Oregon Elk 245Y
Fossil Unit No. 2 in Unit 45 — Fossil, rifle only, Nov 7–15, 2026. 15% public land, mostly BLM.
Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw
275 tags (all residencies) for 14 nonresident first-choice applicants
133 first-choice applicants for 275 tags (all residencies) in 2026, but only 4 of the 14 nonresident first-choice applicants drew (nonresidents are capped at 5%).
Years to draw on points: now
- Tags
- 275
- Nonresident Applicants
- 14
- Success
- 41%
First-choice nonresidents; the tags are shared by every residency; nonresidents capped at 5%. Success: 245a1 n fossil private no. 1 hunters, 2025.
Points Needed to Draw, 2022–2026
The cut has been 0 points every year since 2022. Applicants per tag: 0.4:1 in 2022, 0.5:1 in 2026.
The cut has been 0 points in each of the last 5 draws (2022–2026), so there is no creep to project.
What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees
Closes May 15 · 209 daysThe $10 controlled hunt application (per hunt series; also the Point Saver price) is not refunded. The $193 nonresident annual hunting license (required to apply) is not refunded. Drawing adds the $660 nonresident controlled elk tag (paid only if drawn; sale by June 20 to day before season).
- Opens
- Dec 1, 2026
- Closes
- May 15, 2027
- Results
- about Jun 12
Next application window: Open Dec 1, 2026 – May 15, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes 2027.
▸ Every Fee, With Sources
- Controlled hunt application (per hunt series; also the Point Saver price) · paid at application $10 ODFW 2026 OAR chapter 635 division 060
- Nonresident annual hunting license (required to apply) · paid at application $193 ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule
- Nonresident controlled elk tag (paid only if drawn; sale by June 20 to day before season) · paid if drawn $660 ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule
Details
Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw
| Points | Chance | Applied | Drew |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 ← you | 100% same at every level | — | — |
Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 245Y drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.
Draw results: ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.
How It Hunted, 2025
| Who | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 245a1 n fossil private no. 1 | 44 | 18 | 41% |
| 245a2 n fossil private no. 2 | 96 | 30 | 31% |
| 245b1 s fossil private no. 1 | 36 | 13 | 37% |
| 245b2 s fossil private no. 2 | 80 | 27 | 33% |
| 245c fossil unit | 33 | 2 | 7% |
| 245d fossil unit private | 348 | 134 | 39% |
| 245t fossil unit youth | 28 | 6 | 21% |
| 245x fossil unit no. 1 | 130 | 22 | 17% |
| 245y fossil unit no. 2 | 172 | 18 | 11% |
| Eastern general bow elk w/ 217r | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Eastern general bow elk w/ 218r | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Eastern elk archery | 257 | 80 | 31% |
| All of Unit 45 | 1,227 | 351 | 29% |
Adding up Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published lines for Unit 45 gives 1,227 hunters and 351 elk taken in 2025, and 29% of them took an elk (sum of published weapon rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in. Source: ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest…; ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone.
▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 5 draws
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.
| Year | Tags (All Res.) | Nonresident Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Random Pass | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 275 | 14 | 0.5 | 0 | 241 tags | ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report |
| 2025 | 275 | 21 | 0.6 | 0 | 233 tags | ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report |
| 2024 | 330 | 15 | 0.5 | 0 | 286 tags | ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report |
| 2023 | 330 | 11 | 0.5 | 0 | 293 tags | ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report |
| 2022 | 330 | 10 | 0.4 | 0 | 277 tags | ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report |
Other Licenses Valid in Unit 45
- 245A1 N Fossil Private No. 1Private land only — you need landowner access Oct 28 – Nov 1 · 154 tags · cut 0 100%
- 245A2 N Fossil Private No. 2Private land only — you need landowner access Nov 7–15 · 204 tags · cut 0 100%
- 245B1 S Fossil Private No. 1Private land only — you need landowner access Oct 28 – Nov 1 · 121 tags · cut 0 100%
- 245B2 S Fossil Private No. 2Private land only — you need landowner access Nov 7–15 · 253 tags · cut 0 100%
- 245C Fossil Unit Nov 21–29 · 55 tags · cut 0 100%
- 245D Fossil PrivatePrivate land only — you need landowner access Aug 1 – Mar 31 · 688 tags · cut 0 100%
- 245T Fossil Unit YouthYouth only Aug 15 – Dec 31 · 50 tags · cut 0 100%
- 245X Fossil Unit No. 1 Oct 28 – Nov 1 · 275 tags · cut 0 100%
Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.
▸ Legal Cartridges 21 on file for Oregon elk
21 cartridges on file are legal for elk with a rifle in Oregon. Rules and sources: Oregon hunting laws.
▸ Sources 19
- ODFW 2026 Preference Point Draw Report draw results, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2026 OAR chapter 635 division 060 draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2024 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2024 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2023 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2023 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2022 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2022 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2021 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2021 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2026 Wildlife Management Unit boundaries boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- Bureau of Land Management, Oregon State Office 2026 BLM /Washington Land Status Ownership land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
About These Numbers
Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.
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We don't take applications: check Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's site and apply there.
Prior-draw odds from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Oregon elk hunts