California Elk 442 — Zone Grizzly Island

GRIZZLY ISLAND PERIOD 4 - GENERAL METHODS - ANTLERLESS · Grizzly Island Tule Elk Hunt

What you may take
GRIZZLY ISLAND PERIOD 4 - GENERAL METHODS - ANTLERLESS
Weapon
Rifle
Where
Grizzly Island — Tule Elk Hunt
99% public of 8,983 acres
Season (2019)
Aug 22–25, 2019
Tags (2019)
4
for 130 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 1
All elk success here (2021)
100%
of everyone who hunted the area

Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident

Odds by point level — 2019 draw

Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 3 tags, 130 first-choice applicants. Source: 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn... · p. 1.

Points Your chance Applicants Drawn
0 <1% 27
1 <1% 11
2 <1% 13
3 <1% 10
4 <1% 10
5 <1% 2
6 <1% 9
7 <1% 8
8 <1% 2
9 <1% 6
10 <1% 5
11 <1% 2
12 <1% 0
13 <1% 4
14 <1% 4
15 <1% 4
16 60% 5
17 100% 0

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means California Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.

What it costs (2025 nonresident fees)

Cash to apply
$227.94
Out of pocket if unsuccessful
$227.94
Total if drawn
$2,053.79
Refunded if unsuccessful
$0

At the 2019 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $2,053.79 (enough points to draw) to $31,459.24 (lowest published odds).

Elk Tag Drawing Application · paid at application $8.13 source
Nonresident hunting license · paid at application $219.81 source
Nonresident elk tag (paid only if drawn) · paid if drawn, refundable $1,825.85 source

Next application window: opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~June 15. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.

Point creep & years to draw

Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.

Seasons (2019)

Split 1: Aug 22–25, 2019 p. 50

How this tag has hunted

Across every license type in Grizzly Island, California Department of Fish and Wildlife counted 32 hunters and 32 all elk taken in 2021 — 100% of them killed something. Full Grizzly Island profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →

Hunters holding this license type (2022) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:

What they hunted Hunters Harvest Success Days per animal
Tule 2 2 100%
Tule 2 2 100%
Tule 2 2 100%
Tule 2 2 100%
Tule 6 6 100%
Tule 4 4 100%
Tule 3 3 100%
Tule 4 4 100%
Tule 3 3 100%
Tule 4 4 100%

Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates

Year by year

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags Applicants Applicants per tag Points needed Random pass Source
2019 4 130 32.5 1 tagfrom 130 applications 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn... · p. 1
2018 4 105 26.3 1 tagfrom 105 applications 2018 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope... · p. 1
2017 4 188 47.0 1 tagfrom 188 applications 2017 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope... · p. 1

Other licenses valid in Grizzly Island

Legal cartridges for elk in California

From the California hunting laws rules on file for a rifle. "Depends" means the rule turns on your specific load — check the state page.

.22-250 Remington
.223 Remington from $0.42/rd
.243 Winchester from $1.11/rd
.25-06 Remington
6.5 Creedmoor
6.5 Grendel
.270 Winchester from $0.16/rd
7mm-08 Remington
7mm Remington Magnum
.30-06 Springfield
.300 AAC Blackout from $0.56/rd
.300 Winchester Magnum from $1.25/rd
.30-30 Winchester
.308 Winchester
.338 Winchester Magnum
.350 Legend from $1.07/rd
.35 Whelen
.360 Buckhammer
.400 Legend
.444 Marlin
.450 Bushmaster from $2.00/rd
.45-70 Government from $1.97/rd
.50 Beowulf
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

How to read these numbers

Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.

Not an application service

This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.