Oregon Deer 615

Willamette Unit in Unit 15 — Willamette, rifle only, Sep 1 – Feb 28, 2027. 4% public land, mostly Other public.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

12% Below the cut

about 1 in 8, from the random pass

You're 2 points below the 2026 cut of 2, which has held at 2 points since 2022.

Years to draw on points: 3 yrs

Tags
3,410
Nonresident Applicants
29
Success
42%

First-choice nonresidents; the tags are shared by every residency; nonresidents capped at 5%. Success: General any legal weapon western oregon w/ 119a hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw, 2022–2026

points needed applicants per tag
2 2 2 2 2 you: 0
2022
3:1
2023
3:1
2024
3:1
2025
3:1
2026
3:1

The cut has held at 2 points since 2022. Applicants per tag: 3:1 in 2022, 2.8:1 in 2026.

Point creep: drew out at 2 → 2 → 2 → 2 → 2 points (2022–2026), no creep — drew at 2 points each year. Years to draw project that pace (the median of the last five draws, capped at 2 points/yr); the agency sets quotas and demand sets the cut.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes May 15 · 209 days
Cost to Apply
$203
If You Miss
$203
If You Draw
$703

The $10 controlled hunt application (per hunt series; also the Point Saver price) is not refunded. The $193 nonresident annual hunting license (required to apply) is not refunded. Drawing adds the $500 nonresident controlled deer tag (100 or 600 series; paid only if drawn).

Opens
Dec 1, 2026
Closes
May 15, 2027
Results
about Jun 12

Next application window: Open Dec 1, 2026 – May 15, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Albany McMinnville Beaverton Springfield 15
30%hunter success 2025 · 5,700 hunters, 1,699 deer
Unit 15 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–1 ← you 12% — —
2 36% 11 3
3–20 100% — —

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 615 drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
General any legal weapon western oregon w/ 119a 72 30 42%
General western deer 4,817 1,547 32%
Early bow deer w/ 123r1 2 0 0%
Early bow deer w/ 123r2 n bank habitat bow 0 0 0%
Late bow deer w/ 123r1 0 0 0%
Late bow deer w/ 123r2 n bank habitat bow 0 0 0%
Early bow deer 309 35 11%
Late bow deer 500 87 18%
All of Unit 15 5,700 1,699 30%

Adding up Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published lines for Unit 15 gives 5,700 hunters and 1,699 deer taken in 2025, and 30% of them took a deer (sum of published weapon rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in. Source: ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by…; ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer….

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 5 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags (All Res.) Nonresident Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Random Pass Source
2026 3,410 29 2.8 2 852 tags ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report
2025 3,410 49 2.8 2 852 tags ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report
2024 3,410 45 2.8 2 852 tags ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report
2023 3,410 42 2.6 2 852 tags ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report
2022 3,308 44 3 2 827 tags ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report
▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Oregon deer
▸ Sources 14
  1. ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report draw results, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. ODFW 2026 OAR chapter 635 division 060 draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. ODFW 2024 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. ODFW 2024 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. ODFW 2022 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. ODFW 2026 Wildlife Management Unit boundaries boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. Bureau of Land Management, Oregon State Office 2026 BLM /Washington Land Status Ownership land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Oregon deer hunts