Oregon Elk — Unit 38
Grizzly
Oregon Unit 38 covers 1,079,441 acres and lies 21 miles north of Prineville and 30 miles north-east of Redmond. 28% of it is public land, mostly national forest (19%) and BLM (8%). In 2025, 1,316 people hunted elk here and took 211 — 16% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 662 tags here for 17 first-choice applicants, and the last tag went to someone with 1 points.
Your chance of drawing here
Every elk license type on offer in Unit 38, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.
Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.
Simple view Odds at every point level-
100% Likely draw
-
100% Likely draw
-
100% Likely draw
-
100% No first-choice applicants
-
6% Point builder
-
10% Point builder
| Hunt | Your odds (0 pts) | Points needed | Tags / applicants | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238A ↗ Grizzly Grassland | 100% Likely draw | 1 steady since 2022 | 662 / 17 | Aug 15 – Dec 31, 2026 |
| 238B1 ↗ Grizzly Private No. 1 | 100% Likely draw | 1 steady since 2022 | 168 / 4 | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2026 |
| 238B2 ↗ Grizzly Private No. 2 | 100% Likely draw | 1 steady since 2022 | 207 / 9 | Nov 7–15, 2026 |
| 238T ↗ Grizzly Unit Youth | 100% No first-choice applicants | 3 +1 since 2022 | 10 / 0 | Aug 15 – Dec 31, 2026 |
| 238X ↗ Grizzly Unit No. 1 | 6% Point builder | 3 steady since 2022 | 67 / 6 | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2026 |
| 238Y ↗ Grizzly Unit No. 2 | 10% Point builder | 3 steady since 2022 | 67 / 10 | Nov 7–15, 2026 |
What these columns mean
- Your odds —
- the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
- The badge —
- plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
- Points needed —
- the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
- Tags / applicants —
- tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)
| License | Up front | Gone if you miss | If you draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Per application | $203 | $203 | $863 |
Application window: opens Dec 1, closes May 15, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.
The country
Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.
Who owns the ground
- Private 781,683 ac · 72%
- National Forest 206,585 ac · 19%
- BLM 84,811 ac · 8%
- State land 2,938 ac · 0%
- National Park Service 2,848 ac · 0%
- Bureau of Reclamation 567 ac · 0%
- Other public 461 ac · 0%
- Tribal 16 ac · 0%
Source: BLM Oregon/Washington Land Status Ownership (BLM_OR_Ownership MapServer)
How the hunting has gone
What Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes these per hunt rather than per unit; the rows below add its own figures together, since a hunter holds one tag for the species in a season. Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in.
| Season | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1,316 | 211 | 16% |
| 2024 | 1,364 | 220 | 16% |
| 2023 | 1,376 | 193 | 14% |
| 2022 | 1,451 | 235 | 16% |
| 2021 | 1,413 | 206 | 15% |
What people carried (2025 harvest)
- Rifle 146 · 69% · 618 hunters, 24% success
- Archery 65 · 31% · 698 hunters, 9% success
Boundary: ODFW Wildlife Management Unit boundaries (Compass ArcGIS service)
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Elk Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt
Harvest: ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt
Harvest: ODFW 2024 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Elk Harvest by Zone, Wildlife Management Unit and Hunt