AmmoSight

Montana Elk 411-15

Elk Permit 411-15 in Hunting District 411, rifle only. 21% public land, mostly National Forest.

No longer drawn. The last draw was 2012.

Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks held its 2026 elk draw without 411-15. The odds, costs and history below are that record, not an offer.

Your odds at 0 points · 2012 draw

44% Real chance

90 tags for 176 first-choice applicants

739 first-choice applicants for 900 tags (all residencies) in 2012, but only 85 of the 176 first-choice applicants drew (nonresidents are capped at 10%).

Years to draw on points: —

NR Tags
90
Applicants
176
Success
—

First-choice nonresidents, standard draw; nonresidents capped at 10%.

Points Needed to Draw

Undersubscribed every year on file: 79–198 first-choice applicants for 75–1050 tags, 2008–2012.

Bonus points (squared) — no cut to track: each point adds entries to the draw rather than a place in line.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Cost to Apply
$1,208.50
If You Miss
$96.50
If You Draw
$1,208.50

The $5 application fee per species (deer, elk, antelope and mountain lion drawings) is not refunded. The $50 base hunting license (annual, assessed with first hunting license or application) is not refunded. The $10 conservation license (prerequisite for all licenses) is not refunded. The $7.50 Aquatic Invasive Species Prevention Pass (16 and older) is not refunded. The $1,112 general Elk Combination license (elk tag + fishing + upland bird); alternative to the Big Game Combination is refunded if you miss. A bonus point bought with an application (per species; required for accumulated points to count) is $20. The $4 special elk permit (statutory fee, MCA 87-2-704(4); used with a valid elk license) is not refunded.

Optional, not counted above: Bonus point only (no application) (July 1 - Sept 30, per species) $25.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Lewistown Roundup Harlowton 411
Hunting District 411 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2012 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0 ← you 44% 85 36
1 69% 38 28
2 95% 5 3
3–10 100% — —

Expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks did not publish a count for that level: it prints exact counts around the cut and folds the rest into a band. As a lower choice, 411-15 drew no one in 2012, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: Montana FWP 2012 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1, retrieved Sep 1, 2026.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 5 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2012 90 176 2 — Montana FWP 2012 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1
2011 80 198 2.5 — Montana FWP 2011 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1
2010 75 125 1.7 — Montana FWP 2010 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1
2009 1,050 112 0.1 — Montana FWP 2009 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 3
2008 — 79 — — Montana FWP 2008 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 3

Other Licenses Valid in Hunting District 411

  • 411-00 Elk B License 411-00 — Antlerless Elk Sep 5 – Feb 15 · 120 tags · 118 applied 96%
  • 411-20 Elk Permit 411-20 — Either-sex Elk Sep 5 – Dec 20 · 35 tags · 220 applied <1%
  • 411-21 Elk Permit 411-21 — Either-sex Elk Sep 5 – Oct 18 · 100 tags · 182 applied 25%
  • 411-80 Elk B License 411-80 40 tags · 17 applied 100%

Odds at your points, nonresident, standard class where offered. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Montana elk
▸ Sources 13
  1. Montana FWP 2012 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1 · draw results, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  2. Montana FWP 2011 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  3. Montana FWP 2010 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  4. Montana FWP 2009 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 3 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  5. Montana FWP 2008 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 3 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. Montana Legislature 2026 MCA 87-2-117 License bonus point system draw rules, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. Montana Legislature 2026 MCA 87-2-113 Application fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. Montana Legislature 2026 MCA 87-2-116 Base hunting license… fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  9. Montana FWP 2026 Hunting Requirements fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  10. Montana FWP 2026 Nonresident License Fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  11. Montana Legislature 2026 MCA 87-2-704 Regulation of special elk… fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  12. Montana FWP 2026 Deer and Elk Hunting Districts boundary, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  13. Montana FWP 2026-2027 Deer Elk Lion Hunting District… land ownership, retrieved Aug 31, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2012 draw, the latest on file, computed from Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks' published results (expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

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Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks' results, not a forecast · All Montana elk hunts