Oregon Deer — Unit 15
Willamette
Oregon Unit 15 covers 1,844,495 acres and lies 4 miles east of Keizer. 4% of it is public land, mostly other public land (1%) and county or city land (1%). In 2025, 5,700 people hunted deer here and took 1,699 — 30% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 3,410 tags here for 29 first-choice applicants, and the last tag went to someone with 2 points.
Your chance of drawing here
Every deer license type on offer in Unit 15, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.
Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.
Simple view Odds at every point level-
12% Point builder
| Hunt | Your odds (0 pts) | Points needed | Tags / applicants | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615 ↗ Willamette Unit | 12% Point builder | 2 steady since 2022 | 3,410 / 29 | Sep 1 – Feb 28, 2027 |
What these columns mean
- Your odds —
- the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
- The badge —
- plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
- Points needed —
- the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
- Tags / applicants —
- tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)
| License | Up front | Gone if you miss | If you draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Per application | $203 | $203 | $703 |
Application window: opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.
The country
Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.
Who owns the ground
- Private 1,763,919 ac · 96%
- Other public 24,324 ac · 1%
- County or city land 24,219 ac · 1%
- State land 13,473 ac · 1%
- National Wildlife Refuge 13,131 ac · 1%
- BLM 5,821 ac · 0%
- Department of Defense 66 ac · 0%
Source: BLM Oregon/Washington Land Status Ownership (BLM_OR_Ownership MapServer)
How the hunting has gone
What Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes these per hunt rather than per unit; the rows below add its own figures together, since a hunter holds one tag for the species in a season. Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in.
| Season | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5,700 | 1,699 | 30% |
| 2024 | 5,788 | 1,672 | 29% |
| 2022 | 4,355 | 865 | 20% |
What people carried (2025 harvest)
- Rifle 1,577 · 93% · 4,889 hunters, 32% success
- Archery 122 · 7% · 811 hunters, 15% success
Boundary: ODFW Wildlife Management Unit boundaries (Compass ArcGIS service)
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt
Harvest: ODFW 2024 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt