State of the Montana Draw 2008
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Nonresident view of the 2008 draws in Montana: 686 hunt codes, 10,029 nonresident tags where states set a nonresident quota, 31,264 first-choice applications. Every figure is from the agency's published draw report; odds are prior-draw probabilities.
Not in this report: Alaska (latest 2025), Arizona (latest 2026), California (latest 2025), Colorado (latest 2026), Idaho (latest 2026), Iowa (latest 2026), Kansas (latest 2026), Kentucky (latest 2026), Nebraska (latest 2026), Nevada (latest 2025), New Mexico (latest 2026), North Dakota (latest 2026), Oregon (latest 2026), Pennsylvania (no nonresident results published), South Dakota (latest 2026), Tennessee (latest 2026), Texas (latest 2025), Utah (latest 2026), Washington (latest 2026) and Wyoming (latest 2026).
Demand at a Glance
| State · Species | Codes | NR Tags | 1st-Choice Apps | Apps / Tag | Drawable at 0 Pts | Undersubscribed | Median Cut | Cut Shift | Odds Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana · White-tailed / Mule Deer | 197 | 5,201 | 6,100 | 1.2 | 82% | 135 | — | — | 1% |
| Montana · Elk | 176 | 2,180 | 5,313 | 2.4 | 50% | 48 | — | — | 4% |
| Montana · Moose | 116 | 54 | 2,532 | 46.9 | 0% | 0 | — | — | 1% |
| Montana · Pronghorn | 93 | 2,529 | 8,659 | 3.4 | 52% | 33 | — | — | 6% |
| Montana · Bighorn Sheep | 54 | 39 | 5,998 | 153.8 | 15% | 8 | — | — | <1% |
| Montana · Mountain Goat | 50 | 26 | 2,662 | 102.4 | 0% | 0 | — | — | <1% |
"Drawable at 0 pts" = share of codes where a first-year applicant had at least a 50% chance. "Cut shift" needs the prior draw on file. "Odds error" = applicant-weighted back-test error of the prior year's odds (methodology).
Montana Deer
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 270-50 Deer Permit 270-50 — Antlered Buck… — 672 applicants for 10 tags
- 300-50 Deer Permit 300-50 — Antlered Buck… — 137 applicants for 4 tags
- 324-50 Deer Permit 324-50 — Antlered Buck… — 143 applicants for 5 tags
- 261-50 Deer Permit 261-50 — Antlered Buck… — 40 applicants for 2 tags
- 652-50 Deer Permit 652-50 — Antlered Buck… — 148 applicants for 10 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 797-00 Deer B License 797-00 — 1,727 first-choice applicants for 3,000 tags
- 699-00 Deer B License 699-00 — Antlerless… — 68 first-choice applicants for 500 tags
- 599-00 Deer B License 599-00 — 21 first-choice applicants for 200 tags
- 598-00 Deer B License 598-00 — 64 first-choice applicants for 225 tags
- 498-00 Deer B License 498-00 — Antlerless… — 169 first-choice applicants for 300 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2007
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Elk
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 313-11 Elk Permit 313-11 — 261 applicants for 4 tags
- 410-20 Elk Permit 410-20 — Either-sex Elk — 219 applicants for 5 tags
- 380-20 Elk Permit 380-20 — Either-sex Elk — 400 applicants for 11 tags
- 622-20 Elk Permit 622-20 — Either-sex Elk — 143 applicants for 6 tags
- 620-20 Elk Permit 620-20 — Either-sex Elk — 122 applicants for 6 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 314-80 Elk B License 314-80 — 22 first-choice applicants for 100 tags
- 339-00 Elk B License 339-00 — 4 first-choice applicants for 50 tags
- 622-00 Elk B License 622-00 — Antlerless… — 31 first-choice applicants for 70 tags
- 417-00 Elk Permit 417-00 — 7 first-choice applicants for 40 tags
- 390-80 Elk B License 390-80 — 8 first-choice applicants for 40 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2007
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Moose
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2007
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Antelope (Pronghorn)
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
- 480-10 Antelope B License 480-10 — 3 first-choice applicants for 140 tags
- 481-10 Antelope B License 481-10 — 0 first-choice applicants for 100 tags
- 401-10 Antelope B License 401-10 — 0 first-choice applicants for 60 tags
- 450-10 Antelope B License 450-10 — 1 first-choice applicant for 50 tags
- 690-10 Antelope B License 690-10 — 7 first-choice applicants for 52 tags
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2007
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Bighorn Sheep
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 680-00 Bighorn Sheep License 680-00 — 2,507 applicants for 2 tags
- 122-00 Bighorn Sheep License 122-00 — 863 applicants for 1 tag
- 124-00 Bighorn Sheep License 124-00 — 787 applicants for 1 tag
- 121-00 Bighorn Sheep License 121-00 — 364 applicants for 1 tag
- 482-00 Bighorn Sheep License 482-00 — 465 applicants for 2 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2007
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
Montana Mountain Goat
Hardest Tags (Most Applicants per Tag)
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to publish.
- 447-00 Mountain Goat License 447-00 — 913 applicants for 1 tag
- 460-00 Mountain Goat License 460-00 — 508 applicants for 1 tag
- 316-00 Mountain Goat License 316-00 — 269 applicants for 1 tag
- 320-00 Mountain Goat License 320-00 — 94 applicants for 1 tag
- 329-00 Mountain Goat License 329-00 — 214 applicants for 3 tags
Sleepers (Undersubscribed, 5+ Tags)
Every code with 5+ tags was oversubscribed.
Biggest Cut Moves vs 2007
Bonus points (squared) — no point cut to compare.
About These Numbers
Every percentage here is the chance an applicant with that many points had in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results; quotas, applicant numbers and point levels change every year. A dash means the agency did not publish the number. Under five tags the percentage is flagged: one applicant either way swings it. Check the agency's site and apply there; we don't take applications.