Oregon Deer 119M — Unit 19
McKenzie Unit Muzzleloader · Mckenzie
- What you may take
- McKenzie Unit Muzzleloader (any)
- Weapon
- Muzzleloader
- Season (2026)
- Nov 14–25, 2026
- Tags (2026)
- 386
- for 12 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 5%
- Hunter success here (2025)
- 36%
- of everyone who hunted the area
Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident
Odds by point level — 2026 draw
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 289 tags, 12 first-choice applicants, drew out at 1 points. Source: ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw... · row 33.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34% | 8 | 0 |
| 1 | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| 2 | 100% | — | — |
| 3 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| 4–6 | 100% same chance at every one of these levels | — | — |
| 7 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| 8–10 | 100% same chance at every one of these levels | — | — |
Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.
What it costs (2026 nonresident fees)
At the 2026 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $703 (enough points to draw) to $1,104.81 (lowest published odds).
Next application window: opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected) · results ~June 12. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Drew out at 1 → 1 → 1 → 1 → 1 points (2022–2026): no creep — drew at 1 points each year. Projecting that pace forward:
| Your points now | Years until a sure thing |
|---|---|
| 0 | 1 yr |
| 1 | now |
A projection of the last five draws' median creep (capped at 2 points/yr), not a forecast. Random-pass odds still apply every year you're below the cut.
Seasons (2026)
How this tag has hunted
Across every license type in Unit 19, Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife counted 7,745 hunters and 2,817 deer taken in 2025 — 36% of them killed something. Full Unit 19 profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →
Hunters holding this license type (2025) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:
| What they hunted | Hunters | Harvest | Success | Days per animal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type 119A W High Cascade | 201 | 42 | 21% | — |
| Type General Any Legal Weapon Western Oregon w/ 119A | 254 | 93 | 36% | — |
| Type General Western Deer | 5,168 | 1,885 | 36% | — |
| Type Early Bow Deer w/ 123R1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Type Early Bow Deer w/ 123R2 N Bank Habitat Bow | 0 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Type Late Bow Deer w/ 123R1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Type Late Bow Deer w/ 123R2 N Bank Habitat Bow | 0 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Type Early Bow Deer | 365 | 53 | 15% | — |
| Type Late Bow Deer | 837 | 231 | 28% | — |
| Type 119M McKenzie Unit Muzzleloader | 324 | 156 | 48% | — |
| Type 619 W McKenzie | 455 | 252 | 55% | — |
| Type 619T McKenzie Unit Youth | 141 | 105 | 75% | — |
Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in. Source: ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Random pass | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 386 | 12 | 0.0 | 1 | 97 tags | ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw... · row 33 |
| 2025 | 397 | 11 | 0.0 | 1 | 108 tags | ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw... · row 35 |
| 2024 | 403 | 11 | 0.0 | 1 | 114 tags | ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw... · row 34 |
| 2023 | 385 | 14 | 0.0 | 1 | 96 tags | ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw... · row 35 |
| 2022 | 385 | 12 | 0.0 | 1 | 96 tags | ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw... · row 18 |
Other licenses valid in Unit 19
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How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.