Oregon Deer 651T2
Baker No. 2 Youth in Unit 51 — Sumpter, rifle only, Oct 25 – Nov 2, 2025. 46% public land, mostly National Forest.
No longer drawn. The last draw was 2025.
Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife held its 2026 deer draw without 651T2. Its ground is now hunted under EH601T1 (75% of this hunt's ground), SW602T1 (25% of this hunt's ground) (details in where this hunt went). The odds, costs and history below are that record, not an offer.
Your odds at 0 points · 2025 draw
0 nonresident first-choice applicants for 33 tags (all residencies)
18 first-choice applicants for 33 tags (all residencies) in 2025, so every first-choice applicant drew and 15 tags went to the leftover draw. The 100% reflects low demand that year, and a code like this can flip the year demand catches up.
Years to draw on points: now
- Tags
- 33
- Nonresident Applicants
- 0
- Success
- 47%
First-choice nonresidents; the tags are shared by every residency; nonresidents capped at 5%. Success: 151 sumpter unit hunters, 2025.
Points Needed to Draw, 2022–2025
The cut has fallen from 1 to 0 points since 2022. Applicants per tag: 1.2:1 in 2022, 0.5:1 in 2025.
Point creep: drew out at 1 → 0 → 0 → 0 points (2022–2025), no creep — drew at 0 points each year. Years to draw project that pace (the median of the last five draws, capped at 2 points/yr); the agency sets quotas and demand sets the cut.
What It Costs · 2025 NR Fees
The $8 controlled hunt application (per hunt series) is not refunded. The $172 nonresident annual hunting license is not refunded. Drawing adds the $443.50 nonresident controlled deer tag.
▸ Every Fee, With Sources
- Controlled hunt application (per hunt series) · paid at application $8 ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule
- Nonresident annual hunting license · paid at application $172 ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule
- Nonresident controlled deer tag · paid if drawn $443.50 ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule
Details
Odds by Point Level · 2025 Draw
| Points | Chance | Applied | Drew |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 ← you | 100% same at every level | — | — |
Fewer applicants than tags. Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife publishes no per-level applicant counts for this hunt. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass. As a lower choice, 651T2 drew no one in 2025, so lower-choice odds are left out.
Draw results: ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report, retrieved Aug 31, 2026.
How It Hunted, 2025
| Who | Hunters | Harvest | Success |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 sumpter unit | 758 | 358 | 47% |
| 151r sumpter unit bow | 365 | 80 | 22% |
| 151m baker muzzleloader | 44 | 22 | 50% |
| 651t1 baker no. 1 youth | 8 | 6 | 80% |
| 651t2 baker no. 2 youth | 6 | 4 | 75% |
| All of Unit 51 | 1,181 | 470 | 40% |
Adding up Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published lines for Unit 51 gives 1,181 hunters and 470 deer taken in 2025, and 40% of them took a deer (sum of published hunt rows). The first rows are hunters holding this license type; the rest of the area's hunters held something else. Oregon requires every tag holder to report, but the numbers ODFW publishes are survey estimates expanded from the reporting rate — the agency's own tables are titled "Estimated harvest... based on Mandatory Harvest Survey Reports" — not a count of animals checked in. Source: ODFW 2025 Estimated Antlerless Buck Deer Harvest…; ODFW 2025 Estimated Muzzleloader Buck Deer….
Where This Hunt Went
Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife stopped drawing 651T2 after 2025. Its ground is now hunted under these codes; shares are of ground, not of tags.
| Hunt | Of This Hunt's Ground | Of the New Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| EH601T1 Elkhorn 01 Youth Whitetail Whitetail deer | 75% | 100% |
| SW602T1 South Wallowas 02 Youth Whitetail Whitetail deer | 25% | 39% |
▸ Year-by-Year Numbers 4 draws
The standard draw for nonresidents, one row per year. Oregon runs a second, random pass after the points pass; it is shown beside the year it belongs to.
| Year | Tags (All Res.) | Nonresident Applicants | Per Tag | Points Needed | Random Pass | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33 | — | 0.5 | 0 | 28 tags | ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report |
| 2024 | 33 | — | 0.8 | 0 | 29 tags | ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report |
| 2023 | 33 | — | 0.8 | 0 | 28 tags | ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report |
| 2022 | 33 | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 20 tags | ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report |
Other Licenses Valid in Unit 51
- 151 Sumpter Unit Oct 4–15 · 935 tags · cut 2 17%
- 151M Baker Muzzleloader Nov 17–30 · 88 tags · cut 1 38%
- 151R Sumpter Unit Bow Aug 30 – Sep 28 · 572 tags · cut 0 100%
- 651T1 Baker No. 1 YouthYouth only Oct 25 – Nov 2 · 17 tags · cut 2 8%
Odds at your points, nonresident. * fewer than 5 tags.
▸ Legal Cartridges 23 on file for Oregon deer
23 cartridges on file are legal for deer with a rifle in Oregon. Rules and sources: Oregon hunting laws.
▸ Sources 28
- ODFW 2025 Preference Point Draw Report draw results, seasons, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2024 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2023 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2022 Preference Point Draw Report earlier draws, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2026 OAR chapter 635 division 060 draw rules, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2026 Recreational Fee Schedule fees, retrieved Aug 31, 2026
- ODFW 2025 Estimated Antlerless Buck Deer Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2025 Estimated Muzzleloader Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2025 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2025 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2024 Estimated Antlerless Buck Deer Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2024 Estimated Muzzleloader Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2024 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2024 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2023 Estimated Antlerless Buck Deer Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2023 Estimated Muzzleloader Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2023 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2023 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2022 Estimated Antlerless Buck Deer Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2022 Estimated Muzzleloader Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2022 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2022 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2021 Estimated Antlerless Buck Deer Harvest… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2021 Estimated Muzzleloader Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2021 Estimated Archery Buck Deer Harvest by… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2021 Estimated Any Legal Weapon Buck Deer… harvest, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- ODFW 2026 Wildlife Management Unit boundaries boundary, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
- Bureau of Land Management, Oregon State Office 2026 BLM /Washington Land Status Ownership land ownership, retrieved Sep 1, 2026
About These Numbers
Odds are from the 2025 draw, the latest on file, computed from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's published results (fewer applicants than tags). They are what happened in that draw, not a forecast. Under five tags a percentage carries a *, because one applicant either way swings it. A dash means the agency did not publish the number, and a date marked expected is last cycle's schedule rolled forward. How we compute these.
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We don't take applications: check Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's site and apply there.
Prior-draw odds from Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife's results, not a forecast · Methodology · All Oregon deer hunts