AmmoSight

Arizona Deer 1098

Antlered white-tailed deer in Unit 27, rifle only, Dec 11–31, 2026. 95% public land, mostly National Forest.

New for 2026

The 2026 draw is the first on record for 1098: Arizona Game & Fish Department did not offer this hunt code in earlier years, so the year-by-year table has one row and there is no point-creep trend to project yet. The odds shown are that one draw's actual results, not an estimate.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

<1% (small sample) Below the cut

about 1 in 1,000

You're 19 points below the 2026 cut of 19.

Years to draw on points: —

NR Tags
2
Applicants
140
Success
58%

First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 10%. Success: General hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw

One draw on file (2026), so there is no trend to chart yet.

Insufficient history (1 of 3 draws) — a creep trend needs at least three draw years.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Jun 2 · 227 days
Cost to Apply
$175
If You Miss
$175
If You Draw
$475

The $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $300 nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee).

Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.

Opens
—
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Point Only
$15

Next application window: Closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Safford Show Low Globe 27
Unit 27 in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0 ← you <1% (small sample) 14 0
1 <1% (small sample) 19 1
2 <1% (small sample) 21 0
3 <1% (small sample) 11 0
4 <1% (small sample) 9 0
5 <1% (small sample) 16 0
6 <1% (small sample) 13 0
7 1% (small sample) 4 0
8 1% (small sample) 8 0
9 1% (small sample) 4 0
10 1% (small sample) 9 0
11 1% (small sample) 0 0
12 2% (small sample) 5 0
13 2% (small sample) 3 0
14 2% (small sample) 2 0
15 51% (small sample) 2 0
16 2% (small sample) — —
17 3% (small sample) — —
18 3% (small sample) — —
19 3% (small sample) 0 1
20–22 100% (small sample) — —

Monte Carlo over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.

Draw results: AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 23, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

As a Lower Choice

2nd Choice
<1% (small sample)

Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
General 429 248 58%
Mule deer · firearm (hunt 1 of 2) — 243 —
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 1 of 2) — 2 —
Youth-only (general) 89 77 87%
Mule deer · firearm (hunt 2 of 2) — 64 —
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 2 of 2) — 13 —
Archery-only 239 67 28%
Mule deer · archery — 69 —
General (unit share) (hunt 2 of 3) 210 87 41%
White-tailed deer · archery (hunt 1 of 4) — 85 —
General (unit share) (hunt 1 of 3) 238 76 32%
White-tailed deer · archery (hunt 2 of 4) — 72 —
General (unit share) (hunt 3 of 3) 24 11 46%
White-tailed deer · archery (hunt 3 of 4) — 11 —
Otc archery 366 28 5%
White-tailed deer · archery (hunt 4 of 4) — 28 —
All of Unit 27 · mule deer — 376 —

Adding up Arizona Game & Fish Department's published lines for Unit 27 gives 376 mule deer taken in 2025 (sum of published weapon rows; hunter counts not published). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2025 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer….

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 1 draw

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Published Odds Source
2026 2 140 70 19 <1% AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 23

Earlier Years, When This Number Was a Different Hunt

Arizona reassigns hunt numbers between years. In these years 1098 stood for another unit or weapon, so they are listed here rather than counted as this hunt's history or in its point-creep trend.

Year · What It Was Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Source
2025 · Unit 27, 28 3 156 52 18 AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 23
2024 · Unit 27, 28 3 116 38.7 19 AZGFD 2024 F Draw Report, p. 12
2023 · Unit 27, 28 3 96 32 15 AZGFD 2023 F Draw Report, p. 16

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 27

  • 1041 General Deer Oct 23–29 · 50 tags · cut 6 7%
  • 1096 General Deer Oct 30 – Nov 5 · 25 tags · cut 4 25%
  • 1097 General Deer Nov 6–12 · 25 tags · cut 4 70%
  • 1162 Youth-Only (General) DeerYouth only Oct 9–15 · 10 tags · cut 6 5%
  • 1207 Archery-Only Aug 22 – Sep 11 · 4 tags · cut 10 2% (small sample)
  • 1208 Archery-Only Hunt Permit-Tag Required Deer Aug 21 – Sep 10 · 26 tags · cut 0 95%

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Arizona deer
▸ Sources 22
  1. AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 23 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2026-2027 Hunting Regulations, p. 30 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. AZGFD 2025 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. AZGFD 2024 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. AZGFD 2024 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. AZGFD 2023 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. AZGFD 2023 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. AZGFD 2022 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. AZGFD 2022 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. AZGFD 2021 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. AZGFD 2021 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. AZGFD 2020 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  16. AZGFD 2020 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  17. AZGFD 2019 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  18. AZGFD 2019 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  19. AZGFD 2018 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  20. AZGFD 2018 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  21. AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  22. Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (monte Carlo over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

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Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona deer hunts