AmmoSight

Arizona Elk 3807

Youth-Only (General) · Antlerless elk in Unit 5A, rifle only, Oct 10–16, 2025. 69% public land, mostly National Forest.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

60% (small sample) Real chance

Years to draw on points: —

Tags
3
Nonresident Applicants
0
Success
22%

First-choice nonresidents; the tags are shared by every residency; nonresidents capped at 10%. Success: Archery-only bull, early hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw

No cut was published in enough years to chart one.

Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Feb 3 · 108 days
Cost to Apply
$175
If You Miss
$175
If You Draw
$825

The $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $650 nonresident elk hunt permit-tag (charged only if drawn; booklet price $665 includes the $15 application fee).

Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.

Opens
Jan 13, 2027
Closes
Feb 3, 2027
Results
about Feb 23

Next application window: Open Jan 13 – Feb 3, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Winslow Payson Sedona Flagstaff Camp Verde 5A
42%hunter success 2025 · 869 hunters, 369 elk
Unit 5A in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–10 ← you 60% (small sample) — —

Unweighted tags ÷ applicants — state did not publish pools. Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes no per-level counts for this hunt; each point adds entries (points + 1), so the pool average is a floor for anyone holding points and an overstatement for a first-year applicant. As a lower choice, 3807 drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 61, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Archery-only bull, early 135 30 22%
Archery-only bull, early (hopi) 4 0 0%
Archery-only bull, late 37 5 14%
Archery-only bull, late (hopi) — — —
Archery-only antlerless 44 19 43%
Archery-only antlerless (hopi) 2 0 0%
General bull 276 89 32%
General bull (hopi) 11 5 45%
General antlerless 174 105 60%
Youth-only (general) 116 89 77%
Youth-only (general) (hopi) 7 0 0%
Limited opportunity antlerless (east and west sunset hunt areas) · 24 licenses 21 16 76%
Limited opportunity antlerless (east and west sunset hunt areas) · 25 licenses 18 7 39%
Limited opportunity antlerless (hopi: east and west sunset hunt areas) · 3 licenses 3 0 0%
Limited opportunity antlerless (hopi: east and west sunset hunt areas) · 25 licenses 21 4 19%
All of Unit 5A 869 369 42%

Adding up Arizona Game & Fish Department's published lines for Unit 5A gives 869 hunters and 369 elk taken in 2025, and 42% of them took an elk (sum of published weapon rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2024 AZ Elk Harvest Summary.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 4 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags (All Res.) Nonresident Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2026 3 — 1.7 — AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 61
2025 7 — 0.3 — AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 61
2024 7 — 0.6 — AZGFD 2024 M Draw Report, p. 48
2023 7 — 1.7 — AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 38

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 5A

  • 3015 General Elk Nov 27 – Dec 3 · 33 tags · cut 8 3%
  • 3039 General Elk · Antlerless elk Oct 16–22 · 194 tags · cut 7 6%
  • 3066 Youth-Only (General) Elk (Arizona Hunter Education course required for youth ages 10–13)…Youth only Oct 9–15 · 121 tags · 25 applied 21%
  • 3102 Muzzleloader Elk Sep 25 – Oct 1 · 2 tags · cut 28 <1% (small sample)
  • 3131 Archery-Only Elk Sep 11–24 · 14 tags · cut 16 <1%
  • 3153 Archery-Only Elk Nov 13–26 · 4 tags · cut 6 12% (small sample)
  • 3175 Archery-Only Elk · Antlerless elk Sep 11–24 · 48 tags · 7 applied 22%
  • 3802 General Nov 28 – Dec 4 · 1 tag · 0 applied 42% (small sample)
  • 3809 Limited Opportunity (General) · Antlerless elk Oct 17–23 · 25 tags 100%
  • 3810 Limited Opportunity (General) · Antlerless elk Oct 24–30 · 25 tags —
  • 3814 Archery-Only Sep 12–25 · 0 tags · not open to nonresidents in 2026 —
  • 3817 Archery-Only Nov 14–27 · 1 tag · 0 applied 39% (small sample)
  • 3820 Archery-Only · Antlerless elk Sep 12–25 · 1 tag 100% (small sample)

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Arizona elk
▸ Sources 18
  1. AZGFD 2026 M Draw Report, p. 61 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2025 M Draw Report, p. 61 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2024 M Draw Report, p. 48 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2023 M Draw Report, p. 38 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Draw Odds, p. 6 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. AZGFD 2025 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. AZGFD 2024 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. AZGFD 2023 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. AZGFD 2022 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. AZGFD 2021 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. AZGFD 2020 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. AZGFD 2019 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. AZGFD 2018 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  16. AZGFD 2017 AZ Elk Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  17. AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  18. Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (unweighted tags ÷ applicants — state did not publish pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona elk hunts