Oregon Deer — Unit 16
Santiam
Oregon Unit 16 covers 2,127,257 acres and lies 24 miles south-east of Molalla and 33 miles south-east of Canby. 64% of it is public land, mostly national forest (52%) and BLM (8%). In 2025, 10,316 people hunted deer here and took 3,097 — 30% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 55 tags here for 2 first-choice applicants, and the last tag went to someone with 8 points.
Your chance of drawing here
Every deer license type on offer in Unit 16, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.
Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.
Simple view Odds at every point level-
1% Point builder
-
2% Point builder
-
14% Point builder
-
5% Point builder
| Hunt | Your odds (0 pts) | Points needed | Tags / applicants | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616A1 ↗ NW Santiam | 1% Point builder | 10 +1 since 2022 | 50 / 5 | Oct 3 – Nov 6, 2026 |
| 616A2 ↗ SW Santiam | 2% Point builder | 8 +1 since 2022 | 55 / 2 | Oct 3 – Nov 6, 2026 |
| 616T1 ↗ SW Santiam Youth | 14% Point builder | 1 steady since 2022 | 53 / 1 | Nov 14–25, 2026 |
| 616T2 ↗ NW Santiam Youth | 5% Point builder | 4 +1 since 2022 | 33 / 4 | Nov 14–25, 2026 |
What these columns mean
- Your odds —
- the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
- The badge —
- plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
- Points needed —
- the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
- Tags / applicants —
- tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)
| License | Up front | Gone if you miss | If you draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Per application | $203 | $203 | $703 |
Application window: opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.
The country
Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.
Who owns the ground
- National Forest 1,114,620 ac · 52%
- Private 757,709 ac · 36%
- BLM 167,641 ac · 8%
- State land 61,210 ac · 3%
- Other public 14,521 ac · 1%
- County or city land 12,060 ac · 1%
- National Wildlife Refuge 124 ac · 0%
- Tribal 1 ac · 0%
Source: BLM Oregon/Washington Land Status Ownership (BLM_OR_Ownership MapServer)
How the hunting has gone
What Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes these per hunt rather than per unit; the rows below add its own figures together, since a hunter holds one tag for the species in a season. Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in.
| Season | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10,316 | 3,097 | 30% |
| 2024 | 10,580 | 2,520 | 24% |
| 2023 | 10,188 | 2,891 | 28% |
| 2022 | 8,902 | 1,756 | 20% |
| 2021 | 8,751 | 2,063 | 24% |
What people carried (2025 harvest)
- Rifle 2,707 · 91% · 8,520 hunters, 32% success
- Archery 254 · 9% · 1,579 hunters, 16% success
Boundary: ODFW Wildlife Management Unit boundaries (Compass ArcGIS service)
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Antlerless Buck Deer Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt