California Elk 362

Grizzly Island Period 12 - General Methods - Bull in Grizzly Island — Tule Elk Hunt, any legal weapon, Sep 18–21, 2025. 99% public land, mostly State land.

Your odds at 0 points · 2025 draw

<1% (small sample) Point builder

about 1 in 711

Years to draw on points: —

Tags
4
Applicants
711
Success
100%

First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 1 tag statewide. Success: Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 1 of 4) hunters, 2022.

Points Needed to Draw

No cut was published in enough years to chart one.

Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.

What It Costs · 2025 NR Fees

Closes Jun 2 · 227 days
Cost to Apply
$227.94
If You Miss
$227.94
If You Draw
$2,053.79

The $8.13 Elk Tag Drawing Application is not refunded. The $219.81 nonresident hunting license is not refunded. Drawing adds the $1,825.85 nonresident elk tag (paid only if drawn).

Opens
Apr 15, 2027
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Results
about Jun 15

Next application window: Open Apr 15 – Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until California Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Fairfield Antioch Grizzly Island
100%hunter success 2022 · 32 hunters, 32 elk
Grizzly Island in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2025 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0–22 ← you <1% (small sample) 648 —
23 6% (small sample) 55 —

Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means California Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 362 drew no one in 2025, so lower-choice odds are left out.

Draw results: CDFW 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1, retrieved Sep 1, 2026.

How It Hunted, 2022

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 1 of 4) 2 2 100%
Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 2 of 4) 2 2 100%
Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 3 of 4) 2 2 100%
Tule · 2 licenses (hunt 4 of 4) 2 2 100%
Tule · 6 licenses 6 6 100%
Tule · 4 licenses (hunt 1 of 3) 4 4 100%
Tule · 3 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) 3 3 100%
Tule · 4 licenses (hunt 2 of 3) 4 4 100%
Tule · 3 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) 3 3 100%
Tule · 4 licenses (hunt 3 of 3) 4 4 100%
All of Grizzly Island · tule 32 32 100%

Adding up California Department of Fish and Wildlife's published lines for Grizzly Island gives 32 hunters and 32 tule taken in 2022, and 100% of them took an elk (sum of published hunt rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: CDFW 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics; CDFW 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates.

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 9 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Random Pass Source
2025 4 711 177.8 — 1 tag of 711 CDFW 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2024 4 950 237.5 — 1 tag of 950 CDFW 2024 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2023 3 1,280 426.7 — 1 tag of 1,280 CDFW 2023 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2022 3 1,294 431.3 — 1 tag of 1,294 CDFW 2022 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2021 3 1,147 382.3 — 1 tag of 1,147 CDFW 2021 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1
2020 3 1,387 462.3 — 1 tag of 1,387 CDFW 2020 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 3
2019 3 1,337 445.7 — 1 tag of 1,337 CDFW 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn Sheep, p. 1
2018 3 1,034 344.7 — 1 tag of 1,034 CDFW 2018 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1
2017 3 1,380 460 — 1 tag of 1,380 CDFW 2017 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1

Other Licenses Valid in Grizzly Island

  • 350 Grizzly Island Period 4 - General Methods - Spike Bull Aug 22–25 · 2 tags · 141 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 353 Grizzly Island Apprentice - Period 3 - AntlerlessYouth only Aug 20–23 · 3 tags · 291 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 354 Grizzly Island Apprentice - Period 4 - Spike BullYouth only Oct 5–20 · 2 tags · 160 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 356 Grizzly Island Period 7 - General Methods - Antlerless Sep 3–6 · 8 tags · 217 applied <1%
  • 357 Grizzly Island Period 8 - General Methods - Spike Bull Sep 4–7 · 6 tags · 255 applied <1%
  • 358 Grizzly Island Period 9 - General Methods - Antlerless Sep 9–12 · 4 tags · 307 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 359 Grizzly Island Period 10 - General Methods - Bull Sep 11–14 · 4 tags · 2,402 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 360 Grizzly Island Period 11 - General Methods - Antlerless Sep 16–19 · 4 tags · 237 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 363 Grizzly Island Period 13 - General Methods - Antlerless Sep 23–26 · 4 tags · 185 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 381 Grizzly Island Period 13 - General Methods - Bull Sep 23–26 · 3 tags · 703 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 433 Grizzly Island Period 1 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 12–15 · 2 tags · 300 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 436 Grizzly Island Period 2 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 15–18 · 2 tags · 122 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 437 Grizzly Island Period 2 - General Methods - Spike Bull Aug 14–17 · 2 tags · 176 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 439 Grizzly Island Period 3 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 20–23 · 6 tags · 246 applied <1%
  • 442 Grizzly Island Period 4 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 22–25 · 4 tags · 130 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 443 Grizzly Island Period 5 - General Methods - Antlerless Aug 27–30 · 8 tags · 154 applied 1%
  • 466 Grizzly Island Apprentice - Period 1 - General Methods - AntlerlessYouth only Aug 12–15 · 2 tags · 129 applied <1% (small sample)
  • 469 Grizzly Island Apprentice - Period 2 - General Methods - Spike BullYouth only Aug 14–17 · 2 tags · 144 applied <1% (small sample)

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for California elk
▸ Sources 15
  1. CDFW 2025 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · draw results, seasons, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  2. CDFW 2024 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  3. CDFW 2023 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  4. CDFW 2022 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  5. CDFW 2021 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. CDFW 2020 Elk Tag Drawing Statistics, p. 3 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. CDFW 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn Sheep, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. CDFW 2018 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. CDFW 2017 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope and Bighorn…, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. CDFW 2026 Big Game Hunting Digest draw rules, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. CDFW 2025 Big Game Hunting Digest fees, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. CDFW 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. CDFW 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. CDFW 2023 Elk Hunt Zones boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. GreenInfo Network 2026 Protected Areas Database a land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2025 draw, the latest on file, computed from California Department of Fish and Wildlife's published results (points pass + random pass, from published pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

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Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check California Department of Fish and Wildlife's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from California Department of Fish and Wildlife's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All California elk hunts