 632-20 — Either-sex Elk — 110 applicants for 1 tag
- 380-20 Elk Permit 380-20 — Either-sex Elk — 868 applicants for 8 tags
- 622-20 Elk Permit 622-20 — Either-sex Elk — 232 applicants for 3 tags
- 410-20 Elk Permit 410-20 — Either-sex Elk — 371 applicants for 5 tags
- 690-20 Elk Permit 690-20 — Either-sex Elk — 175 applicants for 3 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 004-80 Elk B License 004-80 — 157 first-choice applicants for 280 tags
- 900-80 Elk B License 900-80 — 29 first-choice applicants for 100 tags
- 441-80 Elk B License 441-80 — 6 first-choice applicants for 35 tags
- 411-80 Elk B License 411-80 — 17 first-choice applicants for 40 tags
- 442-80 Elk B License 442-80 — 10 first-choice applicants for 30 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2012
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Moose
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2012
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Antelope (Pronghorn)
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 900-00 Antelope License 900-00 — 482 first-choice applicants for 560 tags
- 450-10 Antelope B License 450-10 — 4 first-choice applicants for 30 tags
- 490-10 Antelope B License 490-10 — 8 first-choice applicants for 32 tags
- 590-10 Antelope B License 590-10 — 4 first-choice applicants for 20 tags
- 370-10 Antelope B License 370-10 — 0 first-choice applicants for 10 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2012
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Bighorn Sheep
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 680-00 Bighorn Sheep License 680-00 — 3,354 applicants for 2 tags
- 124-00 Bighorn Sheep License 124-00 — 1,267 applicants for 1 tag
- 482-00 Bighorn Sheep License 482-00 — 1,211 applicants for 1 tag
- 622-00 Bighorn Sheep License 622-00 — 414 applicants for 1 tag
- 270-00 Bighorn Sheep License 270-00 — 352 applicants for 1 tag
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2012
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Mountain Goat
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 453-00 Mountain Goat License 453-00 — 652 applicants for 1 tag
- 140-00 Mountain Goat License 140-00 — 648 applicants for 1 tag
- 324-00 Mountain Goat License 324-00 — 171 applicants for 1 tag
- 328-00 Mountain Goat License 328-00 — 115 applicants for 1 tag
- 323-00 Mountain Goat License 323-00 — 285 applicants for 3 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2012
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
About These Numbers
Every percentage here is the chance an applicant with that many points had in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results; quotas, applicant numbers and point levels change every year. A dash means the agency did not publish the number. Under five tags the percentage is flagged: one applicant either way swings it. Check the agency's site and apply there; we don't take applications. How we compute these.