AmmoSight

Montana Elk 411-21

Elk Permit 411-21 — Either-sex Elk in Hunting District 411, archery only, Sep 5 – Oct 18, 2026. 21% public land, mostly National Forest.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

25% Long shot

100 tags for 182 first-choice applicants

908 first-choice applicants for 1,000 tags (all residencies) in 2026, yet Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks' point-level table shows fewer tags issued at the bottom level than applicants there.

Years to draw on points: —

NR Tags
100
Applicants
182
Success
—

First-choice nonresidents, standard draw; nonresidents capped at 10%.

Points Needed to Draw

Undersubscribed every year on file: 162–193 first-choice applicants for 100 tags, 2024–2026.

Bonus points (squared) — no cut to track: each point adds entries to the draw rather than a place in line.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Apr 1 · 164 days
Cost to Apply
$1,208.50
If You Miss
$96.50
If You Draw
$1,218.50

The $5 application fee per species (deer, elk, antelope and mountain lion drawings) is not refunded. Drawing adds the $10 Bow and arrow license (Class A-2; required for archery-only seasons/districts). The $50 base hunting license (annual, assessed with first hunting license or application) is not refunded. The $10 conservation license (prerequisite for all licenses) is not refunded. The $7.50 Aquatic Invasive Species Prevention Pass (16 and older) is not refunded. The $1,112 general Elk Combination license (elk tag + fishing + upland bird); alternative to the Big Game Combination is refunded if you miss. A bonus point bought with an application (per species; required for accumulated points to count) is $20. The $4 special elk permit (statutory fee, MCA 87-2-704(4); used with a valid elk license) is not refunded.

Optional, not counted above: Bonus point only (no application) (July 1 - Sept 30, per species) $25.

Opens
Mar 1, 2027
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Results
about Apr 15

Next application window: Open Mar 1 – Apr 1, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Lewistown Roundup Harlowton 411
Hunting District 411 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0 ← you 25% 40 40
1 44% 76 76
2 76% 36 36
3 94% 12 12
4 >99% 10 10
5 >99% 2 2
6–10 >99% — —

Expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks did not publish a count for that level. As a lower choice, 411-21 drew no one in 2026, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: Montana FWP 2026 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 3 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2026 100 182 1.8 — Montana FWP 2026 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1
2025 100 162 1.6 — Montana FWP 2025 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1
2024 100 193 1.9 — Montana FWP 2024 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1

Earlier Years, When This Number Was a Different Hunt

Montana reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 411-21 stood for another hunting district or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.

Year · What It Was Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2023 · Hunting District 411, rifle 100 117 1.2 — Montana FWP 2023 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1
2022 · Hunting District 411, rifle 100 118 1.2 — Montana FWP 2022 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report

Other Licenses Valid in Hunting District 411

  • 411-00 Elk B License 411-00 — Antlerless Elk Sep 5 – Feb 15 · 120 tags · 118 applied 96%
  • 411-15 Elk Permit 411-15 90 tags · 176 applied 44%
  • 411-20 Elk Permit 411-20 — Either-sex Elk Sep 5 – Dec 20 · 35 tags · 220 applied <1%
  • 411-80 Elk B License 411-80 40 tags · 17 applied 100%

Odds at your points, nonresident, standard class where offered. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Sources 13
  1. Montana FWP 2026 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. Montana FWP 2025 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. Montana FWP 2024 Elk Permit Drawing Statistics Report, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. Montana Legislature 2026 MCA 87-2-117 License bonus point system draw rules, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. Montana Legislature 2026 MCA 87-2-113 Application fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. Montana Legislature 2026 MCA 87-2-708 Class A-2 fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. Montana Legislature 2026 MCA 87-2-116 Base hunting license… fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. Montana FWP 2026 Hunting Requirements fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  9. Montana FWP 2026 Nonresident License Fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  10. Montana Legislature 2026 MCA 87-2-704 Regulation of special elk… fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  11. Montana FWP 2026 Deer, Elk, Antelope Hunting Regulations, p. 89 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  12. Montana FWP 2026 Deer and Elk Hunting Districts boundary, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  13. Montana FWP 2026-2027 Deer Elk Lion Hunting District… land ownership, retrieved Aug 31, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks' published results (expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks' results, not a forecast · All Montana elk hunts