AmmoSight

Arizona Deer · Unit 21

Arizona Unit 21 covers 700,845 acres and lies 22 miles north of Cave Creek and 32 miles north of Scottsdale. 93% of it is public land, mostly national forest (78%) and BLM (11%). In 2025, hunters took 154 white-tailed deer here (sum of published weapon rows); hunter counts not published. Its most applied-for hunt, 1081, put up 2 tags (all residencies) in the 2026 draw for 40 nonresident first-choice applicants.

Tags, 2026
66

5 licenses · NR capped at 10%

Applicants
72

first choice, NR

Hunter Success
—

not published

Public Land
93%

78% Forest Service

Size
1,095 mi²

700,845 acres

Cave Creek Camp Verde Scottsdale Payson Cottonwood 21

Boundaries are drawn for orientation only. The written boundary description in the regulations governs.

Best Bets at 0 Points

Ranked by your odds times how often that license type's hunters filled their tag in 2025. Nonresident, first choice, 2026 draw; licenses with at least 10 tags that anyone can buy.

Every License in Unit 21

90–100% 50–89% 10–49% 1–9% under 1% fewer than 5 tags: one applicant swings it
1035 10% —
1079 29% 4 ▼1
1080 32% 5 ▲1
1081 1% (small sample) —
1159 · youth 27% (small sample) —

First-choice nonresident odds at your points, 2026 draw. Cut = points the last tag went at; ▲ = points added since the earliest draw on file.

Draw results: AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.

If you draw (2026 nonresident fees): $475 ($175 to apply). Closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.

Harvest

All deer

Year Hunters Deer Success
2025 (summed) 1,911 226 12%
2024 (summed) 1,238 324 26%
2023 (summed) 1,467 350 24%
2022 (summed) 1,951 347 18%
2021 (summed) 1,954 323 17%
2020 (summed) 1,886 439 23%
2019 (summed) 1,864 401 22%
2018 (summed) 2,205 590 27%

White-tailed Deer

Year Hunters Deer Success
2025 (summed) — 154 —
2024 (summed) — 208 —
2023 (summed) — 228 —
2022 (summed) — 220 —
2021 (summed) — 265 —
2020 (summed) — 320 —
2019 (summed) — 282 —
2018 (summed) — 339 —

Mule Deer

Year Hunters Deer Success
2025 (summed) — 70 —
2024 (summed) — 119 —
2023 (summed) — 122 —
2022 (summed) — 124 —
2021 (summed) — 58 —
2020 (summed) — 119 —
2019 (summed) — 119 —
2018 (summed) — 251 —

A dash under Hunters: hunter counts not published for that year or sub-species.

2025 by LicenseHuntersDeerSuccess
General · 245 licenses 190 38 20%
Mule deer · firearm (hunt 1 of 3) — 38 —
General · 10 licenses 10 6 60%
Mule deer · firearm (hunt 2 of 3) — 6 —
General · 220 licenses 195 46 24%
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 1 of 4) — 46 —
General · 222 licenses 191 61 32%
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 2 of 4) — 61 —
General · 25 licenses 18 12 67%
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 3 of 4) — 10 —
Youth-only (general) 38 22 58%
Mule deer · firearm (hunt 3 of 3) — 10 —
White-tailed deer · firearm (hunt 4 of 4) — 12 —
Otc archery 1,269 41 3%
Mule deer · archery — 16 —
White-tailed deer · archery — 25 —

2025 split: firearm 129 (84%), archery 25 (16%)

What Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes after each season, for everyone who hunted the area: harvest statistics, not draw odds. Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes no whole-unit line for 2025; a year's total is the sum of published weapon rows, added only where the lines do not overlap. Hunter counts not published for 2025. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in. Source: AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary; AZGFD 2025 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer…; AZGFD 2024 AZ Deer Harvest Summary.

The Ground

National Forest 546,766 ac 78%
BLM 78,499 ac 11%
Private 46,380 ac 7%
State trust land 28,873 ac 4%
Tribal 132 ac <1%
Other public 81 ac <1%
County or city land 59 ac <1%
State land 50 ac <1%

Source: Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency.

What the Agency Says About the Area

Unit 21 – Beginning on I-17 at the Verde River; southerly on the southbound lane of I-17 to the New River Rd. (Exit 232); east on New River Rd. to Fig Springs Rd.; northeasterly on Fig Springs Rd. to Mingus Rd.; Mingus Rd. to the Tonto National Forest boundary; southeasterly along this boundary to the Verde River; north along the Verde River to I-17.

Source: AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book.

▸ Sources 21
  1. AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  2. AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  3. AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book fees, area description, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
  4. AZGFD 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  5. AZGFD 2025 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  6. AZGFD 2024 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  7. AZGFD 2024 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  8. AZGFD 2023 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  9. AZGFD 2023 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  10. AZGFD 2022 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  11. AZGFD 2022 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  12. AZGFD 2021 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  13. AZGFD 2021 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  14. AZGFD 2020 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  15. AZGFD 2020 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  16. AZGFD 2019 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  17. AZGFD 2019 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  18. AZGFD 2018 AZ Deer Harvest Summary harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  19. AZGFD 2018 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  20. AZGFD 2026 AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
  21. Bureau of Land Management Arizona State Office with the Arizona State Land Department (Arizona Land Resources Information System, ALRIS) and Premier Data Services 2026 BLM AZ Surface Management Agency land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026

About These Numbers

Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results. They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward.

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Every report is checked against the agency source before we change anything.

We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.

Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · All Arizona deer hunts