State of the Montana Draw 2007
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Nonresident view of the 2007 draws in Montana: 511 hunt codes, 5,061 nonresident tags where states set a nonresident quota, 24,520 first-choice applications. Every figure is from the agency's published draw report; odds are prior-draw probabilities.
Not in this report: Alaska (latest 2025), Arizona (latest 2026), California (latest 2025), Colorado (latest 2026), Idaho (latest 2026), Iowa (latest 2026), Kansas (latest 2026), Kentucky (latest 2026), Nebraska (latest 2026), Nevada (latest 2025), New Mexico (latest 2026), North Dakota (latest 2026), Oregon (latest 2026), Pennsylvania (no nonresident results published), South Dakota (latest 2026), Tennessee (latest 2026), Texas (latest 2025), Utah (latest 2026), Washington (latest 2026) and Wyoming (latest 2026).
Demand at a Glance
| State · Species | Codes | NR Tags | 1st-Choice Apps | Apps / Tag | Drawable at 0 Pts | Undersubscribed | Median Cut | Cut Shift | Odds Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana · White-tailed / Mule Deer | 35 | 214 | 1,990 | 9.3 | 63% | 22 | — | — | 2% |
| Montana · Elk | 160 | 1,900 | 4,372 | 2.3 | 46% | 34 | — | — | 6% |
| Montana · Moose | 116 | 53 | 2,295 | 43.3 | 0% | 0 | — | — | 1% |
| Montana · Pronghorn | 95 | 2,840 | 7,951 | 2.8 | 62% | 38 | — | — | 6% |
| Montana · Bighorn Sheep | 52 | 31 | 5,497 | 177.3 | 10% | 6 | — | — | <1% |
| Montana · Mountain Goat | 53 | 23 | 2,415 | 105.0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | <1% |
"Drawable at 0 pts" = share of codes where a first-year applicant had at least a 50% chance. "Cut shift" needs the prior draw on file. "Odds error" = applicant-weighted back-test error of the prior year's odds (methodology).
Montana Deer
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 270-50 Deer Permit 270-50 — Antlered Buck… — 749 applicants for 10 tags
- 300-50 Deer Permit 300-50 — Antlered Buck… — 118 applicants for 4 tags
- 324-50 Deer Permit 324-50 — Antlered Buck… — 141 applicants for 5 tags
- 652-50 Deer Permit 652-50 — Antlered Buck… — 141 applicants for 10 tags
- 261-50 Deer Permit 261-50 — Antlered Buck… — 28 applicants for 2 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 530-50 Deer Permit 530-50 — Antlered Buck… — 66 first-choice applicants for 75 tags
- 103-60 Deer Permit 103-60 — 2 first-choice applicants for 10 tags
- 122-60 Deer Permit 122-60 — 2 first-choice applicants for 9 tags
- 121-60 Deer Permit 121-60 — 3 first-choice applicants for 9 tags
- 100-60 Deer Permit 100-60 — 4 first-choice applicants for 7 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2006
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Elk
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 313-11 Elk Permit 313-11 — 338 applicants for 2 tags
- 380-20 Elk Permit 380-20 — Either-sex Elk — 396 applicants for 11 tags
- 410-20 Elk Permit 410-20 — Either-sex Elk — 222 applicants for 7 tags
- 580-21 Elk Permit 580-21 — 18 applicants for 1 tag
- 622-20 Elk Permit 622-20 — Either-sex Elk — 99 applicants for 6 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 498-80 Elk B License 498-80 — 110 first-choice applicants for 150 tags
- 339-00 Elk B License 339-00 — 8 first-choice applicants for 40 tags
- 441-00 Elk Permit 441-00 — 3 first-choice applicants for 25 tags
- 417-00 Elk Permit 417-00 — 13 first-choice applicants for 35 tags
- 285-21 Elk Permit 285-21 — 11 first-choice applicants for 30 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2006
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Moose
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2006
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Antelope (Pronghorn)
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 480-10 Antelope B License 480-10 — 2 first-choice applicants for 140 tags
- 481-10 Antelope B License 481-10 — 0 first-choice applicants for 100 tags
- 490-10 Antelope B License 490-10 — 3 first-choice applicants for 90 tags
- 491-10 Antelope B License 491-10 — 0 first-choice applicants for 60 tags
- 401-10 Antelope B License 401-10 — 1 first-choice applicant for 60 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2006
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Bighorn Sheep
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 680-00 Bighorn Sheep License 680-00 — 1,721 applicants for 1 tag
- 482-00 Bighorn Sheep License 482-00 — 1,104 applicants for 1 tag
- 121-00 Bighorn Sheep License 121-00 — 634 applicants for 1 tag
- 124-00 Bighorn Sheep License 124-00 — 541 applicants for 1 tag
- 270-00 Bighorn Sheep License 270-00 — 538 applicants for 1 tag
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2006
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Mountain Goat
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 447-00 Mountain Goat License 447-00 — 860 applicants for 1 tag
- 320-00 Mountain Goat License 320-00 — 271 applicants for 1 tag
- 451-00 Mountain Goat License 451-00 — 254 applicants for 1 tag
- 323-00 Mountain Goat License 323-00 — 167 applicants for 2 tags
- 393-00 Mountain Goat License 393-00 — 82 applicants for 1 tag
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2006
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
About These Numbers
Every percentage here is the chance an applicant with that many points had in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results; quotas, applicant numbers and point levels change every year. A dash means the agency did not publish the number. Under five tags the percentage is flagged: one applicant either way swings it. Check the agency's site and apply there; we don't take applications. How we compute these.