Arizona Deer 1124

Antlered white-tailed deer in Unit 34A, rifle only, Oct 23–29, 2026. 60% public land, mostly National Forest.

Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw

45% Below the cut

8 of 13 applicants at 0 points drew

You're 3 points below the 2026 cut of 3, which has risen from 2 to 3 points since 2023.

Years to draw on points: never at this creep

NR Tags
67
Applicants
42
Success
35%

First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 10%. Success: General · 673 licenses hunters, 2025.

Points Needed to Draw, 2023–2026

points needed applicants per tag
2 0 2 3 you: 0
2023
0.5:1
2024
0.6:1
2025
0.4:1
2026
0.6:1

The cut has risen from 2 to 3 points since 2023. Applicants per tag: 0.5:1 in 2023, 0.6:1 in 2026.

Point creep: drew out at 2 → 0 → 2 → 3 points (2023–2026), +1.0 points/yr (range +0.0 to +2.0). Years to draw project that pace (the median of the last five draws, capped at 2 points/yr); the agency sets quotas and demand sets the cut.

What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees

Closes Jun 2 · 227 days
Cost to Apply
$175
If You Miss
$175
If You Draw
$475

The $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $300 nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee).

Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.

Opens
—
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Point Only
$15

Next application window: Closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.

▸ Every Fee, With Sources
Nogales Sahuarita Sierra Vista Tucson Benson 34A
Unit 34A in full →

Details

Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw

Points Chance Applied Drew
0 ← you 45% 13 8
1 69% 18 12
2 88% 5 3
3–10 100% — —

Expected weighted draw over published bonus-point pools. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.

Draw results: AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 29, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

As a Lower Choice

2nd Choice
8%

Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.

How It Hunted, 2025

WhoHuntersHarvestSuccess
General · 673 licenses 544 188 35%
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 1 of 6) — 185 —
General · 674 licenses 556 133 24%
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 2 of 6) — 129 —
General · 590 licenses 454 129 28%
General · 99 licenses 83 51 61%
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 3 of 6) — 51 —
Youth-only (general) 107 40 37%
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 4 of 6) — 40 —
Champ general 8 3 38%
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 5 of 6) — 1 —
Muzzleloader 20 3 15%
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 6 of 6) — 3 —
Otc archery 898 38 11%
White-tailed deer · archery — 38 —
All of Unit 34A · white-tailed deer — 447 —

Adding up Arizona Game & Fish Department's published lines for Unit 34A gives 447 white-tailed deer taken in 2025 (sum of published weapon rows; hunter counts not published). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2025 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer….

▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 4 draws

The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.

Year Tags Applicants Per Tag Points Needed Published Odds Source
2026 67 42 0.6 3 56% AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 29
2025 67 24 0.4 2 52% AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 29
2024 67 41 0.6 0 51% AZGFD 2024 F Draw Report, p. 15
2023 67 31 0.5 2 56% AZGFD 2023 F Draw Report, p. 20

Other Licenses Valid in Unit 34A

  • 1125 General Deer Nov 6–12 · 67 tags · cut 3 66%
  • 1126 General Deer Nov 27 – Dec 6 · 60 tags · cut 3 63%
  • 1127 General Deer Dec 11–31 · 10 tags · cut 10 1%
  • 1178 Youth-Only (General) DeerYouth only Oct 9–15 · 12 tags · 2 applied 100%
  • 1181 Champ Nov 13–19 · 1 tag · 0 applied 77% (small sample)
  • 1195 Muzzleloader Deer Nov 13–19 · 2 tags · 2 applied 100% (small sample)

Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.

▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Arizona deer
▸ Sources 25
  1. AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 29 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 29 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2024 F Draw Report, p. 15 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2023 F Draw Report, p. 20 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  6. AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  7. AZGFD 2026-2027 Hunting Regulations, p. 30 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  8. AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. AZGFD 2025 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. AZGFD 2024 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. AZGFD 2024 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. AZGFD 2023 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. AZGFD 2023 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. AZGFD 2022 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. AZGFD 2022 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  16. AZGFD 2021 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  17. AZGFD 2021 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  18. AZGFD 2020 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  19. AZGFD 2020 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  20. AZGFD 2019 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  21. AZGFD 2019 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  22. AZGFD 2018 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  23. AZGFD 2018 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  24. AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  25. Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (expected weighted draw over published bonus-point pools). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.

Report an error on this page

Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Arizona deer hunts