AmmoSight

Arizona Deer 1105

Antlered white-tailed deer in Unit 30A, rifle only, Nov 6–12, 2026. 48% public land, mostly State trust land.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

40% Long shot

15 tags for 18 first-choice applicants

66 first-choice applicants for 150 tags (all residencies) in 2026, but only 14 of the 18 first-choice applicants drew (nonresidents are capped at 10%).

Years to draw on points: 3 yrs

NR Tags
15
Applicants
18
Success
30%

First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 10%. Success: General · 173 licenses hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw, 2023–2026

points needed applicants per tag
0 0 0 0 you: 0
2023
2:1
2024
0.3:1
2025
2:1
2026
1:1

The cut has been 0 points every year since 2023. Applicants per tag: 1.5:1 in 2023, 1.2:1 in 2026.

The cut has been 0 points in each of the last 4 draws (2023–2026), so there is no creep to project.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Jun 2 · 227 days
Cost to Apply
$175
If You Miss
$175
If You Draw
$475

The $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $300 nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee).

Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.

Opens
—
Closes
Jun 2, 2027

Next application window: Closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Douglas Benson Sierra Vista Thatcher Tucson 30A
Unit 30A in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0 ← you 40% 1 0
1 64% 7 3
2 86% 6 7
3–10 100% — —

Expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.

Draw results: AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 24, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

As a Lower Choice

2nd Choice
4%

Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
General · 173 licenses 142 42 30%
Mule deer · firearm (hunt 1 of 2) — 42 —
General · 150 licenses 131 40 31%
Mule deer · firearm (hunt 2 of 2) — 40 —
General · 175 licenses (hunt 2 of 2) 140 50 36%
White-tailed deer (hunt 1 of 5) — 48 —
General · 175 licenses (hunt 1 of 2) 146 61 42%
White-tailed deer (hunt 2 of 5) — 61 —
General · 149 licenses 114 46 40%
White-tailed deer (hunt 3 of 5) — 44 —
General · 39 licenses 25 12 48%
White-tailed deer (hunt 4 of 5) — 10 —
Youth-only (general) 14 6 43%
White-tailed deer (hunt 5 of 5) — 6 —
Otc archery 232 26 14%
Mule deer · archery — 26 —
All of Unit 30A · white-tailed deer — 169 —

Adding up Arizona Game & Fish Department's published lines for Unit 30A gives 169 white-tailed deer taken in 2025 (sum of published weapon rows; hunter counts not published). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2025 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer….

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 4 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Published Odds Source
2026 15 18 1.2 0 78% AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 24
2025 15 26 1.7 0 37% AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 24
2024 20 5 0.3 0 40% AZGFD 2024 F Draw Report, p. 13
2023 20 30 1.5 0 35% AZGFD 2023 F Draw Report, p. 17

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 30A

  • 1046 General Deer Oct 30 – Nov 5 · 12 tags · cut 13 18%
  • 1047 General Deer Nov 13–19 · 12 tags · cut 3 28%
  • 1104 General Deer Oct 23–29 · 15 tags · cut 0 78%
  • 1106 General Deer Nov 27 – Dec 6 · 12 tags · cut 0 47%
  • 1107 General Deer Dec 11–31 · 2 tags · cut 12 1% (small sample)
  • 1165 Youth-Only (General) DeerYouth only Oct 9–18 · 2 tags · 5 applied 9% (small sample)

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Arizona deer
▸ Sources 25
  1. AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 24 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 24 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2024 F Draw Report, p. 13 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2023 F Draw Report, p. 17 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. AZGFD 2026-2027 Hunting Regulations, p. 30 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. AZGFD 2025 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. AZGFD 2024 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. AZGFD 2024 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. AZGFD 2023 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. AZGFD 2023 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. AZGFD 2022 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. AZGFD 2022 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  16. AZGFD 2021 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  17. AZGFD 2021 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  18. AZGFD 2020 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  19. AZGFD 2020 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  20. AZGFD 2019 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  21. AZGFD 2019 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  22. AZGFD 2018 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  23. AZGFD 2018 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  24. AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  25. Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona deer hunts