Oregon Deer — Unit 38
Grizzly
Oregon Unit 38 covers 1,079,441 acres and lies 21 miles north of Prineville and 30 miles north-east of Redmond. 28% of it is public land, mostly national forest (19%) and BLM (8%). In 2025, 1,027 people hunted deer here and took 333 — 32% of them killed something. The 2025 draw put up 1,119 tags here for 7 first-choice applicants, and the last tag went to someone with 1 points.
Your chance of drawing here
Every deer license type on offer in Unit 38, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.
Chances are from the 2025 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.
Simple view Odds at every point level-
16% Long shot
-
100% Likely draw
-
100% No first-choice applicants
| Hunt | Your odds (0 pts) | Points needed | Tags / applicants | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 ↗ Grizzly Unit Rifle | 16% Long shot | 2 +1 since 2022 | 774 / 45 | Oct 4–15, 2025 |
| 138R ↗ Grizzly Unit Bow Archery | 100% Likely draw | 1 steady since 2022 | 1,119 / 7 | Aug 30 – Sep 28, 2025 |
| 638A ↗ Lower Willow Cr Agri Rifle | 100% No first-choice applicants | 15 +1 since 2022 | 11 / 0 | Oct 15 – Nov 30, 2025 |
What these columns mean
- Your odds —
- the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2025 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
- The badge —
- plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
- Points needed —
- the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2025 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
- Tags / applicants —
- tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
What it costs to apply (2025 nonresident fees)
| License | Up front | Gone if you miss | If you draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Per application | $180 | $180 | $623.50 |
Application window: opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.
The country
Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.
Who owns the ground
- Private 781,683 ac · 72%
- National Forest 206,585 ac · 19%
- BLM 84,811 ac · 8%
- State land 2,938 ac · 0%
- National Park Service 2,848 ac · 0%
- Bureau of Reclamation 567 ac · 0%
- Other public 461 ac · 0%
- Tribal 16 ac · 0%
Source: BLM Oregon/Washington Land Status Ownership (BLM_OR_Ownership MapServer)
How the hunting has gone
What Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes these per hunt rather than per unit; the rows below add its own figures together, since a hunter holds one tag for the species in a season. Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in.
| Season | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1,027 | 333 | 32% |
| 2024 | 1,141 | 311 | 27% |
| 2023 | 1,253 | 327 | 26% |
| 2022 | 1,052 | 322 | 31% |
| 2021 | 1,455 | 456 | 31% |
What people carried (2025 harvest)
- Rifle 235 · 76% · 594 hunters, 40% success
- Archery 76 · 24% · 401 hunters, 19% success
Boundary: ODFW Wildlife Management Unit boundaries (Compass ArcGIS service)
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Antlerless Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt