California Elk 439 — Zone Grizzly Island
GRIZZLY ISLAND PERIOD 3 - GENERAL METHODS - ANTLERLESS · Grizzly Island Tule Elk Hunt
- What you may take
- GRIZZLY ISLAND PERIOD 3 - GENERAL METHODS - ANTLERLESS
- Weapon
- Rifle
- Season (2019)
- Aug 20–23, 2019
- Tags (2019)
- 6
- for 246 first-choice applicants · nonresidents capped at 1
- All elk success here (2021)
- 100%
- of everyone who hunted the area
Showing nonresident results. Switch to resident
Odds by point level — 2019 draw
Prior-draw probability for a first-choice nonresident applicant. 5 tags, 246 first-choice applicants. Source: 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn... · p. 1.
| Points | Your chance | Applicants | Drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | <1% | 40 | — |
| 1 | <1% | 29 | — |
| 2 | <1% | 12 | — |
| 3 | <1% | 15 | — |
| 4 | <1% | 21 | — |
| 5 | <1% | 15 | — |
| 6 | <1% | 9 | — |
| 7 | <1% | 12 | — |
| 8 | <1% | 9 | — |
| 9 | <1% | 17 | — |
| 10 | <1% | 9 | — |
| 11 | <1% | 6 | — |
| 12 | <1% | 8 | — |
| 13 | <1% | 8 | — |
| 14 | <1% | 14 | — |
| 15 | <1% | 9 | — |
| 16 | 40% | 10 | — |
| 17 | 100% | 1 | — |
Points pass + random pass, from published pools. A dash means California Department of Fish and Wildlife did not publish a count for that level. How we compute these.
What it costs (2025 nonresident fees)
At the 2019 odds, expected cost per hunt-year ranges from $2,053.79 (enough points to draw) to $57,899.65 (lowest published odds).
Next application window: opens Apr 15, closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected) · results ~June 15. Last cycle's schedule rolled forward — confirm when the agency publishes.
Point creep & years to draw
Insufficient history (0 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years with a published drew-out level.
Seasons (2019)
How this tag has hunted
Across every license type in Grizzly Island, California Department of Fish and Wildlife counted 32 hunters and 32 all elk taken in 2021 — 100% of them killed something. Full Grizzly Island profile: maps, public land, five years of harvest →
Hunters holding this license type (2022) — the rest of the area's hunters held something else:
| What they hunted | Hunters | Harvest | Success | Days per animal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tule | 2 | 2 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 2 | 2 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 2 | 2 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 2 | 2 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 6 | 6 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 4 | 4 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 3 | 3 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 4 | 4 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 3 | 3 | 100% | — |
| Tule | 4 | 4 | 100% | — |
Post-season survey, not draw statistics. Source: 2022 Elk Harvest Statistics 2021 Elk Harvest Success Rates
Year by year
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. California runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Applicants per tag | Points needed | Random pass | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 6 | 246 | 41.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 246 applications | 2019 Big Game Drawing Bighorn... · p. 1 |
| 2018 | 6 | 136 | 22.7 | — | 1 tagfrom 136 applications | 2018 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope... · p. 1 |
| 2017 | 6 | 264 | 44.0 | — | 1 tagfrom 264 applications | 2017 Elk, Pronghorn Antelope... · p. 1 |
Other licenses valid in Grizzly Island
Legal cartridges for elk in California
From the California hunting laws rules on file for a rifle. "Depends" means the rule turns on your specific load — check the state page.
Spot a data error on this page? Tell us.
How to read these numbers
Every percentage on this page is a prior-draw probability: the chance an applicant with that many points would have drawn in the draw year shown, computed from the agency's published results. It is not a forecast — quotas, applicant numbers, and point creep change every year. Every figure links to the agency document it came from. Where a state does not publish a number, we show a dash, never a zero. Hunts with fewer than five tags show counts instead of percentages. Fees show the fee year used. Read the methodology for the engine details.
Not an application service
This page is informational only. Draw rules, quotas, fees, and deadlines are set by the state agency and change by commission action — confirm everything on the agency's own site before you apply, and apply through the agency, not here. We disclaim all liability for reliance on this page.