State of the Montana Draw 2006
2007 → · every year: 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026
Nonresident view of the 2006 draws in Montana: 675 hunt codes, 8,564 nonresident tags where states set a nonresident quota, 27,243 first-choice applications. Every figure is from the agency's published draw report; odds are prior-draw probabilities.
Not in this report: Alaska (latest 2025), Arizona (latest 2026), California (latest 2025), Colorado (latest 2026), Idaho (latest 2026), Iowa (latest 2026), Kansas (latest 2026), Kentucky (latest 2026), Nebraska (latest 2026), Nevada (latest 2025), New Mexico (latest 2026), North Dakota (latest 2026), Oregon (latest 2026), Pennsylvania (no nonresident results published), South Dakota (latest 2026), Tennessee (latest 2026), Texas (latest 2025), Utah (latest 2026), Washington (latest 2026) and Wyoming (latest 2026).
Demand at a Glance
| State · Species | Codes | NR Tags | 1st-Choice Apps | Apps / Tag | Drawable at 0 Pts | Undersubscribed | Median Cut | Cut Shift | Odds Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana · White-tailed / Mule Deer | 197 | 3,624 | 6,115 | 1.7 | 79% | 130 | — | — | — |
| Montana · Elk | 161 | 2,007 | 4,328 | 2.2 | 47% | 40 | — | — | — |
| Montana · Moose | 116 | 55 | 2,102 | 38.2 | 0% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Montana · Pronghorn | 95 | 2,824 | 7,724 | 2.7 | 67% | 38 | — | — | — |
| Montana · Bighorn Sheep | 53 | 29 | 4,847 | 167.1 | 15% | 7 | — | — | — |
| Montana · Mountain Goat | 53 | 25 | 2,127 | 85.1 | 0% | 0 | — | — | — |
"Drawable at 0 pts" = share of codes where a first-year applicant had at least a 50% chance. "Cut shift" needs the prior draw on file. "Odds error" = applicant-weighted back-test error of the prior year's odds (methodology).
Montana Deer
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 270-50 Deer Permit 270-50 — Antlered Buck… — 672 applicants for 10 tags
- 300-50 Deer Permit 300-50 — Antlered Buck… — 135 applicants for 4 tags
- 324-50 Deer Permit 324-50 — Antlered Buck… — 156 applicants for 5 tags
- 261-50 Deer Permit 261-50 — Antlered Buck… — 29 applicants for 2 tags
- 652-50 Deer Permit 652-50 — Antlered Buck… — 97 applicants for 10 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 797-00 Deer B License 797-00 — 1,853 first-choice applicants for 3,000 tags
- 599-00 Deer B License 599-00 — 36 first-choice applicants for 200 tags
- 598-00 Deer B License 598-00 — 89 first-choice applicants for 225 tags
- 498-00 Deer B License 498-00 — Antlerless… — 199 first-choice applicants for 300 tags
- 499-00 Deer B License 499-00 — 5 first-choice applicants for 100 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2005
Prior draw not on file.
Montana Elk
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 313-11 Elk Permit 313-11 — 323 applicants for 4 tags
- 380-20 Elk Permit 380-20 — Either-sex Elk — 367 applicants for 11 tags
- 410-20 Elk Permit 410-20 — Either-sex Elk — 231 applicants for 7 tags
- 632-20 Elk Permit 632-20 — Either-sex Elk — 24 applicants for 1 tag
- 580-21 Elk Permit 580-21 — 18 applicants for 1 tag
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 498-80 Elk B License 498-80 — 52 first-choice applicants for 150 tags
- 622-00 Elk B License 622-00 — Antlerless… — 10 first-choice applicants for 50 tags
- 339-00 Elk B License 339-00 — 2 first-choice applicants for 40 tags
- 417-00 Elk Permit 417-00 — 7 first-choice applicants for 35 tags
- 343-00 Elk B License 343-00 — 10 first-choice applicants for 35 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2005
Prior draw not on file.
Montana Moose
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2005
Prior draw not on file.
Montana Antelope (Pronghorn)
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 480-10 Antelope B License 480-10 — 1 first-choice applicant for 140 tags
- 481-10 Antelope B License 481-10 — 0 first-choice applicants for 100 tags
- 450-10 Antelope B License 450-10 — 2 first-choice applicants for 90 tags
- 490-10 Antelope B License 490-10 — 0 first-choice applicants for 75 tags
- 690-10 Antelope B License 690-10 — 1 first-choice applicant for 52 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2005
Prior draw not on file.
Montana Bighorn Sheep
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 680-00 Bighorn Sheep License 680-00 — 1,554 applicants for 1 tag
- 124-00 Bighorn Sheep License 124-00 — 1,252 applicants for 1 tag
- 270-00 Bighorn Sheep License 270-00 — 792 applicants for 1 tag
- 482-00 Bighorn Sheep License 482-00 — 390 applicants for 1 tag
- 216-00 Bighorn Sheep License 216-00 — 270 applicants for 1 tag
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2005
Prior draw not on file.
Montana Mountain Goat
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 447-00 Mountain Goat License 447-00 — 580 applicants for 1 tag
- 320-00 Mountain Goat License 320-00 — 299 applicants for 1 tag
- 393-00 Mountain Goat License 393-00 — 258 applicants for 1 tag
- 326-00 Mountain Goat License 326-00 — 69 applicants for 1 tag
- 323-00 Mountain Goat License 323-00 — 133 applicants for 2 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2005
Prior draw not on file.
About These Numbers
Every percentage here is the chance an applicant with that many points had in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results; quotas, applicant numbers and point levels change every year. A dash means the agency did not publish the number. Under five tags the percentage is flagged: one applicant either way swings it. Check the agency's site and apply there; we don't take applications. How we compute these.