Your odds at 0 points · 2026 draw
about 1 in 264
You're 20 points below the 2026 cut of 20, which has risen from 19 to 20 points since 2023.
Years to draw on points: never at this creep
- NR Tags
- 6
- Applicants
- 153
- Success
- —
First-choice nonresidents; nonresidents capped at 10%.
Points Needed to Draw, 2023–2026
The cut has risen from 19 to 20 points since 2023. Applicants per tag: 18:1 in 2023, 26:1 in 2026.
Point creep: drew out at 19 → 20 → 19 → 20 points (2023–2026), +1.0 points/yr (range +0.0 to +1.0). Years to draw project that pace (the median of the last five draws, capped at 2 points/yr); the agency sets quotas and demand sets the cut.
What It Costs · 2026 NR Fees
Closes Jun 2 · 227 daysThe $15 nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) is not refunded. The $160 nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) is not refunded. A bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) is $15, bought separately. Drawing adds the $300 nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee).
Optional, not counted above: PointGuard (optional tag-surrender insurance, per species per applicant) $10 and PointGuard Plus (optional; all eligible species for three consecutive draw cycles) $25.
- Opens
- —
- Closes
- Jun 2, 2027
- Point Only
- $15
Next application window: Closes Jun 2, 2027 (expected). Dates are last cycle's, rolled forward until Arizona Game & Fish Department publishes 2027.
▸ Every Fee, With Sources
- Nonresident hunt permit-tag application fee (per applicant, per species) · paid at application $15 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Nonresident Combination Hunt and Fish license (only NR license valid for the draw; valid 1 year from purchase) · paid at application $160 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Bonus point only (application fee; no tag fee) · only for a point bought without applying — an unsuccessful applicant gets the point free $15 AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information
- Nonresident deer hunt permit-tag ($315 incl. $15 application fee) · paid if drawn $300 AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book
Details
Odds by Point Level · 2026 Draw
| Points | Chance | Applied | Drew |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ← you | <1% | 24 | 0 |
| 1 | <1% | 18 | 0 |
| 2 | 1% | 21 | 1 |
| 3 | 2% | 12 | 0 |
| 4 | 2% | 16 | 0 |
| 5 | 2% | 6 | 1 |
| 6 | 3% | 10 | 0 |
| 7 | 3% | 12 | 1 |
| 8 | 3% | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | 4% | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | 4% | 8 | 0 |
| 11 | 4% | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | 5% | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | 5% | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | 6% | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | 6% | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | 6% | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | 7% | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 7% | — | — |
| 19–24 | 100% same at every level | — | — |
Expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap. A dash means Arizona Game & Fish Department did not publish a count for that level.
Draw results: AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 1, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.
As a Lower Choice
Tags issued to lower choices ÷ lower-choice applicants, as published. Arizona draws lower choices with your points too, so this is an average across everyone who listed it lower: an applicant with more points than most does better.
▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 4 draws
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year.
| Year | Tags | Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Published Odds | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 153 | 25.5 | 20 | 1% | AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 1 |
| 2025 | 6 | 138 | 23 | 19 | 0.00% | AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 1 |
| 2024 | 8 | 185 | 23.1 | 20 | 1% | AZGFD 2024 F Draw Report, p. 1 |
| 2023 | 10 | 178 | 17.8 | 19 | 1% | AZGFD 2023 F Draw Report, p. 1 |
▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Arizona deer
23 cartridges on file are legal for deer with a rifle in Arizona. Rules and sources: Arizona hunting laws.
▸ Sources 7
- AZGFD 2026 F Draw Report, p. 1 · draw results, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2025 Fall Draw Report, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2024 F Draw Report, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2023 F Draw Report, p. 1 · earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026 Game and Fish Laws and Rules Book draw rules, fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026 Pronghorn and Elk Hunt Draw Information fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- AZGFD 2026-2027 Hunting Regulations, p. 29 · seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
About These Numbers
Odds are from the 2026 draw, the latest on file, computed from Arizona Game & Fish Department's published results (expected weighted draw over the common pool, scaled to the nonresident cap). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.
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We don't take applications: check Arizona Game & Fish Department's site and apply there.
Prior-draw odds from Arizona Game & Fish Department's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Arizona deer hunts