Arizona Deer — Unit 11M
Arizona Unit 11M covers 180,218 acres and lies 3 miles north of Flagstaff and 28 miles north-east of Sedona. 74% of it is public land, mostly national forest (66%) and state trust land (7%). In 2025, 181 people hunted deer here and took 73 — 40% of them killed something. The 2026 draw put up 50 tags here for 2 first-choice applicants.
Your chance of drawing here
Every deer license type on offer in Unit 11M, with the prior-draw chance for a first-choice nonresident applicant. Type your points in to see your own number.
Chances are from the 2026 draw (the most recent) for a first-choice nonresident. "Points needed" = the cut in the last draw.
Simple view Odds at every point level-
1201 ARCHERY-ONLY HUNT PERMIT-TAG REQUIRED DEER | Any antlered deer | 11M 15 tags · 13 applicants · needed 4 pts29% Long shot 13% as 2nd choice
-
73% Real chance 0% as 2nd choice
-
100% Likely draw 10% as 2nd choice
-
1209 ARCHERY-ONLY HUNT PERMIT-TAG REQUIRED DEER | Any deer | 11M 25 tags · 24 applicants · needed 7 pts4% Point builder 0% as 2nd choice
| Hunt | Your odds (0 pts) | As 2nd choice | Points needed | Tags / applicants | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1201 ↗ ARCHERY-ONLY HUNT PERMIT-TAG REQUIRED DEER | Any antlered deer | 11M | 29% Long shot | 13% | 4 | 15 / 13 | Aug 21 – Sep 10, 2026 |
| 1202 ↗ ARCHERY-ONLY HUNT PERMIT-TAG REQUIRED DEER | Antlerless deer | 11M | 73% Real chance | 0% | — −1 since 2023 | 50 / 2 | Oct 30 – Nov 12, 2026 |
| 1203 ↗ ARCHERY-ONLY HUNT PERMIT-TAG REQUIRED DEER | Antlerless deer | 11M | 100% Likely draw | 10% | — | 25 / 2 | Dec 11–31, 2026 |
| 1209 ↗ ARCHERY-ONLY HUNT PERMIT-TAG REQUIRED DEER | Any deer | 11M | 4% Point builder | 0% | 7 | 25 / 24 | Dec 11–31, 2026 |
What these columns mean
- Your odds —
- the share of applicants at your point level who drew this tag in the 2026 draw. Not a forecast: quotas and demand move every year.
- The badge —
- plain language for that number. Likely draw 75% or better · Real chance 40%+ · Long shot 15%+ · Point builder below that, so you are applying mainly to bank a point · Undersubscribed means fewer first-choice applicants than tags, so everyone who applied drew.
- As 2nd choice —
- Arizona lets you name more than one hunt on the application. Miss on your first choice and you go into the pot for whatever tags are left, alongside everyone else's second choices. Points never help a lower choice, so this number is the same whatever you have banked — it is usually worth naming a hunt that goes undersubscribed.
- Points needed —
- the lowest point total that still got a tag in the 2026 draw, and how that cut has moved since the earliest draw we hold.
- Tags / applicants —
- tags on offer and first-choice applicants for them, as the agency published them. Under five tags we print counts instead of a percentage, because one applicant either way swings it.
What it costs to apply (2026 nonresident fees)
| License | Up front | Gone if you miss | If you draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Per application | $175 | $175 | $475 |
Application window: closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Full fee breakdown.
The country
Boundaries are drawn for orientation only — the written boundary description in the regulations governs.
Who owns the ground
- National Forest 119,382 ac · 66%
- Private 47,049 ac · 26%
- State trust land 13,352 ac · 7%
- Department of Defense 349 ac · 0%
- State land 65 ac · 0%
- National Park Service 18 ac · 0%
- County or city land 0 ac · 0%
How the hunting has gone
What Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes for this area after each season — harvest statistics for everyone who hunted it, not draw odds and not a forecast. Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes these per hunt rather than per unit; the rows below add its own figures together, since a hunter holds one tag for the species in a season. Arizona's figures come from AZGFD's post-season hunter questionnaire - survey estimates carrying a 90% confidence interval and a return count, not a census of animals checked in.
All deer
| Season | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 181 | 73 | 40% |
| 2024 | 194 | 93 | 48% |
| 2023 | 229 | 77 | 34% |
| 2022 | 211 | 57 | 27% |
| 2021 | 213 | 61 | 29% |
| 2020 | 160 | 54 | 34% |
| 2019 | 174 | 54 | 31% |
| 2018 | — | 0 | — |
Mule Deer
| Season | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | — | 71 | — |
| 2024 | — | 81 | — |
| 2023 | — | 77 | — |
| 2022 | — | 57 | — |
| 2021 | — | 61 | — |
| 2020 | — | 54 | — |
| 2019 | — | 52 | — |
White-tailed Deer
| Season | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | — | 13 | — |
| 2019 | — | 2 | — |
What people carried (2025 harvest)
- Archery 144 · 100% · 181 hunters, 80% success
What the agency says about the area
Unit 11M – Beginning at the junction of Lake MaryClint’s Well Rd (FH3) and Walnut Canyon (mp 337.5 on FH3); northeasterly along the bottom of Walnut Canyon to the Walnut Canyon National Monument boundary; northeasterly along the northern boundary of the Walnut Canyon National Monument to Walnut Canyon; northeasterly along the bottom of Walnut Canyon to I-40 (mp 210.2); east on I-40 to the 345 KV transmission lines…
Boundary: AZ Game and Fish Hunt Units (AZGFD ArcGIS feature service, layer 0)
Harvest: 2025 AZ Deer Harvest Summary (draw hunts only)
Harvest: 2024 AZ Deer Harvest Summary (draw hunts only)
Harvest: 2023 AZ Over-the-Counter Archery Deer Harvest Summary