Montana Deer 530-50 — Hunting District 530, Permit
Deer Permit 530-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer
- What you may take
- Deer Permit 530-50 — Antlered Buck Mule Deer
- Weapon
- Rifle
- Where
- 530
- Seasons (2021)
- Sep 4 – Oct 17, 2021 · Oct 23 – Nov 28, 2021 · Dec 11–19, 2021
- Tags (2021)
- 65
- for 157 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 10%
Showing nonresident results (Standard class). Switch to resident · Standard Landowner
Odds by point level — 2021 draw
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 65 tags, 157 first-choice applicants. Source: 2021 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 67 | 19 |
| 1 | 48% | 26 | 9 |
| 2 | 81% | 14 | 10 |
| 3 | 96% | 8 | 8 |
| 4 | >99% | 2 | 2 |
| 5 | >99% | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | 100% | — | — |
| 7 | 77% | — | — |
| 8 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| 9–10 | 100% same chance at every one of these levels | — | — |
Expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks did not publish a count for that level — it prints exact counts around the cut and folds the rest into a band. How we compute these.
What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)
Optional, not counted above: Bonus point only (no application) (July 1 - Sept 30, per species) $25.
Not applying this year? A point-only purchase costs $20 (Jul 1 – Sep 30, expected) and adds a point for next year's draw.
Next application window: opens Mar 1, closes Apr 1, 2027 (expected) · results ~April 15. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.
Seasons (2021)
As a lower choice
Drawn at this choice ÷ applicants listing it at this choice, as published. Points do not help a lower choice.
Drawn at this choice ÷ applicants listing it at this choice, as published. Points do not help a lower choice.
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 65 | 157 | 2.4 | — | 2021 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2020 | 65 | 181 | 2.8 | — | 2020 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2019 | 50 | 194 | 3.9 | — | 2019 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2018 | 50 | 222 | 4.4 | — | 2018 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2017 | 50 | 148 | 3.0 | — | 2017 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2016 | 50 | 140 | 2.8 | — | 2016 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2015 | 50 | 153 | 3.1 | — | 2015 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2014 | 50 | 112 | 2.2 | — | 2014 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2013 | 50 | 115 | 2.3 | — | 2013 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2012 | 50 | 91 | 1.8 | — | 2012 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2011 | 50 | 142 | 2.8 | — | 2011 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2010 | 60 | 101 | 1.7 | — | 2010 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2009 | 600 | 74 | 0.1 | — | 2009 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2008 | 75 | 69 | 0.9 | — | 2008 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2007 | 75 | 66 | 0.9 | — | 2007 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
| 2006 | 750 | 80 | 0.1 | — | 2006 Deer Permit Drawing... · p. 2 |
Legal cartridges for deer in Montana
From the Montana hunting laws rules on file for a rifle. "Depends" means the rule turns on your specific load — check the state page.
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.
How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.