California Elk 466

Grizzly Island Apprentice - Period 1 - General Methods - Antlerless in Grizzly Island — Tule Elk Hunt, any legal weapon, Aug 12–15, 2025. 99% public land, mostly State land.

Your odds at 0 points · 2025 draw

<1% (small sample) Point builder

about 1 in 129

Years to draw on points: —

Tags
2
Applicants
129
Success
100%

First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 1 tag statewide. Success: Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 1 of 4) hunters, 2022.

Points Needed to Draw

No cut was published in enough years to chart one.

Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.

What It Costs · 2025 NR Fees

Closes Jun 2 · 227 days
Cost to Apply
$227.94
If You Miss
$227.94
If You Draw
$2,053.79

The $8.13 Elk Tag Drawing Application is not refunded. The $219.81 nonresident hunting license is not refunded. Drawing adds the $1,825.85 nonresident elk tag (paid only if drawn).

Opens
Apr 15, 2027
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Results
about Jun 15

Next application window: Open Apr 15 – Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until California Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Fairfield Antioch Grizzly Island
100%hunter success 2022 · 32 hunters, 32 elk
Grizzly Island in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2025 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–2 ← you <1% (small sample) 114 —
3 7% (small sample) 15 —
4–10 100% (small sample) — —

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means California Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 466 drew no one in 2025, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: CDFW 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1, retrieved Sep 1, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2022

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 1 of 4) 2 2 100%
Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 2 of 4) 2 2 100%
Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 3 of 4) 2 2 100%
Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 4 of 4) 2 2 100%
Tule · 6 licenses 6 6 100%
Tule · 4 licenses (hunt 1 of 3) 4 4 100%
Tule · 3 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) 3 3 100%
Tule · 4 licenses (hunt 2 of 3) 4 4 100%
Tule · 3 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) 3 3 100%
Tule · 4 licenses (hunt 3 of 3) 4 4 100%
All of Grizzly Island · tule 32 32 100%

Adding up California Department of Fish and Wildlife's published lines for Grizzly Island gives 32 hunters and 32 tule taken in 2022, and 100% of them took an elk (sum of published hunt rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: CDFW 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics; CDFW 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 3 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Random Pass Source
2025 2 129 64.5 — 1 tag of 129 CDFW 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2024 2 163 81.5 — 1 tag of 163 CDFW 2024 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2023 2 142 71 — 1 tag of 142 CDFW 2023 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1

Earlier Years, When This Number Was a Different Hunt

California reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 466 stood for another zone or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.

Year · What It Was Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2022 · Zone Grizzly Island, rifle 2 171 85.5 — CDFW 2022 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2021 · Zone Grizzly Island, rifle 2 196 98 — CDFW 2021 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2020 · Zone Grizzly Island, rifle 2 197 98.5 — CDFW 2020 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2019 · Zone Grizzly Island, rifle 3 145 48.3 — CDFW 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn Sheep, p. 1
2018 · Zone Grizzly Island, rifle 3 305 101.7 — CDFW 2018 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1
2017 · Zone Grizzly Island, rifle 3 133 44.3 — CDFW 2017 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1

Other Licenses Valid in Grizzly Island

  • 350 Grizzly Island Period 4 - General Methods - Spike Bull Aug 22–25 · 2 tags · 141 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 353 Grizzly Island Apprentice - Period 3 - AntlerlessYouth only Aug 20–23 · 3 tags · 291 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 354 Grizzly Island Apprentice - Period 4 - Spike BullYouth only Oct 5–20 · 2 tags · 160 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 356 Grizzly Island Period 7 - General Methods - Antlerless Sep 3–6 · 8 tags · 217 applied <1%
  • 357 Grizzly Island Period 8 - General Methods - Spike Bull Sep 4–7 · 6 tags · 255 applied <1%
  • 358 Grizzly Island Period 9 - General Methods - Antlerless Sep 9–12 · 4 tags · 307 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 359 Grizzly Island Period 10 - General Methods - Bull Sep 11–14 · 4 tags · 2,402 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 360 Grizzly Island Period 11 - General Methods - Antlerless Sep 16–19 · 4 tags · 237 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 362 Grizzly Island Period 12 - General Methods - Bull Sep 18–21 · 4 tags · 711 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 363 Grizzly Island Period 13 - General Methods - Antlerless Sep 23–26 · 4 tags · 185 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 381 Grizzly Island Period 13 - General Methods - Bull Sep 23–26 · 3 tags · 703 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 433 Grizzly Island Period 1 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 12–15 · 2 tags · 300 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 436 Grizzly Island Period 2 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 15–18 · 2 tags · 122 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 437 Grizzly Island Period 2 - General Methods - Spike Bull Aug 14–17 · 2 tags · 176 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 439 Grizzly Island Period 3 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 20–23 · 6 tags · 246 applied <1%
  • 442 Grizzly Island Period 4 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 22–25 · 4 tags · 130 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 443 Grizzly Island Period 5 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 27–30 · 8 tags · 154 applied 1%
  • 469 Grizzly Island Apprentice - Period 2 - General Methods - Spike BullYouth only Aug 14–17 · 2 tags · 144 applied <1% (small sample)

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for California elk
▸ Sources 9
  1. CDFW 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · draw results, seasons, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  2. CDFW 2024 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  3. CDFW 2023 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  4. CDFW 2026 Big Game Hunting Digest draw rules, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  5. CDFW 2025 Big Game Hunting Digest fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. CDFW 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. CDFW 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. CDFW 2023 Elk Hunt Zones boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. GreenInfo Network 2026 Protected Areas Database a land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2025 draw, the latest on file, computed from California Department of Fish and Wildlife's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check California Department of Fish and Wildlife's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from California Department of Fish and Wildlife's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All California elk hunts